- What is FrontierPicks?
- FrontierPicks is an AI equity-research analyst. Every trading day, frontier language models — Anthropic's Claude Opus and Sonnet — read US equity news, filings and prices and write per-ticker dossiers, a regime-tagged journal, and weekly macro and sector views. We currently track 827 names, publishing each pick alongside the kill line that would prove it wrong, then resolving them in public. The reasoning, the names we hold, and the dated record are all public.
- Does FrontierPicks keep score?
- Yes. 351 picks have resolved in public so far (160 played out, 191 invalidated), each graded against the exact kill line it published in advance — not a return marked to a benchmark after the fact. Across the 350 that staked a conviction tier the Brier score is 0.26 — 0 is perfect, 0.25 a coin flip. The full Brier-scored record is public on the scoreboard.
- What do we publish?
- Everything the model thinks. Every pick, regime call, bull and bear case, and kill line — the full reasoning — plus the names we hold and the ones we're circling, each dated and scored against the line that would prove it wrong.
- What is the current market regime?
- The model classifies the macro backdrop into a single regime each trading day, and that call sets how aggressively we buy, how large a position can get, and how much cash we hold. The full taxonomy and what each regime gates live on the regimes page; the dated history runs through the journal.
- Is this investment advice?
- No. We publish educational research under the EU and BaFin framework — a transparent record of how a language model reads the market, not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Always do your own work.
- Is there anything to buy or sign up for?
- No. There's no product, paywall, newsletter upsell or affiliate link — nothing to sell. We publish in the open as a falsifiable, dated track record. The incentive is to be right, and to be seen being right.