Filtered library · Archetype
Defensive · 66 dossiers
Dossiers classified as Defensive — 66 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.
All dossiers OKTA Okta, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Identity-security re-rating in its second, sell-side-led leg; the upgrade wave is still building nearly two months post-print — Wells Fargo lifted its target to $150 from $100 on 2026-07-20, collapsing the low-end dispersion. Cyber theme… ATEX Anterix Inc. fresh LOW The 2026-08-21 reclaim at $93.25 gave back to $90.38 on 2026-08-24 with RSI(14) at 29.8, the $88.20 shelf still holding on closes. No spectrum sale agreement announced in the 126 days since 2026-04-21 and no company item filed since… LSTR Landstar System, Inc. fresh LOW Supply-driven truckload repricing still unconfirmed on the weekly tape, but declines decelerated: FTR Week 33 (ended 2026-08-21) showed dry van -2c vs -7c prior, reefer +1.3c, loads +0.8%, against truck postings +4.4% and the demand index… ATI ATI Inc. fresh MEDIUM Titanium/superalloy aero-defense supplier digesting a June breakout above the reclaimed $183.30 ATH shelf: ~9% off the $204.09 high, RSI cooled to ~66, consensus PT $200.33 back above spot. Q2 lands 2026-08-06; peer CRS prints 2026-07-30… WTI W&T Offshore, Inc. fresh MEDIUM War-premium crude expression left for dead in early July has violently re-fired: the June-17 US–Iran MOU collapsed, nine nights of US airstrikes and a July-7 Hormuz tanker attack drove WTI crude +~20% to $83 (Jul 20). Unlike May, the… BFLY Butterfly Network, Inc. fresh LOW Butterfly Embedded chip-licensing story got marquee validation — Midjourney's up-to-$74M/5yr full-body scanner on 40 Ultrasound-on-Chip modules (2026-06-18) plus 2nd partner Aleph Neuro (2026-06-25). Fundamentals still accelerating, but… KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. fresh LOW Oral STAT6 degrader (KT-621) re-rated on early BROADEN2 enrollment (6/25) and the $10.9B AbbVie–Apogee read-through, but the analyst upgrade cycle topped with RBC's 7/13 downgrade to neutral and the binary topline is 2H-2026 — a maturing,… SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. fresh LOW Two of three lead binaries (SPY001, SPY002 anti-TL1A) printed potential best-in-class; the stock absorbed a ~$399.7M director-fund block sale and sits back near its ~$102 ATH (~$95). Next legs — SPY003 IL-23 Part A (guided mid-2026,… TNGX Tango Therapeutics, Inc. fresh LOW Post-data digestion, not acceleration: the 92% ORR combo print is fully paid for and the tape has faded from $32.90 to ~$27.7, below the $30.00 June secondary. Sell-side keeps marking up (JPM Overweight $46 on 7/15, Mizuho $40 on 7/17)… ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation MEDIUM clonoSEQ MRD pure-play inflecting to self-funding growth (MRD rev +53% YoY, profitability turning); June 15 Immune Medicine separation adds a value-unlock leg. But the tape just broke to fresh 52-wk highs (~$22.92) above the $20–22… ANDG Andersen Group Inc. MEDIUM Post-IPO roll-up re-rate that survived its binary: Q2 revenue $217.7M beat $199.3M on 2026-08-12 and FY2026 was affirmed at $980M–$1.0B, with four target raises to $49–57 on 2026-08-13. The print is behind it and no dated catalyst sits… AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-07-29) cleared the binary without breaking the plan: >200 driverless trucks and ~$80M exit run-rate reaffirmed, FY26 revenue guided $14–16M, ~$1.2B cash after a $215M net ATM raise. Price reclaimed the broken ~$6.00 June shelf to… AUTL Autolus Therapeutics plc fresh MEDIUM Commercial-execution re-rating still working on no new information: after the 2026-08-03 guidance raise to $140–150M and the 2026-08-11 