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Consumer discretionary rotation theme · 109 dossiers

Dossiers in the Consumer discretionary rotation theme cluster — 109 names moving on shared catalysts.

Theme runProduced by the theme run on 4 September 2026, saturated.

All 109 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
HZO MarineMax, Inc. HIGH Deal pin rather than a growth story: the $53.00 all-cash Safe Harbor/Blackstone Infrastructure take-private signed 2026-08-09 leaves $0.89 to terms at the 2026-09-02 close of $52.11. The gap widened from $0.80 on 2026-08-21 while no… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. MEDIUM Outbreak repair has done its work: the 2026-09-02 close of $38.52 has retraced the entire drawdown from the 2026-08-14 close of $33.50, and the CDC count has sat at 431 cases/32 states since its 2026-08-19 update. The marginal bid rotated… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics analysed · FIGS FIGS, Inc. MEDIUM The post-print shelf resolved upward: the 2026-08-28 close of $15.42 sits 8.1% above the 2026-08-07 mark of $14.26 and 9.9% under the $17.12 52-week high, with no company-dated news since the 2026-08-07 target revisions. The re-rating off… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company MEDIUM Tariff-reversal re-rating that has stopped extending: a $36.5M IEEPA refund lifted Q2 gross margin to 54.3% from 27.5% (print 2026-08-05), but ex-refund margin was 26.1% and FY2026 operating profit is still guided to a high-single-digit… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HNST The Honest Company, Inc. MEDIUM Margin re-rate broke out rather than faded: the 2026-08-28 close of $5.67 sits 1.6% under a $5.76 52-week high and 12.3% above the 2026-08-21 consolidation low of $5.05, on no company headline since the 2026-08-20 conference notice. Price… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · PRGO PERRIGO COMPANY PLC MEDIUM Store-brand self-care turnaround re-rating off the 2026-08-05 beat — adjusted EPS $0.50 and a reaffirmed core adjusted-EPS guide of $2.25–$2.55 against a $2.07B market cap and $3.3B of debt, with infant-formula and oral-care strategic… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. LOW The 2026-08-05 margin-repair re-rating has broken on the tape: after Friday closes of $10.55 and $10.58, the week to 2026-09-04 closed $9.79, back inside the guidance-raise gap and through the $9.90 pivot. No analyst action since… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CRCT Cricut, Inc. LOW Hardware-to-platform crossover still holds the 2026-08-05 gap: Platform revenue $85.0M now exceeds Products $71.3M, but Q2's 74.5% gross margin carried $26.7M of one-time credits against a ~58.9% ex-item rate. Goldman Sachs began coverage… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Bitcoin miners analysed · CRSR Corsair Gaming, Inc. LOW The recovery leg off the 2026-08-21 close of $10.93 carried CRSR to $12.00 on 2026-08-28 without any company disclosure: the margin-mix story (33.2% Q2 gross margin, peripherals +13% YoY at 44.9%) is fully published, Goldman's 2026-08-19… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI chips & memory analysed · NKE Nike, Inc. LOW The $39 level the prior note flagged is behind price: NIKE closed 2026-09-02 at $38.24, under the 2026-08-17 close of $39.09 that coverage called a 12-year low, and JPMorgan cut FY2027 EPS to $1.55 vs $1.72 consensus on 2026-08-31. The… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc LOW Early-July retail squeeze is broken: OPEN lost the $4.88 insider shelf and $4.50 base, fell ~12% to $3.88 on 2026-07-24 on a technical breakdown plus fresh housing weakness, into an Aug 4 Q2 print. A rolled-over meme trading into an… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech catalyst · PTRN Pattern Group Inc. Series A LOW Fundamentals still compounding — Q2 revenue $876.8M +47%, NRR 129%, FY guide raised to $3.42–3.46B — while the tape drifted from $23.16 post-print to $20.20 on 2026-09-04, closing on the $19.00 shelf where June's secondary cleared 9.2M… Cyclical recovery · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · VSTS Vestis Corporation LOW Post-spin uniform-rental turnaround: Q3 FY26 (2026-08-11) put adjusted EBITDA margin at 12.2% vs 9.8% a year earlier and lifted the FY26 free-cash-flow guide to $160–170M, while revenue still fell 1.8% YoY and missed. The CEO's 2026-09-02… Special situation · GPU cloud & neoclouds · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · WEST