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Consumer discretionary rotation theme · 104 dossiers

Dossiers in the Consumer discretionary rotation theme cluster — 104 names moving on shared catalysts.

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WEST Westrock Coffee Company fresh LOW Conway extract/RTD/flavors platform inflecting capex-to-cash: Q1 (5/07) beat + record adj EBITDA + FCF-positive-H2 guide; the 6/30 debt-maturity extension cleared the refi wall. Stock re-rated to ~$9.50 near the $9.81 52-wk high. Q2… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · ALGT Allegiant Travel Company MEDIUM Allegiant closed the $1.5B Sun Country acquisition (2026-05-13) to become the largest US leisure airline just as fuel flipped to a tailwind and the whole sell-side re-rated it to $142–$160; the move has more than doubled off the low, and… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Travel & leisure analysed · AMC Amc Entertainment Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Box-office recovery flipped from meme-squeeze dormancy to a fundamental earnings inflection: Q2 (2026-07-20) adj EPS $0.14 vs $(0.06) est, revenue $1.597B beat, plus a Wedbush $4 / Benchmark $3 upgrade cluster (2026-07-21). Narrative… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · BH Biglari Holdings Inc. MEDIUM Q2 10-Q (filed 2026-08-07) answered the dilution question early: six-month issuance proceeds of $14,920k do not exceed the $15,073k of ATM sales already disclosed through 2026-05-08, so nothing material was sold into the June run to… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations analysed · CAL Caleres Inc MEDIUM July chop resolved up: $11.78 (2026-07-24) to $13.37 (2026-08-14) reclaims the low-$13s shelf lost after the June print, while the ~$57.8M IEEPA refund moved from legal abstraction to a live CBP payment queue ($128.68B accepted for… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Outbreak drawdown is repairing: the federal count rose from 345 cases/27 states (2026-08-14) to 431/32 (2026-08-19) while the stock went from a $33.50 close on 08-14 to $36.90 on 08-21, reclaiming the $35 shelf. CDC dates illness onsets… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · CODI Compass Diversified MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-10) reframed the name: adj EPS $(0.09) missed $0.09 est, but Subsidiary Adj EBITDA rose 12.6% to $91.5M and covenant leverage fell 5.3x to 4.8x. TD Cowen went $12.50→$18. Riley upgraded to Buy at $15 on 2026-08-11; three… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. MEDIUM Sell-side flipped from cutting to marking up in ten days — five PT raises 2026-07-10→07-17 (JPM $94, Canaccord $97, Citi $92, RJ $87, UBS $80) on the e.l.f. Hair launch and Rhode scaling, while the stock slipped to $72.25. Narrative… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · FIGS FIGS, Inc. MEDIUM Growth re-acceleration re-rated the name on the 2026-08-06 Q2 print (revenue +28.8% to $196.6M, FY2026 guide to $757.318M, buyback doubled to $200M), and eleven sessions later the gap is unfilled — the 2026-08-21 close of $14.68 sits above… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-12 binary resolved bullish: Q2 sales $209.7M beat a $199.3M consensus, gross margin expanded 490bps to 62.4%, and FY2026 guidance was raised on sales (-3%/-5%), adjusted operating margin (4-6%) and free cash flow (positive).… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc MEDIUM Post-print leg digesting, not breaking: after the 2026-08-06 Q2 beat ($411.6M, +27.6% YoY; GM 25.6% vs 23.9%) took GCT to a 52-week-high close of $53.25 on 08-07, ten sessions with no company headline cooled it to $49.65 with RSI(14) back… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · GRND Grindr Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) resolved the binary bullishly — revenue $138.1M +33% vs $132.4M consensus, FY guide to ~$540M/~$232M EBITDA, three PT raises 2026-08-07 — yet price faded from the ~$18 area on 2026-08-03 to a $16.01 close on 2026-08-14.… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · HTZ Hertz Global Holdings, Inc MEDIUM The 2026-08-06 Q2 beat re-lit a squeeze the index deletion had just flushed: adjusted corporate EBITDA $81M cleared the top of a $50–80M guide, GAAP swung to +$64M, and the stock ran roughly 50% in two sessions amid 73.85%-of-float short… Retail squeeze · Squeeze & momentum setups · EV & autonomous mobility catalyst · IMAX Imax Corp MEDIUM Premium-large-format royalty narrative is maturing rather than breaking: price closed $52.74 on 2026-08-21, 1.8% off the $53.71 high, with RSI(14) cooling 74.5→55.5 since 2026-08-07 as Rosenblatt raised to $60 on 2026-08-10. No company… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Oil, energy & geopolitical catalyst · INNV InnovAge Holding Corp. MEDIUM Post-sanctions PACE turnaround got its first sell-side validation above market: KeyBanc to Overweight, $13 target, 2026-08-21. The 2026-08-21 close of $10.96 reclaims the $10.50 shelf lost on the 2026-08-11 close of $10.23. The 2026-09-08… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · JRSH Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. MEDIUM Sourcing-migration story now two-for-two on guidance: Q1 FY2027 revenue $50.23M (+26.7% YoY) beat consensus and the company's own guide on 2026-08-10, Q2 guided $49–51M vs $47.85M, DA Davidson to $6 on 2026-08-11. Since then the… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · KMX CarMax Inc. MEDIUM Turnaround re-rating went live in July: KMX broke the $50–$53 shelf to close $57.33 on 2026-07-17 (+17.2% in five sessions) after a Q1 FY27 blowout (EPS $1.31 vs ~$0.95, revenue $8.01B +6.2%), CEO Keith Barr buying 9,400 shares at $53.005… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · LAD Lithia Motors, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy dealer group re-rating on non-store earnings: the 2026-07-29 Q2 beat ($10.03 adj EPS vs $8.78) was carried by Driveway Finance while same-store revenue fell 1.6%. Since then only re-marking — Barclays $360 to $415 on 2026-08-19 —… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. MEDIUM Post-catalyst drift, not a broken story: the 2026-08-03 beat (revenue $199.2M vs $185.85M est, occupancy 91%) carried price to a $34.48 high, and with nothing scheduled before the ~2026-11-03 Q3 print it has bled to $31.09 with RSI 36.1.… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Travel & leisure analysed · MCS The Marcus Corporation MEDIUM Theatrical-recovery narrative has cooled from overbought without breaking: RSI(14) 40.8 at the 2026-08-21 close of $29.57 versus 87.0 two weeks earlier, while domestic box office YTD widened to $6.868B, +20.2% YoY (Box Office Mojo,… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · NSP Insperity, Inc MEDIUM Q2 binary resolved constructively on 2026-07-29: adj EPS $0.34 beat $0.32, and the FY worksite-employee guide floor was raised to 305,000 from 303,000 — the first guide that did not cut volume. Margin-repair re-rating carried price to a… Special situation · Prediction markets & betting · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. MEDIUM Setup inverted since the June breakdown. OXM reclaimed its 200-day ($39.11) and 50-day ($39.94) off the $35.83 low, the CEO bought 2,500 shares at $36.90 on 2026-06-12, and ~$25M of filed IEEPA tariff-refund claims — 4% of market cap,… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · REAL The RealReal, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-06 binary resolved bullish — record GMV $617M (+22%), adj EBITDA $13.5M at a 7.0% margin, FY GMV guide lifted to $2.535–2.565B — and the tape did not re-rate: $11.40 on 2026-08-14 versus ~$11.37 on 2026-07-23, still 32.5% under… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Deleveraging turnaround repricing: ~$96M / 116-unit refranchising cuts net debt ~$147M→~$51M, removing the going-concern tail that pinned RRGB near $2.46. Tape +38.7% since the ~2026-05-20 Q1 print, into the low-$7s near the $7.89 high.… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · SE Sea Limited MEDIUM Three-engine re-acceleration — Shopee GMV +30%, Monee loan book +71%, Garena's best quarter in 5 years — drove a Q1 beat (2026-05-12) and a +19% one-month recovery off the $77 low. Fundamentally accelerating, but the stock is short-term… Compounder · Emerging markets · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · SMRT SmartRent, Inc. MEDIUM RSI(14) cooled 87.8→74.7 while price only slipped $1.49→$1.43, so the momentum extreme unwound sideways. Still no dated catalyst until the ~November Q3 print. Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) resolved the turnaround binary upward: contract sales $545M +22%, adj EPS $2.31 vs $1.97 est, FY adj EBITDA guide lifted to $805–830M from $755–780M. Price cleared the July $105.97 high to a $120.99 close (2026-08-14) and… Special situation · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-margin-recovery turnaround now getting sell-side confirmation: Goldman upgraded to Buy/$63 on 2026-07-20 (vs Canaccord's $45 Hold a month earlier), pushing YETI through the $51.89 multi-year high. The leg still hinges on the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics analysed · ABNB Airbnb, Inc. fresh LOW Post-Q2 re-acceleration re-rating now confirmed on price: the 2026-08-21 close of $187.30 is a new 52-week closing high, clearing the $185.13 shelf. But the last company disclosure was 2026-08-11 (Tripadvisor), the target-revision wave… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. LOW The +80%-off-March recovery re-rate has matured and rolled over: Morgan Stanley pulled its Overweight ('valuation call') on 2026-06-25, and price faded ~30% from the $100 high back onto the reclaimed 200-day near $70 while targets stayed… Compounder · Fintech & consumer credit · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · ARHS Arhaus, Inc. LOW Written-order inflection is the leg: Q2 comparable written sales +12.5% vs delivered +4.0% (2026-08-06), with $226M cash and no long-term debt. Against it: the EPS beat carried a $23.8M one-time tariff refund, Q3 revenue is guided below… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics analysed · AVTR Avantor, Inc. LOW The post-print re-rating is digesting rather than extending: $13.66 on 2026-08-14 versus $13.59 on 2026-08-07, RSI(14) cooling 77.0 to 69.5, and the 2026-07-30 target cluster of $14–$16 already reached. Management's Q3 guide — about 250 bp… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. LOW Lemonis "Everything Home" roll-up keeps closing deals — Container Store now wholly owned (2026-07-08), TwoPonds folded in (2026-07-01) — but the tape has bled from $5.83 to ~$4.96 and sits on the $4.26 52-week low as shares balloon past… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. LOW Citi upgraded to Buy at $25 on 2026-08-18 and JPMorgan lifted to $24 the same day, but the 6.5% pop to $20.04 fully retraced to $19.45 by 2026-08-21 — attention arrived without a lasting bid. The 2026-08-26 Q2 print is the binary:… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · BBY Best Buy Company, Inc. LOW Tape flipped since early July: BBY broke to a fresh 52-week high $87.35 (~$85.41 on 2026-07-17, +27.6% YTD) on RGB-LED TV exclusivity plus an AI-PC/MacBook refresh cycle. But price sits ~8% above the $79.15 consensus target while Loop… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc LOW The August frame's $36 weekly level broke — the week ending 2026-08-21 closed $35.64, retracing the entire 2026-08-13 beat-and-raise reaction ($41.01 premarket, then a −4.02% close at $39.35 on 2026-08-14). Fundamentals still guide to 15%… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Oil, energy & geopolitical analysed · BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. LOW The 2026-07-30 re-acceleration (comps +6.5%, traffic +8.3%, FY comp guide raised to +3–4%) is priced; no new operating datapoint or target revision since 2026-07-31, and the next print is ~10 weeks out. Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics analysed · BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. LOW Margin-repair re-rating off the 2026-08-05 raise (FY26 adj EPS to $0.90–$1.00) is holding but no longer expanding: $10.55 close 2026-08-14, RSI cooled 71.1→66.0, flow down to two hold-rated $12 targets. Brinker's 2026-08-12 print showed… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. LOW The $11–12 post-print shelf broke on no news: $11.56 on 2026-08-07 to $10.75 on 2026-08-14, RSI 27.9, -74.8% off the $42.68 high. A third FY26 EBITDA cut ($275–295M from $315–335M) killed the margin narrative; the repair — a double-digit… Defensive · Fintech & consumer credit · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · BROS Dutch Bros Inc. LOW Drive-thru coffee comps re-accelerating (Q1 +8.3%, FY guide raised) and the sell-side is now catching up — Stephens initiated Overweight $80, Morgan Stanley to $88 in mid-July. But June's run to ~$72 cooled to the mid-$60s, and the… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · CAKE Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) LOW Casual-dining re-rate got a genuine second leg: Citi's 2026-07-10 raise to a street-high $90 (Buy) on a rewards/app traffic-inflection thesis gapped shares 7% to all-time highs (~$86, 52wk high $86.66 on 2026-07-18). For the first time the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CARG CarGurus, Inc. LOW Post-print re-rate has stalled and faded: $38.98 on 2026-08-07 (0.1% under the $39.03 52-week high) to $36.85 on 2026-08-21, with RSI back to 49.7. Seven desks now carry $39–$44 targets and zero upgrades, two insiders sold into the level,… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc LOW Legacy-diner turnaround where the leadership leg is now spent: Deno took over 2026-08-10 and price went nowhere (2026-08-07 close $57.79 → 2026-08-21 $57.65) while RSI(14) reset from 63.9 to 49.6. The sell-side chased in late July (Piper… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc. LOW Q2 FY26 (2026-07-23) beat on every line — net sales $216.2M +28.1%, EPS $0.82 vs ~$0.55, FY guide raised to $790–805M — and the stock still closed $62.25 on 2026-08-07, -25.9% from the post-print high. Beat-and-raise absorbed by sellers;… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials analysed · COTY COTY INC LOW De-lever leg stalled rather than broke: FY26 net debt fell to $2,912.1M but leverage still printed 3.4x as EBITDA fell 22% to $846.9M, and management withheld FY27 guidance until the Consumer Beauty review closes by end-CY26. RBC cut to… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CRCT Cricut, Inc. LOW Hardware-to-platform crossover still holding the 2026-08-05 gap: Platform revenue $85.0M now exceeds Products $71.3M, but the Q2 margin fuel was $26.7M of one-time credits and the CEO sold ~360k shares between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-19.… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Bitcoin miners analysed · CROX Crocs, Inc. LOW Legacy-brand turnaround with fundamentals intact and the tape unwinding: after the 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise (FY2026 adj EPS $13.70–$14.00), shares fell from $131.72 on 2026-08-14 to $122.11 on 2026-08-21, RSI(14) 32.9, -13.5% from the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CRSR Corsair Gaming, Inc. LOW Post-print margin leg has lost its price structure: after a 2026-08-07 close of $14.35 (52-wk high), CRSR closed 2026-08-21 at $10.93, -23.8%, and Goldman initiated at Sell with an $11 target on 2026-08-19 over AI-driven DRAM cost… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI chips & memory catalyst · CTRN Citi Trends, Inc. LOW Sales were pre-released on 2026-08-10 ($211.6M, comps +10.5%), so the 2026-08-25 print is now a pure margin-and-guidance binary. Price faded from $73.91 (08-14) to $71.71 (08-21) with RSI back to 55.6 and no new high above $76.18 — the… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels catalyst · DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. LOW Guide-raise leg resolves in four sessions: the 2026-08-27 Q2 print (8:00 a.m. ET call, Dollar General the same morning) is the binary. At the 2026-08-21 close of $131.48 the stock trades above both aggregated mean targets ($127.32 /… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · DNUT Krispy Kreme, Inc. LOW Attention returned before the fundamentals changed: BofA lifted its target to $4.90 on 2026-08-10 and the Pokémon collection hit shops 2026-08-18, carrying the close from $3.33 (08-14) to $3.59 (08-21) with RSI(14) at 69.9. The… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company LOW Two legs: a refused $30 take-private approach (2026-06-22) and a first clean quarter (fiscal Q3 organic +1.1%, adjusted EPS $0.72 vs $0.62). Sixty days on there is no competing bid, no process and no 13D, and the shares have coiled within… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. LOW