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Defense & aerospace theme · 30 dossiers

Dossiers in the Defense & aerospace theme cluster — 30 names moving on shared catalysts.

DormantLast produced 21 August 2026, 20 days ago — outside the 14-day window the model counts as current work.

All 30 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
MRCY Mercury Systems Inc fresh MEDIUM Defense-electronics turnaround still re-rating on record bookings and a promised FCF turn, but the stock has given back ~20% from its $128.45 ATH and now chops near the analyst median (~$103) into a binary ~Aug 10-18 Q4/full-year print.… Special situation · Defense & aerospace catalyst · FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. LOW Narrative and price have fully decoupled: FLY stacked a $144M CLPS award, a Moon BASE seat and a $13M Mars subcontract into a -47% drawdown, falling 9.6% on 7/16 on the awards headline itself. At $19.27 vs a $45 IPO price and 31% below the… Defensive · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · MTRN Materion Corporation LOW Beryllium critical-materials scarcity narrative still building, but the parabola cracked: a new ATH of $298.76 in early July gave way to a 5.6% reversal on 2026-07-07 to $247.20, now ~$258 and still ~9% above KeyBanc's $237 top target. The… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace catalyst · RDW Redwire Corporation LOW Post-SpaceX-IPO deflation broke RDW to a 2026-07-18 low near $8.51 (~67% off the 5/28 record). A relief bounce on Huntsville/Indiana facility news and $41.5M of H1 Stalker drone orders keeps running into a ~$850M dilution ceiling: the… Retail squeeze · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · ATI ATI Inc. fresh MEDIUM Titanium/superalloy aero-defense supplier digesting a June breakout above the reclaimed $183.30 ATH shelf: ~9% off the $204.09 high, RSI cooled to ~66, consensus PT $200.33 back above spot. Q2 lands 2026-08-06; peer CRS prints 2026-07-30… Defensive · Defense & aerospace analysed · ALM Almonty Industries Inc. MEDIUM Non-China tungsten narrative now trades on one venue: the TSX exit took effect 2026-07-31 and the ASX removal 2026-09-01, leaving Nasdaq and Frankfurt. The operating case is unchanged — Sangdong throughput since 2026-07-01, Q2 revenue… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace analysed · ARXS Arxis, Inc. MEDIUM Serial-acquirer compounding into defense and space: five closings since 2026-06-01, the latest StratEdge and Schatz on 2026-09-01/02 (in excess of $40M combined FY27 revenue, terms undisclosed). The 2026-07-29 raise to $1.960–1.980B is… Cyclical recovery · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · MASS 908 Devices Inc. MEDIUM Post-divestiture handheld chemical-detection pure play still holding the 2026-08-11 beat-and-raise re-rate: the 2026-08-28 close of $10.73 sits 3.3% under the $11.10 52-week high with RSI(14) cooled from 86.0 to 72.2. Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Defense & aerospace analysed · PRM Perimeter Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Monopoly wildfire retardant (PHOS-CHEK) into a season at national Preparedness Level 5 — 3.85M acres burned YTD (NIFC, 7/18), ~157% of the 10-yr average. JPM initiated Overweight $50 on 7/9, lifting the 4-analyst average target to $45.… Defensive · Managed care & health services · M&A & special situations catalyst · TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-05 binary resolved bullishly — Q2 revenue $1.004B beat both the $930–970M guide and $962M consensus, book-to-bill rose to 1.49, Q3 guided $1.100–1.140B vs $1.073B consensus. Yet the 2026-08-14 close of $140.0 is 36.8% below the… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Defense & aerospace analysed · ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. LOW The 2026-08-10 Boeing re-rating has failed outright: the 2026-09-04 close of $5.71 sits below the $6.26 pre-announcement reference the deal leg was measured against, and neither the 2026-08-24 AEG vertiport agreement nor the 2026-09-03 "No… Compounder · Defense & aerospace · Physical AI & robotics analysed · AIRO AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. LOW The drone-tariff leg failed on its own date: Section 232 took effect 2026-09-03 but Blue UAS-listed products got a 180-day deferral to ~2027-02-09, and price broke the $8.00 level to close $7.40 on 2026-09-04 with RSI(14) at 25.1. What is… Earnings inflection · Defense & aerospace · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. LOW Gen-3 subscription ramp landed in Q2 (2026-08-06): revenue $33.316M vs $30.68M est, +50% YoY, adjusted EBITDA $4.7M, FY26 guide affirmed at $130–150M. But EPS missed at $(0.54) vs $(0.36), cash is $36.9M against a $50–60M capex guide, and… Defensive · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · CACI CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA LOW The post-guide re-rate is unwinding rather than extending: the 2026-09-04 close of $623.61 gave up the ~$646 post-print shelf, RSI(14) has fallen from 82.3 on 2026-08-13 to 41.0, and the 2026-09-01 stopgap funds the Pentagon only to… Special situation · Defense & aerospace catalyst · CRS Carpenter Technology Corp LOW Aero-defense superalloy pricing cycle intact (three contracts at >30% hikes; Q4 op-income guide $205-210M, +37% YoY), but the July flush to $532 has been bought back to ~$603 straight into the 2026-07-30 Q4 print — now four sessions out… Cyclical recovery · Defense & aerospace · Critical materials & rare earths catalyst · DDD 3D Systems Corporation LOW June's $50M raise at $3.05 (16.4M sh) is already underwater: shares last $2.775 (2026-07-02), below the offering floor, with ~$50M shelf undrawn and soft Q2 guidance (rev $93–95M, adj. EBITDA still negative) into the 2026-08-10 print. A… Special situation · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace analysed · EFOR Everforth, Inc. LOW Legacy IT-services base re-rating on an AI-delivery pivot, now in its quiet stretch: the post-print overbought condition fully unwound — RSI(14) 94.5 on 2026-08-07 to 46.7 at the 2026-08-28 close of $31.95 — while price held a ~2.3% band.