Westrock Coffee Company fresh LOW Westrock Coffee’s Conway expansion supports a cash-generation revaluation, but repeat cash flow remains unproven. Confirmation requires positive third-quarter 2026 free cash flow, maintained annual guidance and a weekly close above the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · GBTG Global Business Travel Group, Inc. SUPREME Take-private in its last mile: stockholders adopted the $9.50 Long Lake merger on 2026-08-03 and the 2026-09-04 close of $9.48 leaves $0.02 gross against the unaffected $5.93. Only undated offshore clearances stand before the 2026-11-02… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · OLPX Olaplex Holdings, Inc. SUPREME Closed by event and unchanged since: Henkel's all-cash takeout completed 2026-07-07 at $2.06 per share, Nasdaq delisting and a Form 15-12G followed, and Henkel's IR calendar now dates the first consolidated period containing the brand to… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · UTZ Utz Brands, Inc. HIGH The 2026-08-24 preliminary merger proxy filled the one gap in the prior read: Intersnack's $14.25 all-cash take-private now has a filed Schedule 14A, and the 2026-08-28 close of $14.20 leaves $0.05 of gross spread to a company-guided Q4… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Networking & optical analysed · ALGT Allegiant Travel Company MEDIUM Allegiant closed the $1.5B Sun Country acquisition (2026-05-13) to become the largest US leisure airline just as fuel flipped to a tailwind and the whole sell-side re-rated it to $142–$160; the move has more than doubled off the low, and… Special situation · Travel & leisure · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · AMC Amc Entertainment Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Box-office recovery flipped from meme-squeeze dormancy to a fundamental earnings inflection: Q2 (2026-07-20) adj EPS $0.14 vs $(0.06) est, revenue $1.597B beat, plus a Wedbush $4 / Benchmark $3 upgrade cluster (2026-07-21). Narrative… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co. MEDIUM Legacy-apparel margin turnaround re-rated on the 2026-08-26 Q2 print: adjusted EPS $2.42 vs $1.99 consensus, FY26 EPS guide lifted to $13.10–$13.60, operating margin guide to 14.5–15.0%, ~7% of shares retired YTD. The narrative is maturing… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-26 binary resolved two ways: Q2 adjusted EPS $0.62 vs $0.24 consensus, but ~$0.31 of it was an $80M tariff refund, and Q3 is guided to $0.07–$0.12 against $0.26. Five desks cut targets on 2026-08-27 into a $17–$24 band, yet the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · BH Biglari Holdings Inc. MEDIUM Seven weeks of shelf between $383.75 and $388.85 with no company news since the 2026-08-07 Q2 release; what moved is the collateral — Cracker Barrel fell to $54.69 on 2026-09-04 from $57.65 on 2026-08-21, and its estimated 2026-09-17 Q4… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc MEDIUM Legacy-diner turnaround with both catalysts spent: the 2026-08-10 CEO handover passed without a repricing and no analyst has moved a target since 2026-07-28. Reference closes stepped down $57.79 (08-07) → $57.65 (08-21) → $55.66 (08-28)… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · COTY COTY INC MEDIUM Balance-sheet repair, not demand recovery: FY26 net debt fell to $2,912.1M but leverage still printed 3.4x as adjusted EBITDA fell 22% to $846.9M, and the 2026-08-19 print deferred FY27 guidance to the end-CY26 Consumer Beauty review. The… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · CTRN Citi Trends, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-25 print resolved the binary the right way — comps +10.5%, gross margin 40.6% (+60bps), FY adjusted EBITDA guide lifted to $38–42M — and the shares still closed lower, because the raised FY sales range of $901.958M–$918.357M… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. MEDIUM The guide-raise resolved on 2026-08-27 — FY26 adjusted EPS moved to $7.70–$8.05 from $6.70–$7.10 against a $7.04 consensus mark — and the tape paid nothing: $131.42 on 2026-09-04 versus $131.48 on 2026-08-21. With Q3 EPS guided $0.80–$0.95… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. MEDIUM Sell-side flipped from cutting to marking up in ten days — five PT raises 2026-07-10→07-17 (JPM $94, Canaccord $97, Citi $92, RJ $87, UBS $80) on the e.l.f. Hair launch and Rhode scaling, while the stock slipped to $72.25. Narrative… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company