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Special situation · 234 dossiers

Dossiers classified as Special situation — 234 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.

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MRCY Mercury Systems Inc fresh MEDIUM Defense-electronics turnaround still re-rating on record bookings and a promised FCF turn, but the stock has given back ~20% from its $128.45 ATH and now chops near the analyst median (~$103) into a binary ~Aug 10-18 Q4/full-year print.… Special situation · Defense & aerospace · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ARCB ArcBest Corporation fresh LOW The twice-tested $135.76/$135.89 shelf lost on the 2026-08-24 close of $134.45, a 4.2% drop taken with the whole transport complex after Trump's 50% Canada auto/truck/parts/steel tariff post. No issuer catalyst until Q3 results… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company fresh LOW The one green close failed: 2026-08-24 closed $52.43, undercutting the 08-20 low close of $52.89 and marking seven of eight sessions lower off the 2026-08-13 high of $59.82, with no dated HPE news since 2026-08-19. The 2026-09-02 Q3 print… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · AI enterprise software catalyst · NTAP NetApp, Inc. fresh LOW Three sell-side targets near $210 in eleven days (Goldman 08-13, Citi 08-18, Evercore 08-24) have stopped moving the tape: $186.86 on 2026-08-24, 9.8% below the $207.08 high, RSI 46.4, with the 20-analyst average target $186.31 sitting at… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · AI chips & memory catalyst · TXG 10x Genomics, Inc. fresh LOW First lower close of the run: 2026-08-24 at $63.80, 2.0% under the 2026-08-21 record close of $65.12, with price still above every published target (high mark Stephens $65, 08-12; 16-analyst average $49.54). No company item since the 08-06… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · AI enterprise software catalyst · UMC United Microelectronic Corp. fresh LOW Silicon-photonics pivot re-rated the ADR ~3x, but the July blowoff to $28.96 round-tripped -26% to $21.25 in days while sell-side finally upgraded (Macquarie Outperform 2026-07-14) — late-stage distribution behaviour. The 2026-07-29 Q2… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Networking & optical catalyst · APLD Applied Digital Corporation fresh LOW BTC→AI landlord whose operating build (>1 GW contracted, ~$31B backlog, 175 MW live) has decoupled from an equity that halved from $49.65 to a $25.79 low, now bouncing off the $25.56 April base into a binary FY26 print on 2026-07-27.… Special situation · GPU cloud & neoclouds catalyst · IREN IREN Limited fresh LOW Neocloud re-rate has fully round-tripped: $33.62 close 7/17, -42% in 30 days, late-May Microsoft breakout base surrendered. Contracts intact ($9.7B MSFT, prepaid tranches) but Q3 AI revenue was only $17.3M vs a $3.4B ARR ambition, and… Special situation · GPU cloud & neoclouds catalyst · WULF TeraWulf Inc. fresh MEDIUM Bitcoin-miner-to-HPC re-rate confirmed by Anthropic's 20-year ~$19B lease (2026-07-06); theme accelerating and cluster-confirmed (Hut 8's $9.8B deal, 2026-07-20). A ~$3.5B financing overhang, the NY hyperscale moratorium aimed at Lake… Special situation · GPU cloud & neoclouds catalyst · GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. fresh LOW Legacy crypto-financials name re-rating to AI-data-center landlord: Phase I ~200MW at the Helios campus was delivered to CoreWeave on 2026-07-06, turning the ~$4.5B/15-yr lease from promise into live contracted revenue while shares still… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · HUT Hut 8 Corp. fresh LOW Bitcoin-miner-to-AI-datacenter-landlord re-rate is now financed fact ($4.25B IG notes 6/4, ~$16.8B contracted backlog), but the momentum leg rolled from ~$127 to ~$105 as peers WULF/IREN captured the marquee Anthropic tenant deals (7/6)… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Bitcoin miners catalyst · INTC Intel Corporation fresh LOW Funded legacy-pivot leg is holding the $101.65 pre-announcement shelf by under a dollar after the 2026-08-14 close of $102.50; CEO Tan's Form 4 (105,263 sh at $95.00) is the only fresh company datapoint in a week of 13F-derived coverage.… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated fresh LOW The data-center re-rating already failed: QCOM spiked to a 52-week high of $259.92 on the ~2026-06-24 Investor Day $15B-by-2029 guide, then gave back ~34% in 17 sessions to $171.78 as Hold downgrades and Apple modem-attrition math… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · AI chips & memory catalyst · RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. fresh LOW BTC-to-AI-landlord re-rating is structurally intact — AMD $311M/50MW Rockdale lease, $33.2M Q1 data-center revenue, Citi reiterated Buy/PT $28 on 2026-07-08 — but the miner complex rolled over on a Q2 crypto rout and "fresh AI-pivot… Special situation · Bitcoin miners · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · WEST Westrock Coffee Company fresh LOW Conway extract/RTD/flavors platform inflecting capex-to-cash: Q1 (5/07) beat + record adj EBITDA + FCF-positive-H2 guide; the 6/30 debt-maturity extension cleared the refi wall. Stock re-rated to ~$9.50 near the $9.81 52-wk high. Q2… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. HIGH Spring's binary resolved bullish: CleanSpark signed a $6.6B, 20-year Georgia data-center lease (2026-07-14) with an unnamed "global technology company," converting the BTC-miner-to-AI-infrastructure pivot from speculation into contracted… Special situation · Bitcoin miners · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · ABT Abbott Laboratories MEDIUM De-rating unwind is now largely priced: $82.56 close on 2026-05-11 to $111.25 on 2026-08-14, RSI 72.2, with the 2026-08-11 Google Health/Lingo partnership and Wolfe's 2026-08-13 upgrade to $130 as the newest fuel. Nothing tests the… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · ACIW ACI Worldwide, Inc. MEDIUM Special-situation breakup narrative accelerating: Reuters (2026-07-17) reports ACI exploring a ~$1.5B sale of its Biller unit, which would surface sum-of-the-parts value and re-rate the faster-growing Payments Software segment. Q1 beat +… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · ADBE Adobe Inc. MEDIUM Deep-value AI-disruption leg in legacy software, now with an external validator: the 2026-08-13 Silver Lake–Workday take-private report put a sponsor price on marked-down per-seat SaaS. ADBE closed 2026-08-14 at $264.02, 28.2% off the… Special situation · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · AKAM Akamai Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy-CDN-to-AI-inference pivot got its first external validation since the failed July bounce: Q2 CIS +39% to $99M with >$2.8B YTD contract bookings (2026-08-06), then J.P. Morgan off Underweight to Neutral, PT $158 (2026-08-13). Price… Special situation · Cybersecurity · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · ALGT Allegiant Travel Company MEDIUM Allegiant closed the $1.5B Sun Country acquisition (2026-05-13) to become the largest US leisure airline just as fuel flipped to a tailwind and the whole sell-side re-rated it to $142–$160; the move has more than doubled off the low, and… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Travel & leisure analysed · ALKS Alkermes plc MEDIUM Legacy CNS base converting into an OX2R sleep franchise; the mechanism was validated by the FDA's 2026-08-05 approval of Takeda's ORZEYFUL, yet ALKS closed 2026-08-21 at $48.33, 12.5% under its $55.22 high. Catalyst-light until the… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · AMC Amc Entertainment Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Box-office recovery flipped from meme-squeeze dormancy to a fundamental earnings inflection: Q2 (2026-07-20) adj EPS $0.14 vs $(0.06) est, revenue $1.597B beat, plus a Wedbush $4 / Benchmark $3 upgrade cluster (2026-07-21). Narrative… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy-generics-to-specialty re-rate with both 2026 tests cleared — 2026-07-30 Q2 beat plus a second FY2026 raise, Kashiv closed 2026-08-10 on $350M of term loan and 28.9M Class A shares — but the tape has faded to a 2026-08-21 close of… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Cyclical industrials analysed · AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. MEDIUM Fourth FY2026 guide