… Special situation · Defense & aerospace · AI enterprise software catalyst · FAC Factorial Energy Inc. LOW Freshly de-SPAC'd solid-state battery name has fully unwound its debut mania — down ~78% from the $25.33 ATH to ~$5.67, breaking clean through the former $9.26 floor into a fresh 52-week low at $4.24. Cantor's $18 target now sits ~217%… Defensive · Solar & clean energy · Freight & logistics analysed · IPX IperionX Limited LOW US critical-minerals sovereignty name whose funding overhang cleared the ugly way: a 2026-07-08 US$50M ADS raise priced at $21.98, ~22% below the ~$28 pre-deal level, resetting the stock to $22.94 near its $21.66 52-week low. Pre-revenue,… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace catalyst · JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. LOW eVTOL cert story still advancing (FAA TIA testing, 2026 Dubai target) but the trade rolled over: ~$8 testing support, down ~33% since June 1, recovery base gone, CFO sold ~half his stake June 8, consolidation coverage marks sentiment… Earnings inflection · EV & autonomous mobility · Defense & aerospace catalyst · KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation LOW Section 232 aluminum supply-shock (50% duty through 2027) plus a Q1 earnings inflection already repriced KALU ~+175% YoY to a $195 high; the move is maturing toward saturated with price at/above every published target. The estimated… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · KOPN Kopin Corporation LOW Legacy microdisplay maker repriced as an AI-interconnect supplier on Q2 revenue of $12.7M (+51% YoY, beat $12.428M) and guided Q4 2026 GAAP profitability — but the partner release cadence stopped on 2026-08-18, the next company-dated event… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Defense & aerospace analysed · MRAM Everspin Technologies, Inc. LOW Sympathy bid off the Micron-led memory supercycle and Russell 2000 inclusion floored the post-parabola markdown in the low-$20s, but the ~2026-07-28 Q2 print is now the binary: Everspin must show a non-casino datacenter/AI design win or… Retail squeeze · AI chips & memory · Squeeze & momentum setups analysed · ONDS Ondas Inc. LOW The tariff leg is spent: Section 232 duties took force 2026-09-03 and ONDS closed $7.62 on 2026-09-04, below every close of proclamation week and 45.6% under the $14.01 high. What is left is delivery — a $140–$155M Q3 guide against… Retail squeeze · Defense & aerospace catalyst · OUST Ouster, Inc. LOW Squeeze leg broke: +43% in four sessions to a $63.79 high, then management priced 3.62M shares at $55.22 (~8% discount) and closed ~$191.9M net on 2026-07-06. Price round-tripped to $37.04, under the 20- and 50-day and under the $49… Retail squeeze · Physical AI & robotics · Defense & aerospace catalyst · QUIK QuickLogic Corporation LOW The eFPGA/defense royalty squeeze has fully unwound: QUIK is ~$13, roughly 47% below the $24.33 June high, and the $18 shelf broke exactly as the Russell inclusion passed. July's post-quantum IP announcement drew no bid — good news into no… Retail squeeze · AI chips & memory · Defense & aerospace catalyst · TSAT Telesat Corporation Class A Common Shares and Class B Variable Voting Shares LOW Legacy GEO operator re-rating on a funded LEO pivot: 2026-08-04 C$2.3B, 15-year Canadian Arctic Mil-Ka contract expands Lightspeed 156→225 satellites and lifts the 2032 revenue target to US$4.9B from US$3.2B. Price closed at the 52-week… Special situation · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · VERI Veritone, Inc. LOW The growth story broke on the 2026-08-13 guide cut to $100–115M from $130–145M; what trades now is $45.6M of 1.75% converts maturing 2026-11-15 against $12.7M of cash at 2026-06-30 and disclosed going-concern doubt. The stock bounced from… Earnings inflection · AI enterprise software · Defense & aerospace catalyst · XOS Xos, Inc. LOW First-ever U.S. Air Force award (prototype OTA for the Xos Hub mobile BESS, announced 2026-08-17, terms not disclosed) took the stock ~100% on 2026-08-18 and put a defense-pivot narrative on a going-concern EV maker that just missed Q2… Retail squeeze · Defense & aerospace · EV & autonomous mobility analysed · ZENA ZenaTech, Inc. LOW The Section 232 leg is spent for ZENA: the 2026-08-13/14 policy advance round-tripped to a 2026-08-28 close of $1.71, breaking the $1.95 weekly shelf and the $2.12 May unit price, and the company's own 2026-08-17 advantage release carried… Retail squeeze · Defense & aerospace · Cyclical industrials catalyst ·
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