MEDIUM Two legs — a refused $30 take-private (2026-06-22) and a first positive organic quarter (fiscal Q3 +1.1%, adjusted EPS $0.72 vs $0.62) — hold the shares 2.7% under the $29.66 high at the 2026-09-04 close of $28.87. Seventy-four days on… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc MEDIUM Back at the high on flow rather than news: the 2026-08-28 close of $52.95 is 0.6% under the 2026-08-07 high of $53.25, yet RSI(14) reads 54.1 against 85.9 at that high and no company headline has landed since the 2026-08-06 Q2 beat… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · HTZ Hertz Global Holdings, Inc MEDIUM The 2026-08-06 Q2 beat re-lit a squeeze the index deletion had just flushed: adjusted corporate EBITDA $81M cleared the top of a $50–80M guide, GAAP swung to +$64M, and the stock ran roughly 50% in two sessions amid 73.85%-of-float short… Retail squeeze · Squeeze & momentum setups · EV & autonomous mobility catalyst · IMAX Imax Corp MEDIUM Premium-large-format royalty narrative is maturing: a second target above spot arrived (B. Riley $61, 2026-08-24) and shares set a $54.79 high, then gave back 8.0% to close $50.38 on 2026-08-28 as The Dog Stars opened to roughly $8M… Compounder · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Freight & logistics catalyst · IPAR Interparfums, Inc. MEDIUM Nothing company-dated has landed since the 2026-08-04 print: the last covering-firm action was BWS Financial's Sell/$85 on 2026-08-17, and the 2026-09-04 close of $116.69 sits 6.1% above the $110 shelf. The 09-15 annual meeting and… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · JRSH Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. MEDIUM Sourcing-migration story is still two-for-two on guidance: Q1 FY2027 revenue of $50.23M (+26.7% YoY) beat consensus and the company's own guide on 2026-08-10, and Q2 is guided to $49–51M against $47.85M. Fundamentals have stood still… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · KMX CarMax Inc. MEDIUM Turnaround re-rating went live in July: KMX broke the $50–$53 shelf to close $57.33 on 2026-07-17 (+17.2% in five sessions) after a Q1 FY27 blowout (EPS $1.31 vs ~$0.95, revenue $8.01B +6.2%), CEO Keith Barr buying 9,400 shares at $53.005… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · LAD Lithia Motors, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy dealer group re-rating on non-store earnings: the 2026-07-29 Q2 beat ($10.03 adj EPS vs $8.78) came from Driveway Finance while same-store revenue fell 1.6%. The 2026-08-25 hire of Toyota Financial Services' former CEO over DFC, F&I… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Fintech & consumer credit analysed · MCS The Marcus Corporation MEDIUM Theatrical-recovery re-rating is drifting sideways with no company input: no release and no target revision since 2026-08-04, leaving consensus at $32.25 while the 2026-08-28 close of $29.02 sits 6.5% under the $31.03 52-week high.… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · NWL Newell Brands Inc. MEDIUM Post-print re-rating still shelved: the 2026-09-04 close of $6.11 sits 2.8% under the $6.29 52-week high with RSI(14) at 53.2, and the covering leg behind the 7/31 +15% is largely spent (10.52% of float short at the 2026-08-14 settlement,… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. MEDIUM Setup inverted since the June breakdown. OXM reclaimed its 200-day ($39.11) and 50-day ($39.94) off the $35.83 low, the CEO bought 2,500 shares at $36.90 on 2026-06-12, and ~$25M of filed IEEPA tariff-refund claims — 4% of market cap,… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · RDIB Reading International Inc MEDIUM The squeeze premium in the thin voting class has deflated — the 2026-09-04 weekly close of $14.99 broke the $15 level published on 2026-08-29 by a cent — while the deleveraging leg hardened: an 8-K filed 2026-09-04 discloses a signed… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics analysed · RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. MEDIUM Deleveraging turnaround repricing: ~$96M / 116-unit refranchising cuts net debt ~$147M→~$51M, removing the going-concern tail that pinned RRGB near $2.46. Tape +38.7% since the ~2026-05-20 Q1 print, into the low-$7s near the $7.89 high.… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · SE Sea Limited MEDIUM Three-engine re-acceleration — Shopee GMV +30%, Monee loan book +71%, Garena's best quarter in 5 years — drove a Q1 beat (2026-05-12) and a +19% one-month recovery off the $77 low. Fundamentally accelerating, but the stock is short-term… Compounder · Emerging markets · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · SMRT SmartRent, Inc. MEDIUM RSI(14) cooled 87.8→74.7 while price only slipped $1.49→$1.43, so the momentum extreme unwound sideways. Still no dated catalyst until the ~November Q3 print. Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · VIOT Viomi Technology Co., Ltd MEDIUM Compliance-clock recovery: after the 2026-07-22 Nasdaq sub-$1 deficiency notice, the ADSs closed 2026-09-04 at $1.14, and 10 consecutive closes at or above US$1.00 convert the deficiency into a written compliance confirmation before the… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-margin-recovery turnaround now getting sell-side confirmation: Goldman upgraded to Buy/$63 on 2026-07-20 (vs Canaccord's $45 Hold a month earlier), pushing YETI through the $51.89 multi-year high. The leg still hinges on the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · ABNB Airbnb, Inc. LOW The post-Q2 re-acceleration re-rating has reached its loudest phase — two $220 targets (DA Davidson 08-31, Rosenblatt initiation 09-01) and a dedicated CNBC spotlight on 08-27 — while the 2026-09-04 close of $181.94 sits 4.5% under the… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI enterprise software catalyst · AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. LOW The +80%-off-March recovery re-rate has matured and rolled over: Morgan Stanley pulled its Overweight ('valuation call') on 2026-06-25, and price faded ~30% from the $100 high back onto the reclaimed 200-day near $70 while targets stayed… Compounder · Fintech & consumer credit · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · APPS Digital Turbine, Inc. LOW Post-Q1 re-rating story: the 2026-08-05 print showed revenue $166.0M (+27% YoY), App Growth Platform +56%, adjusted EBITDA +69%, and FY2027 guidance raised to $650–670M — but the shares have given back most of the 43% pop and closed… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · ARHS Arhaus, Inc. LOW The $9.00 weekly-close level that defined the post-2026-08-06 repricing has gone: the week ending 2026-08-28 closed at $8.98 with no new company disclosure, leaving the +12.5% written-comp inflection intact on paper but unbid. Two… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. LOW Lemonis "Everything Home" roll-up keeps closing deals — Container Store now wholly owned (2026-07-08), TwoPonds folded in (2026-07-01) — but the tape has bled from $5.83 to ~$4.96 and sits on the $4.26 52-week low as shares balloon past… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · BBY Best Buy Company, Inc. LOW Tape flipped since early July: BBY broke to a fresh 52-week high $87.35 (~$85.41 on 2026-07-17, +27.6% YTD) on RGB-LED TV exclusivity plus an AI-PC/MacBook refresh cycle. But price sits ~8% above the $79.15 consensus target while Loop… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc LOW The $36 weekly break played through: the last completed close was $34.00 on 2026-09-04 with RSI(14) at 28.4, leaving the May 2026 low of $31.12 as the only structure left in the fiscal-year range. Guidance still reads 15% cc growth and… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. LOW The momentum leg is finished: a 2026-09-04 weekly close at $59.89 gave back the $60.77 pre-print shelf and the whole 2026-07-30 guidance-raise re-rating, with no analyst revision since 2026-07-31. What is left is a reset case — Q2 comps… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. LOW The $10.40 weekly-close shelf broke by a cent on 2026-09-04 at $10.39, with RSI(14) at 52.6 — a reset from drift rather than from a bid. The company news room has been silent on corporate items since the 2026-08-04 Q3 EBITDA cut to… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · BROS Dutch Bros Inc. LOW Drive-thru coffee comps re-accelerating (Q1 +8.3%, FY guide raised) and the sell-side is now catching up — Stephens initiated Overweight $80, Morgan Stanley to $88 in mid-July. But June's run to ~$72 cooled to the mid-$60s, and the… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · CAKE Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) LOW Casual-dining re-rate got a genuine second leg: Citi's 2026-07-10 raise to a street-high $90 (Buy) on a rewards/app traffic-inflection thesis gapped shares 7% to all-time highs (~$86, 52wk high $86.66 on 2026-07-18). For the first time the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CAL Caleres Inc LOW Q2 was pulled forward one day to 2026-09-09 (announced 2026-09-01), compressing the read into a single session: FY2026 consensus of $1.62 adjusted EPS sits at the top of the company's own $1.40–$1.65 guide, Famous Footwear is guided down… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · CARG CarGurus, Inc. LOW The post-print re-rate keeps bleeding out: $38.98 on 2026-08-07 to $36.56 on 2026-08-28, RSI(14) down to 44.0, with the $39.03 high unretaken. Seven bank targets sit at $39–$44 and no bank has moved a rating; five insiders sold in August… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CGC Canopy Growth Corporation LOW The rescheduling binary CGC trades on came and went: the DEA hearing closed 2026-07-15 with no verdict, briefs due 2026-08-17 and the ALJ recommendation undated into H2 2026, likely litigated into 2027. Shares closed $0.89 on 2026-07-24,… Earnings inflection · Cannabis reclassification · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc. LOW Q2 FY26 (2026-07-23) beat on every line — net sales $216.2M +28.1%, EPS $0.82 vs ~$0.55, FY guide raised to $790–805M — and the stock still closed $62.25 on 2026-08-07, -25.9% from the post-print high. Beat-and-raise absorbed by sellers;… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cybersecurity analysed · CODI Compass Diversified LOW The post-Q2 re-rating is being given back: after a 2026-08-11 high of $12.71 on TD Cowen's $12.50→$18. Riley's upgrade to $15, price closed $11.45 on 2026-08-28 with no company-dated catalyst before the ~2026-11-02 Q3 print. Four insiders… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · CROX Crocs, Inc. LOW Legacy-brand turnaround with the raised guide intact and the tape still unwinding: after the 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise (FY2026 adj EPS $13.70–$14.00), closes went $131.72 (08-14) → $122.11 (08-21) → $117.53 (09-04), RSI(14) 26.9, -16.8%… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · DNUT Krispy Kreme, Inc. LOW The asset-light conversion is intact — net leverage 5.4x at Q2 versus 7.5x a year earlier — but the August promotional bid faded before its own catalyst ended, closing $3.38 on 2026-09-04 against $3.59 on 2026-08-21 with the Pokémon… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. LOW The 2026-08-12 beat-and-raise has been fully given back: the 2026-08-28 close of $5.35 sits beneath the $5.38 pre-print close, and the $6.09 52-week high still predates the news. The margin turnaround is proven and absorbed — two analysts… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. LOW Payments roll-up at ~$50, a hair above its $46.26 52-week low set on a 2026 guide-down. The Global Blue tax-free-shopping integration ("Shift4 One," launched 2026-07-14) is the transformation leg, but the 2026-07-30 Q2 print is the binary… Earnings inflection · Fintech & consumer credit · Travel & leisure catalyst · GCO Genesco Inc. LOW The operating turnaround is real but priced, and its one asymmetric leg — the activist proxy fight — lost its teeth: ISS (2026-07-07) backed all nine board directors and urged holders to withhold from the two Radoff/Jumana nominees, so the… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. LOW Premium-golf consumable franchise (Titleist Pro V1) that ran to a $119.65 all-time high on a defensive-quality rotation, then bled ~11% of the mania premium back to the ~$104–105 June breakout shelf ($104.66 on 2026-07-24). The 2026-08-06… Compounder · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cybersecurity catalyst · GRND Grindr Inc. LOW Q2 beat-and-raise (2026-08-06: revenue $138.1M +33%, FY guide ~$540M) has fully round-tripped — $15.25 on 2026-09-04, inside the July shelf and 15.0% under the $17.94 high. Two new dated items: the UK group action resolved 2026-09-02 for… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit · AI enterprise software catalyst · GRPN Groupon, Inc. LOW Squeeze narrative failed rather than resolved: the reported short base fell to 12.68M shares (69.00% of float, 8.19 days to cover, 2026-09-05) from 13.73M while the stock slid from $19.59 to $18.87 — covering into weakness. The $18 shelf… Retail squeeze · Squeeze & momentum setups · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · HELE Helen of Troy Limited LOW Deleveraging stub coiling rather than breaking: HELE closed $28.40 on 2026-09-04, fractionally under a 50-day line that has risen to $28.43, still 6.0% below the 2026-08-14 closing high of $30.22, while short interest built to 