Payments roll-up at ~$50, a hair above its $46.26 52-week low set on a 2026 guide-down. The Global Blue tax-free-shopping integration ("Shift4 One," launched 2026-07-14) is the transformation leg, but the 2026-07-30 Q2 print is the binary… Earnings inflection · Fintech & consumer credit · Travel & leisure catalyst · GBTG Global Business Travel Group, Inc. LOW Take-private in its final leg: stockholders adopted the $9.50 Long Lake merger on 2026-08-03, and the 2026-08-14 close of $9.46 leaves $0.04 gross against a roughly 37% break tail to the unaffected $5.93. Only undated offshore regulatory… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · GCO Genesco Inc. LOW The operating turnaround is real but priced, and its one asymmetric leg — the activist proxy fight — lost its teeth: ISS (2026-07-07) backed all nine board directors and urged holders to withhold from the two Radoff/Jumana nominees, so the… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. LOW Premium-golf consumable franchise (Titleist Pro V1) that ran to a $119.65 all-time high on a defensive-quality rotation, then bled ~11% of the mania premium back to the ~$104–105 June breakout shelf ($104.66 on 2026-07-24). The 2026-08-06… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cybersecurity catalyst · GRPN Groupon, Inc. LOW The prior $20 break condition registered on the 2026-08-21 weekly close of $19.59, the second shelf lost in eight sessions after $22 went on 2026-08-14. RSI(14) at 4.6 with the reported short base UP to 13.73M shares — it built into the… Retail squeeze · Squeeze & momentum setups · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · HELE Helen of Troy Limited LOW Deleveraging-stub leg broke out: 2026-08-14 close $30.22 is a 52-week closing high with no dated news behind it, above the $26.50 consensus target and both published targets. Forward P/E re-rated 7.55→8.25 on an unchanged $3.25–$3.75 FY27… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · HNST The Honest Company, Inc. LOW Margin re-rate is consolidating rather than fading: $5.05 on 2026-08-21 is 7.5% under the 2026-08-07 high of $5.46 with RSI down from 83.3 to 72.2, and Morgan Stanley's 2026-08-13 raise to $5.7 restored a target above the market. Nothing… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · HZO MarineMax, Inc. fresh LOW Deal pin rather than a growth story: the $53.00 all-cash Safe Harbor/Blackstone Infrastructure take-private, signed 2026-08-09, leaves $0.80 to terms at the 2026-08-21 close of $52.20. What trades now is HSR/FDI clearance and a shareholder… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · IPAR Interparfums, Inc. LOW Quality-defensive re-rating has rolled over: the 2026-08-04 binary passed with a $0.95 EPS miss and an FY guide reaffirmed BELOW consensus ($1.480B/$4.85 vs $1.503B/$4.87), then TD Cowen and Goldman both cut to Hold/Neutral on 2026-08-10… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · JACK Jack In The Box Inc. LOW June's move was a float mechanic — Russell Microcap inclusion (effective 2026-06-30) into a 40%-short float drove $8.92 to $18.13, and it is unwinding ($14.98 on 2026-07-17, -7.76%). SSS is genuinely inflecting (-6.7% → -3.8%), but price… Retail squeeze · Squeeze & momentum setups · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation LOW Fuel-reversion bull leg broke: Brent re-spiked to ~$86 (Jul 17) on renewed Mideast conflict, reversing the sub-$73 tailwind the whole trade needed. Raymond James (Jul 6) cut to Underperform flagging a Chapter 11 that wipes equity; $9.3B… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · JWEL Jowell Global Ltd. LOW Low-float China e-commerce microcap that repriced +106% intraday on 2026-08-10 with no filing behind it; the leg being bought is float scarcity (2.38M shares out, $7.3M market cap) plus a 0.04x sales optic. Nothing on the calendar resolves… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · KELYA Kelly Services, Inc. LOW Post-Q2 re-rate extended to a new 52-week high at the 2026-08-21 close of $17.09, but the last dated sponsorship input was Noble's 2026-08-12 estimate raise — price is now running ahead of the research behind it. July temp-help payrolls… Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · KLC KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. LOW Distressed post-IPO childcare name has retraced ~180% off its $1.75 spring low to $4.93 as growth shifts to B2B/employer care and before-after-school (Champions +17% YoY), while the core ECE business still shrinks (−3% enrollment). The ~13… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cybersecurity analysed · KSS Kohls Corporation LOW Squeeze leg has stalled: Morgan Stanley's 2026-07-06 Underweight/$15 reinit broke the one-way upgrade cluster and knocked the stock -5.9% on 07-08. Price ~$17.18 still holds above the 50- and 200-day, but with the sell-side now two-sided… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Squeeze & momentum setups catalyst · LOVE The Lovesac Company LOW The ~$17 reclaim failed: a $17.29 close on 2026-08-14 gave way to $16.07 on 2026-08-21, back under the 50-day at $16.79, while short interest decayed to 3.03M shares (28.35% of float) from ~4.05M on Jan–Mar data. The ~2026-09-10 Q2 FY27… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · M Macy's Inc. LOW Morgan Stanley broke the all-Hold wall on 2026-07-06, resuming at Overweight with a $30 target and a $3 EPS-power call vs ~$2 consensus — the first real upgrade catalyst since the Q1 beat. But price faded the note ($23.99 → $22.64 by… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · MGM MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL LOW Take-private process went live: WSJ reported substantive Diller talks 2026-07-10, MGM seated a special committee mid-July, and the board reportedly views $48.30 as too low — so the trade is now a bump handicap, not a growth story. At… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Prediction markets & betting catalyst · MMYT MakeMyTrip Limited LOW MakeMyTrip's mid-year recovery bounce has stalled: after reclaiming the 200-day near $55, MMYT rolled back to ~$49, below both the 50- and 200-day, straight into an August 3 Q1 FY2027 print where consensus models EPS down ~76% YoY on ~137x… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · MOV Movado Group, Inc. LOW Tariff-relief leg is dead (Section 301 put Switzerland in a 12.5% band with no expiry on 2026-07-24); what's left is the Q1 margin re-rate (GM 57.3%, +320bp) and one date. Company confirmed 2026-08-19 that Q2 FY2027 prints before the open… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · MTH Meritage Homes Corporation LOW Housing-rebound-on-rate-cuts trade that carried MTH to a $85.38 52-week high has reversed: it lost the $75 June breakout shelf to $74.17 (-4.2% on 7/17) as mortgages held at 6.49% and Zelman capitulated to Neutral (7/7). Fundamentals still… Compounder · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. LOW The June oil re-rating is over: the 2026-07-30 print cut FY26 net yield to ~-5% cc and EPS to ~$1.50 (second cut after 06-03), shares -8.9%, Morgan Stanley to $13. What is left is an Elliott governance/self-help story — 5 new directors… Defensive · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · NKE Nike, Inc. LOW The post-Q4 base failed: the 2026-08-14 weekly close of $40.73 took out the $41.35 low that framed the July read, and JPMorgan's 2026-08-04 cut to Underweight (PT $47→$40, EPS ~20% below consensus) turned two quarters of target-trimming… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · NWL Newell Brands Inc. LOW Turnaround inflection confirmed: 7/31 Q2 beat ($0.42 vs $0.20 est) plus first core-sales growth in 4+ years (+2.3%), squeezed 21.65% short float and re-rated the sell-side. But the entire FY guide raise ($0.73–0.77 from $0.56–0.60) is 2025… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ODD ODDITY Tech Ltd. LOW Compounder narrative is dead (Q1 revenue -26%, first orders -50%) and the drift continued on no news at all: $14.12 on 2026-08-07 to $13.22 on 2026-08-21, now sitting on the $13 shelf. The 2026-09-09 pre-market Q2 print is the only dated… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · OLPX Olaplex Holdings, Inc. LOW Closed by event and now confirmed from the buyer's side: Henkel's all-cash takeout completed 2026-07-07 at $2.06 per share, Nasdaq delisting and a Form 15-12G followed, and Henkel's 2026-08-06 half-year report carries no