Q2 beat ($45.7M vs $34.0M consensus), the shares printed a new 52-week high at $2.54 and closed $2.41… CSTL Castle Biosciences, Inc. MEDIUM Mix-shift repair leg extended without new fundamental content: $29.62 on 2026-08-14 to $34.20 on 2026-08-21, with only an 08-17 Nasdaq Texas dual listing and an 08-20 conference schedule filed in between. TissueCypher +64% YoY still… DCTH Delcath Systems, Inc. MEDIUM Post-print leg held and extended — 2026-08-21 close $17.14, 1.3% under the 52-week high of $17.36 — while the news line went quiet after the 2026-08-11 conference appearance. Nothing company-confirmed is dated until ESMO (2026-10-23) and… EOLS Evolus, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Margin-inflection re-rating still paying: Q2 (2026-08-05) printed $84.1M revenue (+21% YoY) and a third straight positive adjusted EBITDA quarter, and price has since marked a new 52-week high at $8.60 (2026-08-21 close $8.39, RSI 77.3).… ETON Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 on 2026-08-13 resolved the binary upward — product sales $37.6M vs $27.1M consensus, FY26 guide to >$145M from >$120M — and four brokers raised targets inside four sessions. Accelerating, but priced into the top of the published targets. EVER EverQuote, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-03 Q2 print resolved the plateau binary bullish: revenue $195.1M (+25% YoY) broke the three-quarter ~$190M band, adjusted EBITDA hit a record $30.1M, and Q3 was guided $198–208M above the $201.6M consensus. The leg is now… FIGS FIGS, Inc. MEDIUM Growth re-acceleration re-rated the name on the 2026-08-06 Q2 print (revenue +28.8% to $196.6M, FY2026 guide to $757.318M, buyback doubled to $200M), and eleven sessions later the gap is unfilled — the 2026-08-21 close of $14.68 sits above… GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc MEDIUM Post-print leg digesting, not breaking: after the 2026-08-06 Q2 beat ($411.6M, +27.6% YoY; GM 25.6% vs 23.9%) took GCT to a 52-week-high close of $53.25 on 08-07, ten sessions with no company headline cooled it to $49.65 with RSI(14) back… KMTS Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. MEDIUM Wearable-defibrillator share-capture story accelerating: FY26 revenue $95.1M (+59%), fiscal Q4 $28.6M (+66%) with gross margin 54.8% vs 44.3%, plus JPMorgan's 2026-08-10 Overweight/$30 initiation. Price closed $26.99 on 2026-08-21, 4.8%… KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc MEDIUM Post-print commercial re-rating still working but no longer fed by new information: the 2026-07-28 FY26 ARCALYST guidance raise to $980–995M and the 07-29/07-30 target ladder are three weeks old, the 08-12 Canaccord fireside produced no… KRO Kronos Worldwide, Inc. MEDIUM TiO2 earnings inflection printed 2026-08-05 (Q2 EPS $0.13 vs -$0.04 consensus, segment profit $41.0M vs $10.9M) is now two weeks old and consolidating rather than extending: 2026-08-21 close $8.20, 5.2% under the $8.65 52-week high, RSI… LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. MEDIUM Post-catalyst drift, not a broken story: the 2026-08-03 beat (revenue $199.2M vs $185.85M est, occupancy 91%) carried price to a $34.48 high, and with nothing scheduled before the ~2026-11-03 Q3 print it has bled to $31.09 with RSI 36.1.… NTSK Netskope, Inc. MEDIUM Sell-side caught up to the post-lockup repair leg — six coverage actions between 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-21 lifted the average target from $16.11 to $17.25 — while the tape stalled at $14.51 (2026-08-21) versus $14.87 on 2026-08-07. The… PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-06 binary resolved upward — Q2 AFFO $0.70 vs $0.59 consensus, FY26 guide lifted to AFFO $1.90–$2.00 and RevPAR +3.0%–4.5%, July RevPAR tracking +8.5% PRM Perimeter Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Monopoly wildfire retardant (PHOS-CHEK) into a season at national Preparedness Level 5 — 3.85M acres burned YTD (NIFC, 7/18), ~157% of the 10-yr average. JPM initiated Overweight $50 on 7/9, lifting the 4-analyst average target to $45.