13.14% of… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · INNV InnovAge Holding Corp. LOW The 2026-09-08 Q4/FY2026 print — company-confirmed on 2026-08-26, after the close — is the binary: FY2026 adjusted EBITDA against the raised $85–90M guide, and first FY2027 guidance into the rate headwind KeyBanc flagged alongside its… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · JACK Jack In The Box Inc. LOW June's move was a float mechanic — Russell Microcap inclusion (effective 2026-06-30) into a 40%-short float drove $8.92 to $18.13, and it is unwinding ($14.98 on 2026-07-17, -7.76%). SSS is genuinely inflecting (-6.7% → -3.8%), but price… Retail squeeze · Squeeze & momentum setups · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation LOW Fuel-reversion bull leg broke: Brent re-spiked to ~$86 (Jul 17) on renewed Mideast conflict, reversing the sub-$73 tailwind the whole trade needed. Raymond James (Jul 6) cut to Underperform flagging a Chapter 11 that wipes equity; $9.3B… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure · Oil, energy & geopolitical analysed · JWEL Jowell Global Ltd. LOW Low-float China e-commerce microcap that repriced +106% intraday on 2026-08-10 with no filing behind it; the leg being bought is float scarcity (2.38M shares out, $7.3M market cap) plus a 0.04x sales optic. Nothing on the calendar resolves… Retail squeeze · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · KLC KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. LOW Distressed post-IPO childcare name has retraced ~180% off its $1.75 spring low to $4.93 as growth shifts to B2B/employer care and before-after-school (Champions +17% YoY), while the core ECE business still shrinks (−3% enrollment). The ~13… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · KSS Kohls Corporation LOW Squeeze leg has stalled: Morgan Stanley's 2026-07-06 Underweight/$15 reinit broke the one-way upgrade cluster and knocked the stock -5.9% on 07-08. Price ~$17.18 still holds above the 50- and 200-day, but with the sell-side now two-sided… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Squeeze & momentum setups catalyst · LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. LOW The post-print fade has extended: after the 2026-08-03 beat carried price to a $34.48 high, LIND closed $29.59 on 2026-08-28 with RSI(14) at 29.3 and no company-dated event before the ~2026-11-03 (est.) Q3 print. The occupancy/pricing… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Travel & leisure analysed · LOVE The Lovesac Company LOW The 2026-08-27 notice made the binary real: Q2 FY27 lands before the open on 2026-09-10 against a company bar of $157–166M net sales and −$4M to +$2M adjusted EBITDA. Price closed $16.69 on 2026-09-04, under the 50-day at $16.95 and above… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · M Macy's Inc. LOW Morgan Stanley broke the all-Hold wall on 2026-07-06, resuming at Overweight with a $30 target and a $3 EPS-power call vs ~$2 consensus — the first real upgrade catalyst since the Q1 beat. But price faded the note ($23.99 → $22.64 by… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · MGM MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL LOW Take-private process went live: WSJ reported substantive Diller talks 2026-07-10, MGM seated a special committee mid-July, and the board reportedly views $48.30 as too low — so the trade is now a bump handicap, not a growth story. At… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Prediction markets & betting catalyst · MMYT MakeMyTrip Limited LOW MakeMyTrip's mid-year recovery bounce has stalled: after reclaiming the 200-day near $55, MMYT rolled back to ~$49, below both the 50- and 200-day, straight into an August 3 Q1 FY2027 print where consensus models EPS down ~76% YoY on ~137x… Earnings inflection · Travel & leisure · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · MOV Movado Group, Inc. LOW Q2 FY2027 (2026-08-26) cleared every line — 59.4% gross margin, $0.54 adjusted EPS vs $0.35, sales $169.8M vs $164.2M — and the shares still closed 2026-09-04 at $33.97, below the $34.96 pre-print level. Management guided second-half gross… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials analysed · MTH Meritage Homes Corporation LOW Housing-rebound-on-rate-cuts trade that carried MTH to a $85.38 52-week high has reversed: it lost the $75 June breakout shelf to $74.17 (-4.2% on 7/17) as mortgages held at 6.49% and Zelman capitulated to Neutral (7/7). Fundamentals still… Compounder · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. LOW The published $16 break fired: the week ending 2026-09-04 closed at $15.57, the second failed shelf in sixteen days after $18 gave way on 2026-08-20. Crude drove both — WTI settled $91.48 on 2026-09-01 — and with RSI(14) at 17.3, no… Defensive · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · ODD ODDITY Tech Ltd. LOW Broken compounder with exactly one dated event: the 2026-09-09 pre-market Q2 print. Price ran $13.22 (2026-08-21) to $14.35 (2026-08-28) on no company disclosure since 2026-07-22, leaving it ~30% above the $11.07 consensus target of 10… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · OTLY Oatly Group AB LOW The 2026-07-22 guidance doubling (FY constant-currency growth 8–10% from 3–5%) is six weeks old with no follow-on company news; RSI(14) rebuilt to 67.1 at the 2026-08-28 close of $14.67 from 43.7 a week earlier on no information, and the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · PI Impinj, Inc. LOW Post-correction RAIN RFID recovery has extended to $138.37 (2026-07-17), holding the reclaimed $128 April gap-fill and pressing the $144.57 post-earnings high — but the entire near-term read is the 2026-07-29 Q2 print (guide $103–106M, EPS… Earnings inflection · Freight & logistics · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PII Polaris Inc. LOW The re-rating leg is gone and the drift continued: PII closed 2026-09-04 at $62.52 with RSI(14) at 26.2, just above the $62 weekly-close line, after the 2026-08-21 loss of the $66.06 June shelf. What is left is an earnings-floor argument… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. LOW Turnaround narrative dead since the 2026-06-15 comp miss (-5.4%, EPS $0.16 vs ~$0.598); the stock printed a fresh low at $8.72 on 2026-09-04, breaking the $9.40 July floor. The company confirmed Q2 FY2026 results for 2026-09-14 after the… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · PLTK Playtika Holding Corp. LOW The control-premium leg is dead: the 2026-09-04 weekly close of $2.20 took out the $2.37 level published 2026-08-23, and the strategic review has run five months with no disclosure. What is left is a refinancing stub — $800M of… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PVH PVH Corp. LOW The $75 shelf is gone: PVH closed the week at $74.33 on 2026-09-04 after a Q2 print whose $3.70 adjusted EPS carried roughly $1.80 of tariff refunds, a $439M goodwill impairment, revenue down 3%, EMEA down 6%, and a Q3 guide of $2.50–$2.65… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials analysed · RBLX Roblox Corporation LOW Broken growth compounder: the age-verification rollout throttled DAUs and forced FY26 bookings guidance down to +8-12%; stock is -66% from its $150 high and below the 200-day. The 2026-07-30 Q2 print is the binary — it needs a DAU… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Critical materials & rare earths catalyst · REAL The RealReal, Inc. LOW The $10.00 line published as the break condition fired: a 2026-09-04 weekly close at $9.86 with RSI(14) 30.9 gives back the entire 2026-08-06 beat-and-raise (record GMV $617M, +22%; FY guide lifted to $2.535–2.565B). What is left is a… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · RH LOW Squeeze leg now ratified by the sell side — TD Cowen $220 (2026-08-08) and Wells Fargo $225 (2026-08-11) against B of A's reinstated Underperform $156 (2026-08-03) — and it resolves into the 2026-09-10 Q2 print with ~56.7% of float still… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Squeeze & momentum setups catalyst · SABR Sabre Corporation LOW June's +20% deleveraging bounce has fully round-tripped: $1.99 (6/26) back to $1.73 (7/17), now under the 50-day near $1.79 after failing exactly at the $1.99 consensus PT. Balance sheet is fixed, narrative is not accelerating, and a… Special situation · Travel & leisure · AI enterprise software catalyst · SAH Sonic Automotive, Inc. LOW GPU-normalization narrative broke at the 2026-07-30 print: revenue and adjusted EPS beat consensus, but adjusted EPS fell 17% YoY, franchised segment income −23%, and EchoPark FY26 GPU guidance was cut ~$300 at the midpoint. Shares… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · EV & autonomous mobility catalyst · SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. LOW The $3.50 shelf broke: closes of $3.58 (2026-07-24) and $3.59 (2026-08-14) gave way to $3.15 on 2026-08-28 with RSI(14) at 18.6, retracing the entire 2026-06-10 beat-and-raise and leaving the $2.95 52-week low as the