brand-level… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services catalyst · OTLY Oatly Group AB LOW The 2026-07-22 guidance doubling (FY constant-currency growth 8–10% from 3–5%) is now a month old with no follow-on news; RSI(14) reset from 71.0 on 2026-08-07 to 43.7 on 2026-08-21 while price held, leaving a $13.03–$13.15 shelf. Nothing… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · PI Impinj, Inc. LOW Post-correction RAIN RFID recovery has extended to $138.37 (2026-07-17), holding the reclaimed $128 April gap-fill and pressing the $144.57 post-earnings high — but the entire near-term read is the 2026-07-29 Q2 print (guide $103–106M, EPS… Earnings inflection · Freight & logistics · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PII Polaris Inc. LOW The $66 shelf the recovery leg stood on is gone: the 2026-06-05 low of $66.06 broke and PII closed 2026-08-21 at $64.39, three weeks after a beat-and-raise (Q2 sales $2,023M, operational adjusted EPS $1.01 vs a $0.70–0.80 guide). The… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. LOW Turnaround narrative dead since the 2026-06-15 comp miss (-5.4%, EPS $0.16 vs ~$0.598); CEO seat changed hands 2026-08-03 with CFO Darin Harper replacing Tarun Lal. Price stabilized off the $9.40 July low to $10.19 on 2026-08-14, RSI 47.5,… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · PLTK Playtika Holding Corp. LOW The control-premium bid is gone and the markdown extended: the 2026-08-21 weekly close of $2.37 took out the $2.51 shelf, RSI(14) 12.9, 44.4% under the $4.26 52-week high. The one new disclosure is financing rather than a sale — 2026-08-18… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PTRN Pattern Group Inc. Series A LOW Squeeze leg is dead: the 2026-08-05 beat-and-raise (revenue $876.8M, +47% YoY, record 129% NRR, FY26 guide up to $3.42–3.46B) and target raises to $29–30 left the stock at $21.44 on 2026-08-14, below its post-print after-hours level.… Cyclical recovery · Managed care & health services · AI enterprise software catalyst · PVH PVH Corp. LOW The August bounce failed: $82.47 on 2026-08-14 to $78.50 on 2026-08-21, RSI(14) 25.0, after a 6.2% sector-wide apparel drop on 2026-08-17. Q2 FY26 lands after the close on 2026-09-02 and is the binary — headline EPS carries the ~$100M… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · QDEL QuidelOrtho Corporation LOW Deal-rumor leg fully retraced and still unresolved: the 2026-08-06 cut (FY26 adj EPS to $0.65–0.90 from $1.80–2.00, FCF guide withdrawn) took price back to the $13.79 pre-rumor shelf, and the $14.74 close of 2026-08-21 is drift on no… Earnings inflection · Medtech & diagnostics · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · RBLX Roblox Corporation LOW Broken growth compounder: the age-verification rollout throttled DAUs and forced FY26 bookings guidance down to +8-12%; stock is -66% from its $150 high and below the 200-day. The 2026-07-30 Q2 print is the binary — it needs a DAU… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI enterprise software catalyst · RH LOW Squeeze leg now ratified by the sell side — TD Cowen $220 (2026-08-08) and Wells Fargo $225 (2026-08-11) against B of A's reinstated Underperform $156 (2026-08-03) — and it resolves into the 2026-09-10 Q2 print with ~56.7% of float still… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Squeeze & momentum setups catalyst · SABR Sabre Corporation LOW June's +20% deleveraging bounce has fully round-tripped: $1.99 (6/26) back to $1.73 (7/17), now under the 50-day near $1.79 after failing exactly at the $1.99 consensus PT. Balance sheet is fixed, narrative is not accelerating, and a… Special situation · Travel & leisure · AI enterprise software analysed · SAH Sonic Automotive, Inc. LOW GPU-normalization narrative broke at the 2026-07-30 print: revenue and adjusted EPS beat consensus, but adjusted EPS fell 17% YoY, franchised segment income −23%, and EchoPark FY26 GPU guidance was cut ~$300 at the midpoint. Shares… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · EV & autonomous mobility catalyst · SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. LOW Turnaround intact on the income statement, inert on the tape: closes of $3.58 (2026-07-24) and $3.59 (2026-08-14) bracket three flat weeks on the $3.50 