… SEPN Septerna, Inc. MEDIUM Re-accelerated on the 2026-08-10 Q2 beat (revenue $26.746M vs $17.875M est; EPS $(0.29) vs $(0.43)) plus SEP-479 Phase 1 PK color: new all-time high $48.19, close $44.50 on 2026-08-14, and five broker target raises in four sessions… SIBN SI-BONE, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-03 binary resolved bullish: Q2 revenue $56.01M (+15.2% YoY vs +11.2% in Q1), EPS −$0.09 vs −$0.15 est, FY26 floor raised to $231M, three target hikes on 2026-08-04. Price cleared the $17.05 shelf that capped June–July.… SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 beat on 2026-08-04 (op EPS $1.30 vs $1.17 est, combined 89.5%, 19% operating ROE) cleared the binary, but four target raises through 2026-08-11 met a lower price — $59.80 on 2026-08-14, 8.9% under the $65.63 high, RSI 45.3. maturing:… SNDR Schneider National, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-07-30 print resolved the binary in the bulls' favour — adj EPS $0.29 vs $0.23 consensus, FY26 guide raised to $0.90–$1.10 from $0.70–$1.00 — yet the 2026-08-14 close of $36.10 sits 6.6% under the 2026-06-08 high, with SONAR… AA Alcoa Corporation fresh LOW Policy leg (Section 232 onshoring, 2026-07-20) still bid, but the driver has rolled: LME aluminum $3,360/t on 08-11 to $3,248.75/t on 08-21 while the shares rose from $49.98 to $51.85. Nothing company-dated resolves before the Q3 print… AIRO AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. LOW Policy leg intact, price leg fading: the 2026-08-13 Section 232 drone tariffs (up to 100%, most effective 2026-09-03) plus a Q2 beat of $43.180M vs $31.212M consensus have stopped attracting a bid — $8.60 on 2026-08-21 against a $9.57… AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. LOW Q2 (2026-08-11) delivered net sales $33.9M, +89.7% YoY, and a Q3 guide above Street — yet the 2026-08-14 close of $64.51 sits 28.7% under the $90.48 high and below the spent $70 shelf. Fundamental acceleration has stopped buying price;… ARHS Arhaus, Inc. LOW Written-order inflection is the leg: Q2 comparable written sales +12.5% vs delivered +4.0% (2026-08-06), with $226M cash and no long-term debt. Against it: the EPS beat carried a $23.8M one-time tariff refund, Q3 revenue is guided below… AVR Anteris Technologies Global Corp. LOW Post-catalyst drift: the CMS/first-patient/France de-risking sequence is spent, and Q2 (reported 2026-08-12) missed both lines — EPS $(0.30) vs $(0.21), revenue $1.009M vs $1.500M — yet the 2026-08-14 close held $9.40 with RSI 66.9.… BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc LOW The August frame's $36 weekly level broke — the week ending 2026-08-21 closed $35.64, retracing the entire 2026-08-13 beat-and-raise reaction ($41.01 premarket, then a −4.02% close at $39.35 on 2026-08-14). Fundamentals still guide to 15%… BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. LOW Gen-3 subscription ramp landed in Q2 (2026-08-06): revenue $33.316M vs $30.68M est, +50% YoY, adjusted EBITDA $4.7M, FY26 guide affirmed at $130–150M. But EPS missed at $(0.54) vs $(0.36), cash is $36.9M against a $50–60M capex guide, and… BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. LOW The $11–12 post-print shelf broke on no news: $11.56 on 2026-08-07 to $10.75 on 2026-08-14, RSI 27.9, -74.8% off the $42.68 high. A third FY26 EBITDA cut ($275–295M from $315–335M) killed the margin narrative; the repair — a double-digit… BROS Dutch Bros Inc. LOW Drive-thru coffee comps re-accelerating (Q1 +8.3%, FY guide raised) and the sell-side is now catching up — Stephens initiated Overweight $80, Morgan Stanley to $88 in mid-July. But June's run to ~$72 cooled to the mid-$60s, and the… CBLL CeriBell, Inc. LOW August re-rating is reimbursement-driven: CMS granted an NTAP of up to $2,171 per eligible Medicare case for the Ceribell Delirium Monitor on 2026-08-03 (effective 2026-10-01) and FY26 guidance went to $114–117M on 2026-08-10. Narrative… CVLG Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. LOW The margin-inflection leg broke at its own catalyst: Q2 (2026-07-29) adjusted OR 95.9% vs 94.6% PY — second straight quarter of YoY deterioration — revenue $332.9M missed $340.4M, and Stephens cut its 23-day-old target to $54 on 07-31.… DXCM DexCom, Inc. LOW CGM leader's recovery has aged from catalyst-pop to an analyst-revision grind — Mizuho $90 (7/15), Truist $87 (7/16) into a ~7% two-day pop to $76.65 — but price is high-$70s still under the 200-EMA and the confirmed July 30 Q2 print is… EQNR Equinor ASA LOW European winter gas-security theme re-accelerating; Equinor, the swing Norwegian pipeline supplier, held ~$40 through a Q2 double-miss on a $1.125B buyback bid. FAC Factorial Energy Inc. LOW Freshly de-SPAC'd solid-state battery name has fully unwound its debut mania — down ~78% from the $25.33 ATH to ~$5.67, breaking clean through the former $9.26 floor into a fresh 52-week low at $4.24. Cantor's $18 target now sits ~217%… FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. fresh LOW Narrative and price have fully decoupled: FLY stacked a $144M CLPS award, a Moon BASE seat and a $13M Mars subcontract into a -47% drawdown, falling 9.6% on 7/16 on the awards headline itself. At $19.27 vs a $45 IPO price and 31% below the… FRD Friedman Industries Inc. LOW Tariff-driven HRC steel prices at multi-year highs powered record FY2026 (EPS $2.76, sales +46%); FRD hit an all-time-high close $37.42 on 2026-06-18 and was flagged overbought the same day. The narrative is maturing and priced near the… KRT Karat Packaging Inc. LOW Tariff-refund re-rating has now run past almost every published target: the 2026-08-21 close of $48.05 sits under only Lake Street's $50 (raised 2026-08-07) and 41% above B. of A.'s $34. A 10% owner sold at $47.33 on 2026-08-20, and… LIFE Ethos Technologies Inc. LOW Q2 re-rating intact but the leg has gone quiet: the 2026-08-21 close of $34.16 versus $34.02 a week earlier with RSI(14) cooling 91.6→82.3, while four Form 4 filers — President Wang, Sequoia's Nalrena/Spelunker, the CEO and the CAO — sold… LILA Liberty Latin America Ltd. LOW Break-up leg intact but the news flow has flipped from company action to downgrades: Morgan Stanley cut to Underweight $7.00 on 2026-08-20, leaving the 2026-08-21 close of $8.47 above all three dated targets ($6.50/$7.00/$8.00). RSI 51.9… LILAK Liberty Latin America Ltd. LOW Post-catalyst drift: the $500M preferred special dividend and the June Malone/Nair insider cluster already drove a ~70% run off $4.76 to ~$8.30, and the tape has stalled at $7.33. Citi cut to Neutral 2026-07-10 with a $8 target already… MAMA Mama's Creations, Inc. LOW The $16.50 shelf from prior coverage is gone: 2026-08-21 weekly close $16.44, RSI(14) 26.3, still under the $18.00 June placement price. Earnings moved forward — Q2 FY2027 lands 2026-09-03 after the close and is the binary on both the… MNTN MNTN, Inc. LOW Post-IPO CTV adtech re-rating on a profitability crossover: Q2 (2026-08-04) delivered $82.5M revenue +21% YoY, 80% gross margin, $6.7M GAAP net income vs a $26.2M loss, and a $100M