next reference. The… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · SG Sweetgreen, Inc. LOW The turnaround guide was retracted on 2026-08-06 and no desk has re-rated since DA Davidson's 2026-08-10 cut to $5.50. What has carried the shares to $6.84 on 2026-09-04 is menu press — Fall Harvest returned nationwide 09-04 — while short… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Squeeze & momentum setups catalyst · SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. LOW Tariff-recovery leg has stalled into a $39.71–$47.11 range with insiders selling every rally and zero buys; the whole story now hinges on the confirmed 2026-07-30 Q2 print. Consensus targets sit at or below spot ($43.75, 07-16), adjusted… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · STUB StubHub Holdings, Inc. LOW June's busted-IPO recovery leg has fully reversed. D.C.'s RESALE Act (10% resale-markup cap, effective 2027-01-01) plus a Texas AG probe into undelivered World Cup tickets broke the experience-economy narrative; at ~$8.60 STUB trades below… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Travel & leisure catalyst · SVV Savers Value Village, Inc. LOW Busted-IPO thrift retailer's June recovery has stalled and rolled back toward its ~$9 base as the June 27 Russell-deletion passive-bid loss bites; the July 30 Q2 print is now an imminent, FX-exposed binary rather than a five-weeks-away… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · TAL TAL Education Group LOW Legacy-pivot re-rating still intact on fundamentals — Q1 FY2027 revenue +31.9% to $758.4M with selling and marketing down 5% — but the post-print impulse has largely round-tripped: $12.16 on 2026-08-11 to $11.32 on 2026-08-21, RSI 37.2,… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Cyclical industrials analysed · TDUP ThredUp Inc. LOW The tariff/de-minimis re-rate is fully unwound: the 2026-08-05 FY2026 cut broke the growth leg, and the $2.80 weekly shelf flagged in prior coverage went on the 2026-08-28 close of $2.72. RSI(14) 28.2 with buyers +21% YoY and $57.4M cash… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · TLRY Tilray Brands, Inc. LOW Reform binary spent without resolving: the DEA hearing closed 2026-07-15 with only a 2026-08-17 briefing deadline and no ALJ timeline, so Schedule III is now an open-ended administrative process. TLRY printed a fresh 52-week low of $4.20… Earnings inflection · Cannabis reclassification · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation LOW Post-Q2 re-rating is giving back: the 2026-08-28 close of $110.09 is 9.0% under the 2026-08-14 close of $120.99, MarketBeat consensus sits at $101.45 (2026-08-29), and 10%-owner Impactive Capital sold 750,000 shares at $111.49 on… Special situation · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · VSXY Victorias Secret & Co. LOW Turnaround re-accelerated with no new number: the July mid-$70s range broke, a $99.97 52-week high printed, then 11% came back into the 2026-09-03 Q2 report. Consensus target $91.40 sits ~3% over the $89.02 close on 2026-08-14, so the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · W Wayfair Inc. LOW Margin-inflection turnaround has stalled: after the June Evercore-driven pop, W has faded ~10% back to the ~$84–85 recovery base ahead of the binary Aug 4 Q2 print. Wedbush's Jul 16 Neutral/$104 initiation and a ~$100-capped consensus mark… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech catalyst · WING Wingstop Inc. LOW Two analyst target cuts in ten days (Wells Fargo to $170, DA Davidson to $200) into the 2026-07-29 Q2 print signal de-risking ahead of the H2 comp-turn binary; a ~50% relief bounce off the $116.35 low is unproven, and the print — not… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · WPP WPP PLC LOW The flow leg is settled and it went the wrong way: the 2026-09-02 FTSE review promoted easyJet and Ithaca Energy, not WPP, and RSI(14) has unwound from 76.8 on 2026-08-21 to 46.6 at the 2026-09-04 close of $25.32. What remains is a purely… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI enterprise software analysed · WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. LOW Q2 on 2026-08-26 resolved the binary bullish — comp +6.2%, non-GAAP EPS $2.10 vs $2.08 est., FY comp guide raised to +4.0%–+6.5% and margin guide to 17.8%–18.2% — and seven desks moved targets into a $240–$270 band. The 2026-08-28 close of… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cybersecurity analysed ·
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