raise (2026-08-13: adj EPS $0.22 vs $0.17, EBITDA floor to >$365M) carried price to a $13.16 52-week high; eight days later J.H. The overhang now has a dated clearing price, and nothing is scheduled until the ~November… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · BH Biglari Holdings Inc. MEDIUM Q2 10-Q (filed 2026-08-07) answered the dilution question early: six-month issuance proceeds of $14,920k do not exceed the $15,073k of ATM sales already disclosed through 2026-05-08, so nothing material was sold into the June run to… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations analysed · BILL BILL Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Self-help re-rate cleared its binary on 2026-08-19: Q4 core revenue +16%, 23% non-GAAP operating margin, FY2027 EPS guided $3.56–$3.79 vs $3.35 consensus — and the stock still fell 2.97% the next day, closing $47.82 on 2026-08-21 under all… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit · AI enterprise software analysed · BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. MEDIUM Legacy-pharma re-rate off the 2026-07-30 guidance reset ($49.0–50.0B sales, $6.75–7.00 adj EPS) is intact, but both attention legs are spent: the AstraZeneca merger was denied 2026-08-05 and the FDA approved ZENBEXUS on 2026-08-13, four… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Oncology & immunology catalyst · CACI CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA MEDIUM Services-to-defense-tech re-rate off the 2026-08-05 FY2027 guide reset (adj EPS $32.96–33.86 vs $30.78 consensus, FCF ≥$900M) is now digesting: the 2026-08-17 NITE-STAR award made no new high, and the 2026-08-21 close of $647.39 sits back… Special situation · Defense & aerospace analysed · CAL Caleres Inc MEDIUM July chop resolved up: $11.78 (2026-07-24) to $13.37 (2026-08-14) reclaims the low-$13s shelf lost after the June print, while the ~$57.8M IEEPA refund moved from legal abstraction to a live CBP payment queue ($128.68B accepted for… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · CERT Certara, Inc. MEDIUM Guidance held rather than got cut again: the 2026-08-04 Q2 print reaffirmed FY26 revenue $367-382M and adj EPS $0.31-0.36 despite a revenue miss, and the $6.87 premarket gap round-tripped to an $8.43 close on 08-21. The leg is self-help —… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. fresh MEDIUM FCF-inflection thesis confirmed: Q2 (2026-07-23) delivered positive free cash flow and a sales beat, the stock gapped ~19%, and GLJ flipped to Buy ($15.6) — first above-spot target. The GOES-into-grid narrative is re-accelerating, but a… Special situation · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation MEDIUM SBS paperboard price inflection: two $60/ton increases plus ~300kt of capacity out YTD took Q3 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $20–30M from negative $8M in Q2. The overbought condition at the 2026-08-07 high of $23.31 has worked off — RSI(14)… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation MEDIUM First full combined quarter post-Kito Crosby beat hard (adj EPS $0.61 vs $0.27 est) and drove a guidance raise on all three lines on 2026-07-30; the leg being bought is deleveraging from 4.9x toward sub-4x by FY28 on $70M of synergies. No… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · CME CME Group Inc. MEDIUM Event-contract and 24/7 pivot got dates: NHL FutureSports futures 2026-09-28, Silicon Data H100/B200 compute futures 2026-10-05, 24/7 silver 2026-09-11 — all announced 2026-08-11. Price recovered to $274.98 (2026-08-21) but still sits… Special situation · Prediction markets & betting · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · CODI Compass Diversified MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-10) reframed the name: adj EPS $(0.09) missed $0.09 est, but Subsidiary Adj EBITDA rose 12.6% to $91.5M and covenant leverage fell 5.3x to 4.8x. TD Cowen went $12.50→$18. Riley upgraded to Buy at $15 on 2026-08-11; three… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · CRM Salesforce, Inc. MEDIUM De-rated Dow software incumbent on two dated legs: the $1.6B VA agentic ELA (2026-07-24) and Reuters' 2026-08-13 report of Silver Lake–Workday take-private talks, which put a private-market floor under mega-cap SaaS. Six target revisions… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · DFIN Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Mix-shift leg intact and untested since the 2026-07-30 Q2 print — software 44.3% of net sales, record 36.7% adjusted EBITDA margin — with no company headline in the three weeks since. Shares closed $48.23 on 2026-08-21, 15.3% under the… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials analysed · DGII Digi International Inc. MEDIUM Hardware-to-ARR re-rating accelerating: the 2026-08-05 Q3 print put ARR at $191M (+52% YoY) with a record 29.1% adj-EBITDA margin, and FY26 revenue guidance jumped to $529–533M from $490–508M. Price closed 2026-08-14 at $85.12, 0.1% off… Special situation · AI chips & memory · Bitcoin miners analysed · FA First Advantage Corporation MEDIUM Aug 6 flipped the frame: Q2 revenue $448.8M/+14.9% vs $415.0M consensus, adj EPS $0.35 vs $0.28, and the first FY guide raise of the cycle ($1.67–1.71B). Needham upgraded to Buy/$28, RBC to $24 — targets moved above spot for the first… Special situation · Prediction markets & betting · M&A & special situations catalyst · FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-12 binary resolved bullish: Q2 sales $209.7M beat a $199.3M consensus, gross margin expanded 490bps to 62.4%, and FY2026 guidance was raised on sales (-3%/-5%), adjusted operating margin (4-6%) and free cash flow (positive).… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · FSLY Fastly, Inc. MEDIUM The Q2 margin inflection finally got paid, five sessions late: shares moved ~21% on 2026-08-10 to $27.69 intraday, the highest since early 2024. Three insiders then disposed at $28.60–$30.00 on 2026-08-18 and the 2026-08-21 close was… Special situation · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · FTK Flotek Industries, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy oilfield chemistry re-rating into a power/measurement business: Data Analytics hit 51% of gross profit in Q2 2026, the 2026-08-03 PREPA award adds ~$400M of 10-year expected backlog, and the 2026-08-04 guide went to $340–350M from… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Oil, energy & geopolitical analysed · GEN Gen Digital Inc. MEDIUM Post-print leg holding on an empty calendar: Q1 FY27 (2026-08-06) beat and lifted FY27 to $5.375-5.475B, the 2026-08-17 ex-div session probed $27.41 and was reclaimed to $28.93 by 2026-08-21, and the $32.11 consensus has not moved since… Special situation · Cybersecurity · Fintech & consumer credit analysed · GRND Grindr Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) resolved the binary bullishly — revenue $138.1M +33% vs $132.4M consensus, FY guide to ~$540M/~$232M EBITDA, three PT raises 2026-08-07 — yet price faded from the ~$18 area on 2026-08-03 to a $16.01 close on 2026-08-14.… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · HNI HNI Corporation MEDIUM Steelcase synergy capture confirmed on the 2026-07-30 Q2 print — non-GAAP EPS $1.27 vs $1.04 consensus, FY2026 guide lifted to 20–25% growth from mid-teens — and the legacy-furniture value trap re-rated from $39.70 (2026-07-15) to $48.86… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · ILMN Illumina, Inc. MEDIUM Post-print give-back fully reversed: $187.96 on 2026-08-07 to a 52-week-high close of $219.40 on 2026-08-21 (+51.9% over three months, RSI 66.3) with no new operating news since the 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise. Price now sits above the… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Oncology & immunology analysed · INNV InnovAge Holding Corp. MEDIUM Post-sanctions PACE turnaround got its first sell-side validation above market: KeyBanc to Overweight, $13 target, 2026-08-21. The 2026-08-21 close of $10.96 reclaims the $10.50 shelf lost on the 2026-08-11 close of $10.23. The 2026-09-08… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · KMX CarMax Inc. MEDIUM Turnaround re-rating went live in July: KMX broke the $50–$53 shelf to close $57.33 on 2026-07-17 (+17.2% in five sessions) after a Q1 FY27 blowout (EPS $1.31 vs ~$0.95, revenue $8.01B +6.2%), CEO Keith Barr buying 9,400 shares at $53.005… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · KODK