buyback. Shares +53.9% in three months into a 91.4 RSI… MTW The Manitowoc Company, Inc. LOW Order-cycle plus trade-protection plus deleveraging leg from the 2026-08-06 guidance raise is still working but is now maturing: price extended to a $20.87 52-week high while the two post-print analyst actions (Barclays $16, Wells Fargo… NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. LOW The June oil re-rating is over: the 2026-07-30 print cut FY26 net yield to ~-5% cc and EPS to ~$1.50 (second cut after 06-03), shares -8.9%, Morgan Stanley to $13. What is left is an Elliott governance/self-help story — 5 new directors… NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. LOW The 2026-07-21 beat-and-raise has round-tripped: the 2026-08-14 weekly close of $31.71 is under the $32 post-print shelf, BMO cut to Market Perform on 2026-07-30, and the CFO sold 100,000 shares into $30.74–$32.12 on Aug 12–13. Operations… ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. LOW Freight-cycle recovery in the top-margin LTL name is drawing a broadening upgrade cluster now printing above spot (Stifel $256 Jul 21, Truist $250 Jul 15, RJ $241 Jul 13), but growth is still rate and mix with tons/day negative. The… OEC Orion S.A. LOW Deep-cyclical carbon black where the 2024–25 tire-restock leg already failed (-32.5% from the $10.72 52-week high). What is left is a trough-and-deleverage read: Q2 2026 adj. EBITDA $58.2M (+26% sequential, -15% YoY), FY26 guide reaffirmed… PAYS Paysign, Inc. fresh LOW Guidance-raise leg intact but the flow has thinned: no company datapoint since the 2026-08-05 print (rev $28.252M +48.1%, FY26 lifted to $114–117M), yet price added another 7% to $14.09 on 2026-08-21, RSI 96.7 at a 52-week high and above… SENS Senseonics Holdings, Inc. LOW Only year-long implantable CGM, clinically de-risked at ADA 2026 with revenue +71.9% YoY TTM — and the tape has spent six weeks grinding back toward the $4.79 post-catalyst low ($5.11 on Jul 17). Accelerating fundamentals against a broken… SGMT Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A LOW April denifanstat/acne breakout round-tripped to the $6.00 Series A offering floor; SGMT bases near $7 (last close $7.06, 2026-06-26) with no trend. Dermatology pivot (China NMPA acne NDA accepted Dec 2025, US IND due mid-2026) is real but… SPIR Spire Global, Inc. LOW The 2026-08-12 print removed the binary without restoring the base: revenue $18.048M just under $18.139M consensus, adj EPS $(0.31) a beat, FY26 revenue held at $75–85M with >85% of the midpoint contracted — but both EPS guides were cut… SVV Savers Value Village, Inc. LOW Busted-IPO thrift retailer's June recovery has stalled and rolled back toward its ~$9 base as the June 27 Russell-deletion passive-bid loss bites; the July 30 Q2 print is now an imminent, FX-exposed binary rather than a five-weeks-away… VIA Via Transportation, Inc. fresh LOW Busted-IPO transit-software re-rating: the 2026-08-06 beat-and-raise (FY26 guide up to $550–553M, adj. EBITDA loss narrowed to $3.4M, Q4 positive-EBITDA goal reiterated) turned a chart 70% below its $46 IPO price into an +80.3% three-month… WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. LOW Sell-side re-rating leg: six price-target raises between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-14 (Goldman $261, RBC $192→$260, Telsey $255, Citi $248, two at $240) took WSM to a 52-week high of $251.78 on multiple expansion — RBC moved to 25x from 20x… XGN Exagen Inc. LOW Autoimmune-diagnostics re-rating on the 2026-08-04 Q2 print: revenue $19.941M vs $17.817M consensus, FY26 guide lifted to $72–75M, adjusted EBITDA loss down to $0.1M. Price ran from a $4.68 pre-print close to $7.92 on 2026-08-21 with…