shelf, and the 2026-08-10 Form 144 shows a retiring officer selling ~70,000 sh weekly… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI enterprise software analysed · SG Sweetgreen, Inc. LOW The turnaround narrative was retracted by management on 2026-08-06 and repriced by eight desks into a $5.00–$8.50 target band. What has run since — $6.28 on 2026-08-14 to $6.99 on 2026-08-21 — is a ~24.5%-shorted float drifting up in a… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Squeeze & momentum setups catalyst · SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. LOW Tariff-recovery leg has stalled into a $39.71–$47.11 range with insiders selling every rally and zero buys; the whole story now hinges on the confirmed 2026-07-30 Q2 print. Consensus targets sit at or below spot ($43.75, 07-16), adjusted… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · STUB StubHub Holdings, Inc. LOW June's busted-IPO recovery leg has fully reversed. D.C.'s RESALE Act (10% resale-markup cap, effective 2027-01-01) plus a Texas AG probe into undelivered World Cup tickets broke the experience-economy narrative; at ~$8.60 STUB trades below… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Travel & leisure catalyst · SVV Savers Value Village, Inc. LOW Busted-IPO thrift retailer's June recovery has stalled and rolled back toward its ~$9 base as the June 27 Russell-deletion passive-bid loss bites; the July 30 Q2 print is now an imminent, FX-exposed binary rather than a five-weeks-away… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · TAL TAL Education Group LOW Legacy-pivot re-rating still intact on fundamentals — Q1 FY2027 revenue +31.9% to $758.4M with selling and marketing down 5% — but the post-print impulse has largely round-tripped: $12.16 on 2026-08-11 to $11.32 on 2026-08-21, RSI 37.2,… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Cyclical industrials catalyst · TDUP ThredUp Inc. LOW Tariff/de-minimis "secondhand wins" narrative broke on the 2026-08-05 Q2 print: revenue beat at $90.8M but FY2026 guidance was cut to $344.4–348.4M and Q3/Q4 guided below consensus. Price round-tripped to $3.07 on 2026-08-14, -74.6% from… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials analysed · UTZ Utz Brands, Inc. LOW Event fired and fully priced: the 2026-08-14 close of $14.17 sits $0.08 under Intersnack's $14.25 all-cash offer, and the 2026-08-05 Q2 miss moved nothing. What remains is a sub-1% gross spread to a company-guided Q4 2026 close against a… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · VSXY Victorias Secret & Co. LOW Turnaround re-accelerated with no new number: the July mid-$70s range broke, a $99.97 52-week high printed, then 11% came back into the 2026-09-03 Q2 report. Consensus target $91.40 sits ~3% over the $89.02 close on 2026-08-14, so the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · W Wayfair Inc. LOW Margin-inflection turnaround has stalled: after the June Evercore-driven pop, W has faded ~10% back to the ~$84–85 recovery base ahead of the binary Aug 4 Q2 print. Wedbush's Jul 16 Neutral/$104 initiation and a ~$100-capped consensus mark… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · WING Wingstop Inc. LOW Two analyst target cuts in ten days (Wells Fargo to $170, DA Davidson to $200) into the 2026-07-29 Q2 print signal de-risking ahead of the H2 comp-turn binary; a ~50% relief bounce off the $116.35 low is unproven, and the print — not… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · WPP WPP PLC LOW Post-relegation turnaround leg is now being re-rated by the sell side rather than by news: Citigroup lifted its target GBX 285→430 on 2026-08-10 while staying Neutral, and the 2026-08-06 results gap has held with the 2026-08-21 close at… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI enterprise software catalyst · WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. LOW Sell-side re-rating leg: six price-target raises between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-14 (Goldman $261, RBC $192→$260, Telsey $255, Citi $248, two at $240) took WSM to a 52-week high of $251.78 on multiple expansion — RBC moved to 25x from 20x… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company fresh NONE Consumer discretionary rotation analysed ·