Eastman Kodak Company MEDIUM AM&C inflection is now the entire story: the 2026-08-04 Q2 print put segment revenue at $105M (+40% YoY) and consolidated operational EBITDA at $36M vs $9M, and the ~$9.20 shelf reclaimed on that print has held — the 2026-08-21 close was… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Industrial power & grid catalyst · LAD Lithia Motors, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy dealer group re-rating on non-store earnings: the 2026-07-29 Q2 beat ($10.03 adj EPS vs $8.78) was carried by Driveway Finance while same-store revenue fell 1.6%. Since then only re-marking — Barclays $360 to $415 on 2026-08-19 —… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · LFST LifeStance Health Group, Inc. MEDIUM Margin-inflection pivot is delivered and now being repriced by the sell-side rather than by the company: BTIG went to $18 on 2026-08-19, price closed 2026-08-21 at $12.47 (2.8% under the $12.83 high, RSI 71.9, +68.7% in three months), and… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Bitcoin miners catalyst · MASS 908 Devices Inc. fresh MEDIUM Post-divestiture handheld chemical-detection pure play re-rating on the 2026-08-11 beat-and-raise (revenue $16.07M vs $15.37M est, FY floor lifted to $68–70M) plus Roth $13 / Stifel $12 target hikes on 08-12. The 2026-08-21 close of $10.68… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics catalyst · MEI Methode Electronics MEDIUM Data-center power pivot is revenue-confirmed — record >$80M FY26 segment sales and an FY27 guide ($1.025–1.075B vs ~$952M Street) — but the post-print momentum leg has faded ~26% from the $20.38 high to ~$15. The re-rate is spent and the… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid catalyst · MLKN MillerKnoll, Inc. MEDIUM July's stall under $23.18 resolved upward: new 52-week high $24.49, $23.83 close on 2026-08-14, with no new company data since the 2026-06-24 Q4 report. The leg is multiple expansion (~11.9x the $2.00 FY2027 midpoint) into Rule 144 notices… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials analysed · MMED MiniMed Group, Inc. MEDIUM Carve-out re-rate extended: MMED closed $20.45 on 2026-08-21, through the prior $20.48 high, after Flex began U.S. shipment integrated with Abbott's Instinct sensor on 2026-08-17 — the last open product item. Reimbursement and integration… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · NEOG Neogen Corporation MEDIUM Post-3M-integration cleanup is in the numbers after the 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise, but the re-rating has stopped extending: $11.95 close on 2026-08-21, a marginal new high at $12.15, RSI 50.8, no target change since Piper Sandler's $13 on… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · M&A & special situations analysed · NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence plc MEDIUM Beat-and-raise on 2026-08-10 flipped the frame: Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin 23.3% (vs 21.0% in Q1), FY26 adjusted EPS guided up to $1.08–1.12, net leverage 3.1x from 3.4x. The post-LBO deleveraging re-rate is now running, but +119.6% over… Special situation · AI enterprise software analysed · NSP Insperity, Inc MEDIUM Q2 binary resolved constructively on 2026-07-29: adj EPS $0.34 beat $0.32, and the FY worksite-employee guide floor was raised to 305,000 from 303,000 — the first guide that did not cut volume. Margin-repair re-rating carried price to a… Special situation · Prediction markets & betting · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · OII Oceaneering International Inc. MEDIUM Offshore earnings inflection (Q2 adj EBITDA $115M, FY guide $400–440M) is now fully re-rated: Citi's 2026-08-11 raise to $52 puts the anchor target at the tape, closing the sell-side gap that drove the July leg. Price $52.20 on 2026-08-14… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Physical AI & robotics catalyst · OPRT Oportun Financial Corporation MEDIUM Margin-repair turnaround stalled at the highs rather than broken: after the 2026-08-05 Q2 beat ($0.42 adj EPS vs $0.33, adj EBITDA $49M vs a $34-39M guide) and an FY EBITDA raise to $160-175M, the stock peaked at $8.09 on 2026-08-07 and… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit analysed · OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. MEDIUM Setup inverted since the June breakdown. OXM reclaimed its 200-day ($39.11) and 50-day ($39.94) off the $35.83 low, the CEO bought 2,500 shares at $36.90 on 2026-06-12, and ~$25M of filed IEEPA tariff-refund claims — 4% of market cap,… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · PD PagerDuty, Inc. MEDIUM The read has flipped from value trap to ownership story. Price reclaimed the 200-DMA (~$10.30 on 2026-07-17, +13% in three weeks), Truist lifted its PT to $11 on 2026-07-09, and the 2026-07-14 addition of Alex Shootman — who sold Workfront… Special situation · AI enterprise software · M&A & special situations catalyst · PENN PENN Entertainment, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) kept the digital turnaround on schedule — interactive adj-EBITDA loss $9.5M (+$52.5M YoY), Q4-2026 profitability target and $1.963B retail EBITDAR midpoint intact — but the tape decoupled: prediction-market headlines took… Special situation · Prediction markets & betting · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · PRCH Porch Group, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Reciprocal-pivot re-rate has largely printed: $9.26 (6/5) to $15.98, now consolidating at $13.68 after KBW's 7/13 valuation downgrade that still raised its target to $16.25. Narrative intact but maturing; the 2026-08-04 Q2 print is the… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech catalyst · PRGS Progress Software Corporation MEDIUM Disciplined software roll-up ("Total Growth Strategy") re-rated by a fresh catalyst cluster: Q2 beat + FY guide raise (2026-06-30) and the $400M Domo buy (2026-07-22). Special-situations theme active, but a maturing low-beta compounder —… Special situation · AI enterprise software · M&A & special situations analysed · PUBM PubMatic, Inc. MEDIUM Ad-tech SSP growth inflection re-rated as an AI story: Q2 2026 revenue $78.593M (+11% YoY) beat a $68.875M consensus and the Q3 guide of $75–77M cleared $71.092M consensus. Two weeks on, the 2026-08-07 gap has held — the 2026-08-21 close… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · REAL The RealReal, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-06 binary resolved bullish — record GMV $617M (+22%), adj EBITDA $13.5M at a 7.0% margin, FY GMV guide lifted to $2.535–2.565B — and the tape did not re-rate: $11.40 on 2026-08-14 versus ~$11.37 on 2026-07-23, still 32.5% under… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Deleveraging turnaround repricing: ~$96M / 116-unit refranchising cuts net debt ~$147M→~$51M, removing the going-concern tail that pinned RRGB near $2.46. Tape +38.7% since the ~2026-05-20 Q1 print, into the low-$7s near the $7.89 high.… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · SMRT SmartRent, Inc. MEDIUM RSI(14) cooled 87.8→74.7 while price only slipped $1.49→$1.43, so the momentum extreme unwound sideways. Still no dated catalyst until the ~November Q3 print. Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · SNAP Snap Inc. fresh MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-03) inverted the broken-pivot frame: revenue +19% YoY to $1.6B, adj EBITDA $250M (+$208M YoY), Other Revenue +85%; ten desks lifted targets 2026-08-04 and the uniform $5 wall became $5.25–$8. The buy is a… Special situation · Mega-cap AI platforms analysed · SPSC SPS Commerce, Inc. MEDIUM De-rating-repair leg: Q2 (2026-07-30) beat on adjusted EPS $1.27 vs $1.09 with EBITDA +19% on 6% revenue growth, while the FY26 revenue band was cut on the 2026-06-30 3P divestiture. Price reclaimed the ~$70 200-day, but the fresh Morgan… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Freight & logistics analysed · TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. MEDIUM Legacy open-web ad network repricing as a toll booth on AI answer surfaces: the 2026-06-16 DeeperDive ad-network launch (35% take rate, open to third-party LLMs/agents) plus the 2026-07-01 Wikitree win drove a breakout to 52-week highs… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · AI enterprise software analysed · TOI The Oncology Institute, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) delivered the first positive adjusted EBITDA (+$0.2M) and a FY26 guide raise to $650–670M revenue with the EBITDA floor lifted to $2M, but the July refi spike already round-tripped and RSI was 32 into the print. Shares also… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Small-cap value rotation analysed · TWLO Twilio Inc. MEDIUM Legacy CPaaS repricing as voice/agentic-AI engagement infrastructure; sell-side re-clustered higher into the print — Cowen $245, Mizuho $240, Citizens $250 (2026-07-17/20) — but the 2026-07-30 Q2 report is now the binary deciding whether… Special situation · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · U Unity Software Inc. MEDIUM Legacy pivot has now printed: Q2 (2026-08-06) Grow revenue $329.0M +63% YoY, Vector past $1B ARR two quarters early, GAAP breakeven pulled into Q3 2026, four Hold-to-Buy upgrades on 2026-08-07. But the 2026-08-14 close of $46.25 sits… Special situation · AI enterprise software analysed · UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. MEDIUM Q2 (6-K 2026-08-12, call 2026-08-13) delivered the margin re-rate — Ipiranga EBITDA R$2.782B at R$451/m³, record cash flow, leverage 0.9x, lowest since 2008 — then management guided Q3 margins below that level. Price faded to 6.1% under… Special situation · Emerging markets · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels analysed · UHAL U-Haul Holding Company MEDIUM Storage-plus-capital-return re-rating held through a weak print: Q1 FY2027 (2026-08-05) missed on EPS ($0.58 vs $0.69 est.) yet the stock made a new 52-week high at $75.27, helped by disposal losses reversing $24.0M to a $1.9M gain. Now… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Managed care & health services catalyst · VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) resolved the turnaround binary upward: contract sales $545M +22%, adj EPS $2.31 vs $1.97 est, FY adj EBITDA guide lifted to $805–830M from $755–780M. Price cleared the July $105.97 high to a $120.99 close (2026-08-14) and… Special situation · Travel & leisure · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · WEX WEX Inc. MEDIUM Hated fuel-card/fintech inflecting: the 2026-07-22 Q2 beat (Adj EPS $5.35 vs $5.05) and FY26 guide raise to $19.68-$20.08 discredit the EV-kills-fuel-cards and rate-cut-kills-float bear case; PTs jumped to $200-210 (Mizuho/KBW, 7/24).… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit · Cyclical industrials analysed · WIX Wix.com Ltd. fresh MEDIUM Base44 margin inversion is the live leg and the market is now paying up for it: after the 2026-08-04 beat ($563.1M, +15%; adj EPS $1.39 vs $1.16) and the ~60% 2H gross-margin guide, price ran from the 2026-08-07 close of $60.20 to $66.14… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · WNC Wabash National Corp. MEDIUM The tariff re-rating now has a fundamental leg under it: Q2 (2026-07-29) beat on revenue at $417.2M and backlog rose 14% q/q to $956M, the first Q2 order-book build. The binary is regulatory — Commerce's final China AD/CVD determination is… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Freight & logistics catalyst · WTTR Select Water Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-04) underwrote the produced-water re-rate — record $101.6M Water Infrastructure revenue, $92.7M Adjusted EBITDA, EPS $0.17 vs $0.13 — and shares made a new 52-week high $22.18 before easing to $20.86. Consensus PT ~$22.29 is… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-margin-recovery turnaround now getting sell-side confirmation: Goldman upgraded to Buy/$63 on 2026-07-20 (vs Canaccord's $45 Hold a month earlier), pushing YETI through the $51.89 multi-year high. The leg still hinges on the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics analysed · ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. LOW Q2 beat everything management guides to — revenue $73.020M vs $66.088M consensus, adj EPS $0.28 vs $0.24, FY $1.00–1.05 affirmed (2026-08-06) — and bought no price: $9.27 close on 2026-08-14, 22.8% off the high and through the $10 shelf.… Special situation · Crypto exchanges & financials · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. LOW Post-scandal turnaround re-rate resolved its binary and faded. Q2 (2026-07-28) beat its own guide and lifted the FY26 floor, but printed adj. EBITDA $149.2M vs $201.8M YoY on a $28.6M settlement reserve build. Price gave back two-thirds of… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · ACN Accenture PLC LOW Post-crash re-rating leg has extended — $176.89 on 2026-08-14 vs the $118.15 June low — helped by a time-boxed $7.5B buyback and an $821M Pentagon War Data Platform award on 07-28. But RSI(14) is 73.1, the close sits within ~1% of the… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · ADSK Autodesk, Inc. LOW Legacy CAD franchise trying to re-rate on an asset-operations pivot: the $3.6B MaintainX deal closed 2026-08-03, yet the 2026-08-14 close of $251.66 is still 23.0% under the $326.79 high. Two desks picked up coverage in three weeks —… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Housing, homebuilders & proptech catalyst · ADTN ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. LOW ADVA margin-recovery turnaround is finished as a narrative: the 2026-08-03 final Q2 confirmed the July pre-announcement (rev $281.1M vs $290.2M consensus, non-GAAP EPS $0.04 vs $0.10, op margin 3.8% vs 6.9% in Q1), the $9 shelf gave way,… Special situation · Networking & optical · Cyclical industrials analysed · AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. LOW Frac-sand legacy pivoting to behind-the-meter gas power for AI data centers, but the story is DORMANT and the structure broken: shares fell from $16.73 (6/29) to an $11.96 close (7/24, -8.5%), losing the ~$15 base and $13 shelf on… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid analysed · AGYS Agilysys, Inc. LOW Hospitality vertical-SaaS recovery has re-accelerated into its print: AGYS ran ~+18% to $108.98 (2026-07-10) off the June ~$92 base, clearing the two lowest analyst targets ($100/$110) ahead of a confirmed 2026-07-27 Q1 FY2027 binary that… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. LOW The $44–47 shelf failed: the 2026-08-21 close of $40.41 grades the prior break condition as met, with RSI(14) at 22.0 and price 36.7% under the $63.86 high. Special situation · Travel & leisure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ALLE Allegion Public Limited Company LOW Post-Q2 gap intact but the leg is cooling: $162.31 on 2026-08-21 with RSI(14) back to 51.9 from 61.1 a week earlier, and price now under the $164.75 mean target while every post-print broker update stays Neutral/Equal Weight.… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. LOW Ethanol-to-specialty/low-carbon pivot re-rated ~6x off $0.92, but both fuel catalysts — the June 45Z cash sale and the Russell index add — are spent, and price has round-tripped from the $6.11 July high to ~$4.64, losing the $5.10-$5.20… Special situation · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Cyclical industrials catalyst · AMN AMN Healthcare Services LOW Healthcare-staffing cyclical recovery, real but maturing and now at the highs: ~$32.9 (2026-07-24), just off a fresh 52-wk high $36.27 (~+120% off $14.87). Truist's 2026-07-22 lift to a Street-high $40 Buy is the first target leading… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · ATHM Autohome Inc. LOW Cash-return re-rating in a shrinking business, now at negative enterprise value: US$2.62bn market cap against US$2.67bn cash, EV -US$36.57m (2026-08-16), a US$400m buyback authorised 2026-07-28 and an RMB1.5bn 2026 dividend floor. The… Special situation · Emerging markets · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · AVTR Avantor, Inc. LOW The post-print re-rating is digesting rather than extending: $13.66 on 2026-08-14 versus $13.59 on 2026-08-07, RSI(14) cooling 77.0 to 69.5, and the 2026-07-30 target cluster of $14–$16 already reached. Management's Q3 guide — about 250 bp… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · AZTA Azenta, Inc. LOW No new company information since the Aug 4 print, yet price ran from $33.39 (Aug 11) to $37.40 (Aug 21) with RSI(14) at 81.5 and the six-analyst consensus target of $34.80 now below spot. The self-help leg ($529M cash, no debt, $50.0M… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · M&A & special situations analysed · BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. LOW