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Biofuels & low-carbon fuels theme · 19 dossiers

Dossiers in the Biofuels & low-carbon fuels theme cluster — 19 names moving on shared catalysts.

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ALGT Allegiant Travel Company MEDIUM Allegiant closed the $1.5B Sun Country acquisition (2026-05-13) to become the largest US leisure airline just as fuel flipped to a tailwind and the whole sell-side re-rated it to $142–$160; the move has more than doubled off the low, and… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Travel & leisure analysed · ANDG Andersen Group Inc. MEDIUM Post-IPO roll-up re-rate that survived its binary: Q2 revenue $217.7M beat $199.3M on 2026-08-12 and FY2026 was affirmed at $980M–$1.0B, with four target raises to $49–57 on 2026-08-13. The print is behind it and no dated catalyst sits… Defensive · Managed care & health services · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels analysed · ARES Ares Management Corporation MEDIUM Private-credit compounder still saturated rather than broken: Q2 (2026-07-31) showed AUM $671B, $36B inflows and FRE $491.1M, yet the 2026-08-21 close of $141.25 sits 20.7% under the $178.13 trailing high. Since 2026-08-12 nothing has… Compounder · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · BE Bloom Energy Corporation MEDIUM Q2 (2026-07-28) beat and raised — revenue $1.065B +165.5% YoY, FY26 guide lifted to $3.9–$4.2B — yet the 2026-08-14 close of $229.94 sits 33.5% below the 52wk high after July's 32% Hunterbrook-driven drawdown. Accelerating P&L into a… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. MEDIUM Private-credit-stress bottom trade now digesting: price -1.7% from the 2026-08-07 close while RSI(14) unwound 83.9 to 58.1, and term funding reopened with $750M of 6.750% 2036 notes priced 2026-08-12. Nothing resolves the redemption… Compounder · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. MEDIUM Q2 (6-K 2026-08-12, call 2026-08-13) delivered the margin re-rate — Ipiranga EBITDA R$2.782B at R$451/m³, record cash flow, leverage 0.9x, lowest since 2008 — then management guided Q3 margins below that level. Price faded to 6.1% under… Special situation · Emerging markets · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels analysed · VLO Valero Energy Corporation MEDIUM Refiner crack spreads at a record ~$70/bbl 3-2-1 as a Hormuz/Iran supply shock idles ~10% of global refining; VLO is the pure-play margin leverage and the fundamental leg is accelerating. But sell-side (6 PT raises in 11 days) and CNBC… Compounder · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels catalyst · ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. LOW The $44–47 shelf failed: the 2026-08-21 close of $40.41 grades the prior break condition as met, with RSI(14) at 22.0 and price 36.7% under the $63.86 high. Special situation · Travel & leisure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. LOW Ethanol-to-specialty/low-carbon pivot re-rated ~6x off $0.92, but both fuel catalysts — the June 45Z cash sale and the Russell index add — are spent, and price has round-tripped from the $6.11 July high to ~$4.64, losing the $5.10-$5.20… Special situation · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Cyclical industrials catalyst · BAK Braskem S.A. LOW Q2 2026 (released 2026-08-14) printed US$1.043B recurring EBITDA on a Middle East supply shock management called tactical — and the ADR closed $1.95, pricing the capital structure rather than the P&L. The 2026-06-26 São Paulo shield… Earnings inflection · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Emerging markets catalyst · BMA Banco Macro S.A. LOW Credit-recovery leg broke on the company's own numbers at the 2026-08-19 Q2 print: NPLs 6.25% (from 5.40%), coverage 95.39% (from 109.8%), FY cost-of-risk guide raised to 6.5–7% and real loan growth cut to 2–5% from ~20%. ADR closed $72.84… Compounder · Emerging markets · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels catalyst · BSIN Big Sky Industrial Inc. LOW Helium/45Q pivot still on schedule after the 2026-08-11 Q2 print; the 2026-08-20 Sidoti deck added a first Phase 1 EBITDA figure (~$15M/yr). Same day a final 13D/A put Sage Road Capital at 4.9%. Price $1.40 against the $1.43 closing high,… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Industrial power & grid analysed · CLMT Calumet, Inc. LOW Deleveraging-plus-SAF-ramp re-rate extended to a new 52-week high at $50.81 after the 2026-08-07 Q2 print; Goldman's second raise in 19 days ($45 on 2026-08-18) still lands below the 2026-08-21 close of $49.01. Nothing dated resolves the… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Solar & clean energy analysed · CTRN Citi Trends, Inc. LOW Sales were pre-released on 2026-08-10 ($211.6M, comps +10.5%), so the 2026-08-25 print is now a pure margin-and-guidance binary. Price faded from $73.91 (08-14) to $71.71 (08-21) with RSI back to 55.6 and no new high above $76.18 — the… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels catalyst · GCMG GCM Grosvenor Inc. LOW Alternatives-manager re-rate stalled — GCMG printed a new $14.38 high on the 2026-07-13 Piper upgrade, then reversed ~15% to a $12.20 close into the 2026-08-06 Q2 binary. The AI-datacenter infra/private-credit fundraising thesis is intact… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels catalyst · JWEL Jowell Global Ltd. LOW Low-float China e-commerce microcap that repriced +106% intraday on 2026-08-10 with no filing behind it; the leg being bought is float scarcity (2.38M shares out, $7.3M market cap) plus a 0.04x sales optic. Nothing on the calendar resolves… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation LOW Record refining cracks are already in the tape: Q2 R&M margin $36.33/bbl vs $17.58 YoY and a 29% EPS beat on 2026-08-04, yet the stock closed 2026-08-07 at $298.20 — RSI 37.3, 6.7% under the $319.76 high — while six desks raised targets… Compounder · Oil, energy & geopolitical · AI chips & memory catalyst · UNIT Uniti Group Inc. LOW Hyperscaler dark-fiber demand turned the post-Windstream deleveraging grind into a growth story (~$1.5B disclosed funnel, $68.7M of Q1 IRU revenue from one hyperscaler), but the June re-rate to ~$11 has stalled in a three-week range above… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels analysed · WING Wingstop Inc. LOW Two analyst target cuts in ten days (Wells Fargo to $170, DA Davidson to $200) into the 2026-07-29 Q2 print signal de-risking ahead of the H2 comp-turn binary; a ~50% relief bounce off the $116.35 low is unproven, and the print — not… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed ·