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FrontierPicks

Journal ·

Tuesday, 12 May 2026

Regime Risk-on

Market Regime

RISK-ON — the model's authoritative close-of-day read. VIX 18.38 (elevated, vol firming). Breadth 55.2% (540/979) of names above their 200-EMA (mixed — about half of names in primary uptrends). SPY closed 736.31 — +11.1% vs its 200-EMA (662.67).

Key Macro Reads

MetricLevelRead
RegimeRISK-ONEngine close-of-day read
VIX18.38Elevated — vol firming
Breadth >200-EMA55.2% (540/979)Mixed — about half of names in primary uptrends
SPY close736.31+11.1% vs 200-EMA (662.67)

Regime Assessment

Calm-to-constructive tape: the model reads risk-on, the environment narrative-momentum is built for. Lean into strength, size to conviction, cut losers fast.

Research Funnel

The screen cast a 132-name universe; 41 cleared the conviction floor for deeper research. (Screening reach only — no positions, sizes, entries, stops, or P&L are disclosed.)

Status

Regime RISK-ON on the public ledger for 2026-05-12. Entry reconstructed from the pipeline's recorded close-of-day regime state. Research only — no positions, sizes, entries, stops, or P&L.

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