Lemonis "Everything Home" roll-up keeps closing deals — Container Store now wholly owned (2026-07-08), TwoPonds folded in (2026-07-01) — but the tape has bled from $5.83 to ~$4.96 and sits on the $4.26 52-week low as shares balloon past… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. LOW Citi upgraded to Buy at $25 on 2026-08-18 and JPMorgan lifted to $24 the same day, but the 6.5% pop to $20.04 fully retraced to $19.45 by 2026-08-21 — attention arrived without a lasting bid. The 2026-08-26 Q2 print is the binary:… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · BBY Best Buy Company, Inc. LOW Tape flipped since early July: BBY broke to a fresh 52-week high $87.35 (~$85.41 on 2026-07-17, +27.6% YTD) on RGB-LED TV exclusivity plus an AI-PC/MacBook refresh cycle. But price sits ~8% above the $79.15 consensus target while Loop… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · BHC Bausch Health Companies Inc LOW Levered deleveraging/separation stub: $2.41B equity on $20,239M long-term debt principal, with an 87% Bausch + Lomb stake as the main asset. The 2026-07-29 beat-and-raise (adj EPS $1.26 vs $1.04, FY sales guide to $10.790–11.040B) drove… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Binary-catalyst biotech analysed · BIDU Baidu, Inc. ADS fresh LOW Q2 print confirmed for 2026-08-18 pre-market is the binary. The ADR bleed flattened — cap $37.10B (08-10) vs $37.21B (07-24) — but the 2026-08-14 close of $103.67 sits under the $110 shelf, -36.2% from the $162.52 high, RSI 45.7.… Special situation · Mega-cap AI platforms analysed · BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. LOW The 2026-07-30 re-acceleration (comps +6.5%, traffic +8.3%, FY comp guide raised to +3–4%) is priced; no new operating datapoint or target revision since 2026-07-31, and the next print is ~10 weeks out. Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics analysed · BLDP Ballard Power Systems, Inc. LOW Q2 (release 2026-07-31) delivered the backlog inflection — $156.6M, +38.8% QoQ, 20% gross margin — and the stock still made new lows at $2.70 (2026-08-14), -57.7% from the $6.38 high. The £275M GeoPura deal converts the turnaround into an… Special situation · Solar & clean energy · Industrial power & grid analysed · BLKB Blackbaud, Inc. LOW Buyback-driven re-rating extended rather than stalled: $47.52 on 2026-08-21 versus $45.45 on 2026-08-11, with RSI(14) cooling from 80.1 (2026-08-07) to 62.8 while price rose. Price now sits within ~2% of the $48.50 consensus average… Special situation · AI enterprise software analysed · BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. LOW Margin-repair re-rating off the 2026-08-05 raise (FY26 adj EPS to $0.90–$1.00) is holding but no longer expanding: $10.55 close 2026-08-14, RSI cooled 71.1→66.0, flow down to two hold-rated $12 targets. Brinker's 2026-08-12 print showed… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · BRKR Bruker Corporation LOW Post-ASMS instrument re-rate broke back toward the $64.54 high and added a second leg: semiconductor-metrology strength (orders +20% YoY) pulled Leerink to $70 and top targets to $65–70. But at ~$62 the name sits ~13% over its 50-DMA and… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · AI chips & memory analysed · BSIN Big Sky Industrial Inc. LOW Helium/45Q pivot still on schedule after the 2026-08-11 Q2 print; the 2026-08-20 Sidoti deck added a first Phase 1 EBITDA figure (~$15M/yr). Same day a final 13D/A put Sage Road Capital at 4.9%. Price $1.40 against the $1.43 closing high,… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Industrial power & grid analysed · BTBT Bit Digital, Inc. LOW Both legs of the wrapper are now rolling over: WhiteFiber (WYFI, ~70.5% owned) de-rated from $38.50 to $27.57 as the June neocloud mania cooled, and BTBT slid to ~$1.50, a step above its $1.25 low. SOTP discount still ~49% (~$745.6M WYFI… Special situation · GPU cloud & neoclouds · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group LOW Spring miner-to-AI re-rate has fully unwound: BTDR lost the $15 shelf to $12.56 (2026-07-09) as AI-cloud ARR plateaued at ~$69M for a 2nd month. A signed-but-not-effective Tydal colocation lease (2026-06-29) and a $36M Nevada plant are the… Special situation · Bitcoin miners · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · CAKE Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) LOW Casual-dining re-rate got a genuine second leg: Citi's 2026-07-10 raise to a street-high $90 (Buy) on a rewards/app traffic-inflection thesis gapped shares 7% to all-time highs (~$86, 52wk high $86.66 on 2026-07-18). For the first time the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CARG CarGurus, Inc. LOW Post-print re-rate has stalled and faded: $38.98 on 2026-08-07 (0.1% under the $39.03 52-week high) to $36.85 on 2026-08-21, with RSI back to 49.7. Seven desks now carry $39–$44 targets and zero upgrades, two insiders sold into the level,… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc LOW Legacy-diner turnaround where the leadership leg is now spent: Deno took over 2026-08-10 and price went nowhere (2026-08-07 close $57.79 → 2026-08-21 $57.65) while RSI(14) reset from 63.9 to 49.6. The sell-side chased in late July (Piper… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · CERS Cerus Corporation LOW Profitability inflection intact — 9th straight positive adjusted-EBITDA quarter (+$3.0M) and a $30M term-loan paydown at the 2026-07-30 Q2 print — but product growth halved to +10% YoY from +24% in Q1 and gross margin fell to 51.4% from… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Small-cap value rotation analysed · CLMT Calumet, Inc. LOW Deleveraging-plus-SAF-ramp re-rate extended to a new 52-week high at $50.81 after the 2026-08-07 Q2 print; Goldman's second raise in 19 days ($45 on 2026-08-18) still lands below the 2026-08-21 close of $49.01. Nothing dated resolves the… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Solar & clean energy analysed · CMBT CMB.TECH NV LOW July's non-confirmation resolved upward: CMBT closed 2026-08-14 at $17.24, a 52-week high on the adjusted series, RSI 79.4, into a confirmed 2026-08-27 Q2 print whose rates were pre-disclosed on 2026-05-19 (81% of VLCC days at… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Freight & logistics catalyst · COMP Compass, Inc. LOW Now stretched into a binary ~2026-07-29 Q2 print ($4.0–4.2B guide) with an open NY AG antitrust probe. Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · COTY COTY INC LOW De-lever leg stalled rather than broke: FY26 net debt fell to $2,912.1M but leverage still printed 3.4x as EBITDA fell 22% to $846.9M, and management withheld FY27 guidance until the Consumer Beauty review closes by end-CY26. RBC cut to… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CPIX Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. LOW Deal-arb thesis is now spent: the $100M Apotex asset sale closed 2026-07-01 after a 99.84% shareholder vote on 2026-06-24, so the dated binary that drove the ~3.2x off $1.85 to a $7.36 high is consumed. What remains is a cash-rich clinical… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · CRCT Cricut, Inc. LOW Hardware-to-platform crossover still holding the 2026-08-05 gap: Platform revenue $85.0M now exceeds Products $71.3M, but the Q2 margin fuel was $26.7M of one-time credits and the CEO sold ~360k shares between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-19.… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Bitcoin miners analysed · CRL Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. LOW Post-2026-08-05 demand-recovery leg extended to a new 52wk high at the 2026-08-21 close of $295.19 (RSI 86.6, +84.1% over three months) with no rating action since TD Cowen's $300 on 08-10 — price is now inside the $282-$310 target band.… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · CROX Crocs, Inc. LOW Legacy-brand turnaround with fundamentals intact and the tape unwinding: after the 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise (FY2026 adj EPS $13.70–$14.00), shares fell from $131.72 on 2026-08-14 to $122.11 on 2026-08-21, RSI(14) 32.9, -13.5% from the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CRSR Corsair Gaming, Inc. LOW Post-print margin leg has lost its price structure: after a 2026-08-07 close of $14.35 (52-wk high), CRSR closed 2026-08-21 at $10.93, -23.8%, and Goldman initiated at Sell with an $11 target on 2026-08-19 over AI-driven DRAM cost… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI chips & memory catalyst · CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. LOW Legacy-networker AI re-rate intact and now at its binary: the $118–120 shelf held through July, price closed $121.43 on 2026-08-07 with RSI(14) at 78.4, and five sell-side target raises landed 07-22 → 08-06 (Citi $112→$139) ahead of the Q4… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Networking & optical catalyst · CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. LOW Reshoring leg still bidless: the 2026-08-18 dismissal with prejudice of Maxeon's US TOPCon suit and the 2026-08-12 Carwarp COD followed the 2026-07-24 cell-plant opening, and the 2026-08-21 close of $14.55 broke under the 2026-07-08 low of… Special situation · Solar & clean energy · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation LOW Legacy IT-services franchise being re-underwritten as an enterprise-AI deployment partner; the leg still works — $61.87 on 2026-08-21, up 18.0% over three months — but the sell-side revision wave ended 2026-07-30, price now sits ~3% under… Special situation · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · CXT Crane NXT, Co. LOW Beat-and-raise on 2026-08-05 has been fully sold: the ~$56.23 post-print quote gave way to a $50.20 close on 2026-08-21, RSI 39.3, and 2026-08-19 opened $48.06 with no company release behind it. Organic growth was only 2.8% of the 22%… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials catalyst · DDD 3D Systems Corporation LOW June's $50M raise at $3.05 (16.4M sh) is already underwater: shares last $2.775 (2026-07-02), below the offering floor, with ~$50M shelf undrawn and soft Q2 guidance (rev $93–95M, adj. EBITDA still negative) into the 2026-08-10 print. A… Special situation · Defense & aerospace · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. LOW Fusion pivot is the leg: the 2025-12-18 all-stock TAE Technologies merger (>$6B, ~50/50 fully diluted) is what's actually being bought, while the crypto-treasury leg was terminated 2026-08-07. The S-4 was still unfiled as of 2026-08-05,… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. LOW Guide-raise leg resolves in four sessions: the 2026-08-27 Q2 print (8:00 a.m. ET call, Dollar General the same morning) is the binary. At the 2026-08-21 close of $131.48 the stock trades above both aggregated mean targets ($127.32 /… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · DOCU DocuSign, Inc. LOW Legacy e-signature base re-wrapped as AI agreement management: IAM went 10.8%→12.6% of ARR in a quarter and is guided to ~18% by 2027-01-31, while total growth is still guided to decelerate to ~8%. The 2026-09-03 Q2 print is now confirmed… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · DUOT Duos Technologies Group, Inc. LOW The pivot is now structural: the rail subsidiary was sold 2026-08-05 (related party — interim CFO owns 50% of the buyer), leaving an edge-colocation operator carrying a 2026-07-16 five-year 10 MW hyperscaler contract worth >$111M. The tape… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · GPU cloud & neoclouds catalyst · DVA DaVita Inc. LOW The $175 weekly-close level from the prior note broke: DVA closed 2026-08-21 at $173.82, 27.9% under the $240.96 high, RSI(14) 10.9, with no company news or filing since the 2026-08-04 Q2 print. The census-recovery re-rate is dead;… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · DXC DXC Technology Company LOW Legacy IT-services decliner re-rated on an AI-centric pivot, now digesting: the partnership headline run stopped 2026-08-06, Paul Taylor's presidency took effect 2026-08-10, and price went flat ($10.84 on 08-07 to $10.80 on 08-21) while… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · AI enterprise software analysed · EFOR Everforth, Inc. LOW Legacy IT-services base re-rating on an AI-delivery pivot. Since the 2026-07-30 print-day +16.3%, the move has digested rather than reversed: RSI(14) unwound from 94.5 (2026-08-07) to 66.9 at the 2026-08-21 close of $32.70 with price flat.… Special situation · Defense & aerospace · Managed care & health services catalyst · EMBC Embecta Corp. fresh LOW Post-collapse levered stub has now run past its own sell-side: the 2026-08-21 close of $5.23 sits above the highest of four published 12-month targets ($5.00), short interest rose to 12.20% of float from 10.99% on 2026-08-11, and the… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics analysed · ENOV Enovis Corporation LOW Post-Colfax orthopedic pure-play turnaround: LimaCorporate integration plus FCF-conversion recovery (43% in 2024 toward a 70–80% target) is the self-help story, but price has rolled over from $34 toward $27 while three brokers cut targets.… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Cyclical industrials analysed · ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. LOW IQ SST AI-data-center pivot (announced 2026-04-28) that drove a spring squeeze has stalled — stock de-rated ~16% in a month to ~$45 (2026-07-09), sell-side uniformly neutral with PTs on top of price (Susquehanna $45, 2026-07-10), and SST… Special situation · Solar & clean energy · Industrial power & grid analysed · EPAM EPAM SYSTEMS, INC. LOW Compounder narrative broken on 2026-08-06: FY26 organic constant-currency growth cut to 2.0%–3.0%, Q3 guided to ~1.7% YoY. Price has stalled rather than extended lower ($99.90 close 2026-08-11 vs $97.43 on 2026-08-07), but the AI-native… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services analysed · EVC Entravision Communication LOW Smadex AI-DSP re-rate broke to a new 52-week high of $13.48 with no dated company news since 2026-07-12 — an anticipatory leg into the 2026-08-10 Q2 print, the binary on whether Q1's +204% ATS growth and ~22% EBIT margin held.… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials analysed · EXFY Expensify, Inc. LOW Legacy expense-SaaS pivot re-rated on the 2026-08-06 Q2 print: revenue $33.9M beat $33.688M, paid-member decline halved to -2% YoY, FY26 FCF guide doubled to $12M-$14M, ~7% of shares retired, and New Expensify ARR from net-new customers… Special situation · AI enterprise software analysed · EXTR Extreme Networks, Inc. LOW Legacy campus-networking name re-rating ~+140% off Feb lows on the Platform ONE / Agent ONE AI-NetOps story plus SaaS ARR +29% YoY; theme still accelerating but spot ($33.71, 07-10) has run through consensus PT $29.06 into the June bull… Special situation · Networking & optical · AI enterprise software catalyst · FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. LOW Activist-plus-new-CEO turnaround has stopped accelerating and started digesting: after the +30% run off Garden's $40.6 buy, price has chopped $50–54 for three weeks while sell-side targets climbed past spot (Goldman $61 on 7/10, Barclays… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · FIVN Five9, Inc. LOW Legacy-CCaaS AI pivot staged a sharp V-recovery: +29% off the $19.70 June swing low to $25.42, reclaiming the broken $22 shelf on a 2026-06-23 next-gen Voice AI Agents launch and an AI-first leadership overhaul. Now pressing the $26.26… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · FLEX Flex Ltd. LOW AI-manufacturing re-acceleration: the 2026-07-09 Cerebras CS-3 production expansion is the first company-specific bid since the S&P-inclusion +6% pop round-tripped to ~$147, refreshing the data-center power/EMS narrative into the ~07-29 Q1… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid catalyst · FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. LOW Post-spin margin-repair narrative is now fully written into sell-side models and no longer into the tape: five target raises through 2026-08-04 (TD Cowen $23) met a slide from $19.17 (7/31) to $17.41 (8/14), surrendering the July… Special situation · Oncology & immunology · Precision biotech & therapeutics catalyst · G Genpact Limited LOW Agentic-operations pivot keeps compounding in the segment data — ATS +24.1% to $363M, FY guide lifted to at least 25% on 2026-08-06 — while the 73% legacy book grew 1.9% and caps consolidated growth near 7%. The 10-Q filed 2026-08-07… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Managed care & health services catalyst · GTM ZoomInfo Technologies Inc LOW Legacy B2B data business trying to re-price as the data layer under AI go-to-market agents. The 2026-08-05 post-print gap is intact but unextended — $3.97 on 2026-08-21, RSI(14) cooled 76.9→58.9 — and the 2026-08-11 Microsoft Copilot MCP… Special situation · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · GTN Gray Media, Inc. LOW August's double catalyst — FCC 2-1 repeal of the 39% ownership cap (2026-08-06) and a Q2 beat-and-raise (2026-08-07) — has stopped extending: the 2026-08-21 close of $4.94 lost the $5.00 handle and sits 18.7% under the $6.07 52-week high.… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · GTX Garrett Motion Inc. LOW Turbo cash-cow re-rated (~8–9x → ~18x) on a datacenter/industrial oil-free cooling narrative; the parabolic Feb→June leg (~$20→$36) is spent, shares faded ~11% to the 50-day near $32.30, and the ~late-July Q2 print is the first chance to… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HAE Haemonetics Corporation LOW Legacy medtech pivot moved from promised to reported: the 2026-08-06 Q1 FY2027 beat ($339.4M vs $327.9M, adj EPS $1.14 vs $1.08) turned Interventional Technologies positive (+2.8% organic vs −10.3% in Q4) and lifted FY2027 organic guidance… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics analysed · HELE Helen of Troy Limited LOW Deleveraging-stub leg broke out: 2026-08-14 close $30.22 is a 52-week closing high with no dated news behind it, above the $26.50 consensus target and both published targets. Forward P/E re-rated 7.55→8.25 on an unchanged $3.25–$3.75 FY27… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · M&A & special situations catalyst · HIVE HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. LOW BTC-miner→AI-compute re-rating has its first blue-chip proof — BUZZ HPC's $220M Bell/Cohere sovereign-AI GPU deal (~$70M ARR) on top of $35M contracted ARR — but the stock stalled ~$3.79 below its early-June highs as BTC bled ~45-50% off… Special situation · Bitcoin miners · GPU cloud & neoclouds catalyst · HNST The Honest Company, Inc. LOW Margin re-rate is consolidating rather than fading: $5.05 on 2026-08-21 is 7.5% under the 2026-08-07 high of $5.46 with RSI down from 83.3 to 72.2, and Morgan Stanley's 2026-08-13 raise to $5.7 restored a target above the market. Nothing… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · HTLD Heartland Express, Inc. LOW Margin-recovery leg is already printed — Q2 OR 91.0% vs 105.9% — but flattered by $25.0M of equipment-disposal gains, and the beat drew no sustained bid (Barclays cut to $12 on 2026-08-13, after it). Price has since stabilised near $12–$13… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HUBS Hubspot, Inc. LOW Agentic-monetization leg still broken since the 2026-08-05 print (7,000 net adds vs 9,000–10,000 guided; Q3 guided +14%), but price has retraced from the 2026-08-07 close of $210.45 to $240.01 on 2026-08-21 with zero new company data —… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · IART Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation LOW Med-device turnaround re-rating is now fully banked into Hold-grade targets: BMO initiated Market Perform $19 (Jul 9) and Citi raised to Neutral $19 (Jul 8), both landing on the tape (~$18.76). The distressed-to-fair leg is done; only… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics analysed · IQ iQIYI, Inc. LOW Long-form streaming growth is broken in the reported numbers (Q1 2026 revenue -13% YoY, operating income to a RMB228.4m loss), so what is left is the micro-drama/overseas pivot — newly branded as Undercurrent Theater in early August 2026 —… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Squeeze & momentum setups analysed · IT Gartner, Inc. LOW Post-derate re-rating still working on price but the information flow has stopped: since the 2026-08-04 gap (+23.7%) the only new data is BMO cutting its target to $206 on 2026-08-18 and three insider sales at $184–$191. The 2026-08-21… Special situation · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation LOW Section 232 aluminum supply-shock (50% duty through 2027) plus a Q1 earnings inflection already repriced KALU ~+175% YoY to a $195 high; the move is maturing toward saturated with price at/above every published target. The estimated… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. LOW Former Bitfarms miner→AI/HPC-datacenter pivot has rolled over: June's push to ~$6.14 into Citizens' $10 initiation retraced to a ~$4.975 ref by 07-06, losing the $5.00 convert shelf and drifting toward the $4.00–4.20 base. Still zero… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Bitcoin miners analysed · KELYA Kelly Services, Inc. LOW Post-Q2 re-rate extended to a new 52-week high at the 2026-08-21 close of $17.09, but the last dated sponsorship input was Noble's 2026-08-12 estimate raise — price is now running ahead of the research behind it. July temp-help payrolls… Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · KFRC Kforce Inc. LOW Cyclical staffing recovery is fully printed — Q1 returned to YoY growth, Q2 guided +~4% — but price ran ~24% in three weeks to a fresh all-time high near $58.6, ~38% above the $42.33 consensus PT, into the confirmed 2026-07-27 Q2 print. A… Special situation · Managed care & health services · AI enterprise software catalyst · KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. LOW Post-print bounce failed: the ~21% rally off the 2026-08-07 low of $53.90 stalled at the 2026-08-14 close of $65.35, and the 2026-08-21 close of $61.46 sits just above the $59 break level. Record Q2 EBITDA and a raised FY26 guide are in… Special situation · Industrial power & grid · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · KLC KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. LOW Distressed post-IPO childcare name has retraced ~180% off its $1.75 spring low to $4.93 as growth shifts to B2B/employer care and before-after-school (Champions +17% YoY), while the core ECE business still shrinks (−3% enrollment). The ~13… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cybersecurity analysed · LNC Lincoln National Corp. LOW Legacy-risk-transfer re-rating: the 2026-07-30 Talcott deal cedes ~$5.8B of GUL statutory reserves for ~$200M all-in statutory capital, alongside a Q2 adjusted EPS beat at $2.24 vs $1.96. But the information is out, price sits 2.1% under… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services catalyst · LZ LegalZoom.com, Inc. LOW AI-reset narrative — a busted online legal-forms IPO repositioning as an AI-enabled SMB subscription platform (Anthropic partner, AI "digital mailroom") — drove a +29% 30-day rip into July. But it's stretched into the 2026-08-05 Q2 print,… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials analysed · M Macy's Inc. LOW Morgan Stanley broke the all-Hold wall on 2026-07-06, resuming at Overweight with a $30 target and a $3 EPS-power call vs ~$2 consensus — the first real upgrade catalyst since the Q1 beat. But price faded the note ($23.99 → $22.64 by… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc. LOW Cloud-conversion re-rating has closed its discount to the 52-week high on no fresh news: the 2026-08-21 close of $214.56 is 2.2% under the $219.33 high with RSI(14) at 80.2, while the last dated company item is 2026-08-04 and the last… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Freight & logistics analysed · MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. LOW AI/HPC power-buildout re-rate is the leg being bought — the 2026-07-09 HIF deal adds up to 2 GW in Texas, lifting potential capacity toward ~4.8 GW — but the golden-cross base fully round-tripped to ~$11.4 as analysts cut across the board… Special situation · Bitcoin miners · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · MATV Mativ Holdings, Inc. LOW Deleveraging leg is holding but no longer advancing: the 2026-08-06 10-Q showed H1 operating cash flow of $68.9M against capex of just $15.9M (vs $22.6M in H1 2025), so part of the debt paydown came from underspend. Shares closed $12.47 on… Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated LOW AI-data-center re-rating leg is unwinding — round-tripped from the $105.91 May ATH to the ~$84 50-day EMA under an unrebutted J Capital short thesis and a 2026-07-13 TD Cowen PT cut to $90; only the cyclical MCU/industrial recovery (~93%… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Analog semiconductors catalyst · MOH Molina Healthcare, Inc. LOW Medicaid-trough thesis passed its 2026-07-22 test (FY26 adjusted EPS guided to ≥$5.25), but the price leg expressing it broke: the week ending 2026-08-21 closed $200.29, under the $205 floor of the late-June breakout gap. What is left is… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · MOV Movado Group, Inc. LOW Tariff-relief leg is dead (Section 301 put Switzerland in a 12.5% band with no expiry on 2026-07-24); what's left is the Q1 margin re-rate (GM 57.3%, +320bp) and one date. Company confirmed 2026-08-19 that Q2 FY2027 prints before the open… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · MYE Myers Industries, Inc. LOW Legacy plastics maker re-rated ~2.4x on a "Focused Transformation" — MTS distribution arm in discontinued ops, capital concentrated behind Signature/MegaDeck composite matting (Infrastructure orders +130% YoY, Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs $0.28).… Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · MYGN Myriad Genetics, Inc. LOW Legacy hereditary-cancer testing house executing a diagnostics pivot; shares +40% off the June $3.99 base as Prolaris+AI launched (May 26) and Precise MRD colorectal/renal was pulled forward to Q3. Structure has repaired but now… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Medtech & diagnostics analysed · NABL N-able, Inc. LOW The cyber-pivot re-rating leg was withdrawn by the company's own 2026-08-10 guidance and nothing since has put it back: ARR fell sequentially to $544.5M, FY26 revenue cut to $539–542M, FY26 ARR to $562–565M. The bounce to $3.63… Special situation · Cybersecurity · AI enterprise software analysed · NEO NeoGenomics, Inc. LOW Oncology-dx turnaround accelerating — NGS +26%, PTEN IHC CDx (first FDA IHC companion dx in prostate, paired to AZ's TRUQAP) launched Jul 9, and TD Cowen $14→$19 / BofA $11→$16 on Jul 13 lifted consensus to ~$15.67, back above spot. But Q2… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Medtech & diagnostics analysed · NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. LOW Cyclical zinc-recovery confirmed and fully priced: Q1 EBITDA +126% YoY and Aripuanã's record 13kt ramp drove a run to the $16.89 high, but the equity now chops $12–13 while LME zinc printed a fresh 2026 high near US$3,622 — a bearish… Special situation · Critical materials & rare earths · Emerging markets analysed · NKE Nike, Inc. LOW The post-Q4 base failed: the 2026-08-14 weekly close of $40.73 took out the $41.35 low that framed the July read, and JPMorgan's 2026-08-04 cut to Underweight (PT $47→$40, EPS ~20% below consensus) turned two quarters of target-trimming… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · NOK Nokia Corporation LOW AI-networking legacy re-rate extending on a harder catalyst leg — first commercial AI-RAN platform with Nvidia (07-15) plus Taiwan Mobile, Orange Belgium and NestAI defense wins. Theme accelerating, but the 2026-07-23 pre-open Q2 print is… Special situation · Networking & optical · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. LOW Genuine VAR margin-mix turnaround (Q1 GM +240bps, cloud GP +35%) but a derivative AI tag: hardware GP guided flat, sales +1%. Range-bound $102–123 since the early-June rejection; ~$110 already sits above the ~$103 street target with a… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · AI enterprise software analysed · NWL Newell Brands Inc. LOW Turnaround inflection confirmed: 7/31 Q2 beat ($0.42 vs $0.20 est) plus first core-sales growth in 4+ years (+2.3%), squeezed 21.65% short float and re-rated the sell-side. But the entire FY guide raise ($0.73–0.77 from $0.56–0.60) is 2025… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · NWPX NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. LOW Legacy steel-pipe maker re-rated into a water-infrastructure + precast roll-up on a record $373M WTS backlog, an ~83% Q1 beat, and the Permalok RBJ field win. Narrative intact but the setup is extended — last near $148, ~35% above the… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials analysed · OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. LOW The CMS-reversal re-rate has fully round-tripped: after the 2026-07-02 rate restoration and a 2026-08-05 beat-and-raise, OFIX closed $10.01 on 2026-08-21 — below where it traded on the 2026-05-21 guidance-cut 8-K — with RSI(14) at 22.8 and… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Small-cap value rotation analysed · OOMA Ooma, Inc. LOW Legacy residential VoIP re-rating into an SMB cloud-comms roll-up, now pinned 0.5% under the $22.14 52-week high going into the 2026-08-26 Q2 FY2027 print — the first quarter testing whether the December 2025 acquired base retains at the… Special situation · GPU cloud & neoclouds · AI enterprise software catalyst · OTEX Open Text Corporation LOW FY27 is guided as a reinvestment year under a CEO seated 2026-04-20: revenue $5.135–5.185B versus FY26's $5.246B, adjusted EBITDA margin 32–33% versus 36.3%. The 10%-of-float buyback opened 2026-08-12; the shares closed $24.66 on… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst · OTLY Oatly Group AB LOW The 2026-07-22 guidance doubling (FY constant-currency growth 8–10% from 3–5%) is now a month old with no follow-on news; RSI(14) reset from 71.0 on 2026-08-07 to 43.7 on 2026-08-21 while price held, leaving a $13.03–$13.15 shelf. Nothing… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · PATH UiPath, Inc. LOW RPA vendor left for dead, re-cast as the orchestration layer for enterprise AI agents: first GAAP operating profit ($28M, Q1 FY27 reported 2026-05-28) plus the 2026-08-19 Maestro Flow launch drove +50% in three months to a $16.39 close,… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. LOW Operating-leverage re-rating on a de-rated HCM name is still working, but the fuel is two weeks stale: since the 2026-08-06/07 target raises the shares added 6.6% to $229.07 (2026-08-21) on no new company datapoint, RSI(14) 83.7, 1.1%… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · PBI Pitney Bowes Inc. LOW PBI broke the $17.62 shelf to a fresh 52-week high $18.62 (Jul 16) — the buyback/cost-cut re-rate is now extending, not consolidating. But revenue still shrinks ~3% YoY, consensus PT $16.43 sits below spot, and Q2 prints after close Jul… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials catalyst · PGNY Progyny, Inc. LOW Post-print de-rate still extending: $25.65 close on 2026-08-21, RSI(14) 18.1, the $28.75 July shelf lost, even as Wells Fargo initiated Overweight $37 (08-20) and JPM raised to $30 (08-21). The 2026-08-06 revenue guide cut is unresolved… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · PII Polaris Inc. LOW The $66 shelf the recovery leg stood on is gone: the 2026-06-05 low of $66.06 broke and PII closed 2026-08-21 at $64.39, three weeks after a beat-and-raise (Q2 sales $2,023M, operational adjusted EPS $1.01 vs a $0.70–0.80 guide). The… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. LOW Rig-reactivation cyclical is basing, not broken: June averaged 95 US rigs (vs ~90 Q2 guide), the July EIA STEO lifted 2026 Henry Hub to $3.67, gas rigs turned up 122→126, and Piper upgraded to Overweight 07-14. Price bottomed $8.57 (07-01)… Special situation · Oil, energy & geopolitical · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · PVH PVH Corp. LOW The August bounce failed: $82.47 on 2026-08-14 to $78.50 on 2026-08-21, RSI(14) 25.0, after a 6.2% sector-wide apparel drop on 2026-08-17. Q2 FY26 lands after the close on 2026-09-02 and is the binary — headline EPS carries the ~$100M… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · QLYS Qualys, Inc. LOW The AI-vulnerability-surface reframe got its numbers: Q2 (2026-08-04) revenue $182.2M +11% YoY beat the guide, FY2026 raised to $732–738M, stock +14% after hours, eight targets lifted 2026-08-05. Confirmation is now in the price — the… Special situation · AI enterprise software analysed · RHI Robert Half Inc. LOW White-collar staffing in secular decline: Q2 EPS collapsed to $0.26 (2026-07-23) as AI automation and a frozen hiring market gut permanent-placement demand. The >5% dividend yield reads as a value-trap signal rather than a floor. No… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Prediction markets & betting catalyst · RNG Ringcentral, Inc. LOW The late-July fade framing has been overrun: RNG ran from the post-print low-$40s to a $67.78 52-week high on 2026-08-13, closing $64.49 (08-14), +57.7% in three months. The leg is a legacy UCaaS name re-labelled on AI mix (~13% of ARR,… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · RUM Rumble Inc. fresh LOW The sell-the-news break is now confirmed: RUM lost the $6.46–$6.66 100/200-day shelf and closed $5.76 on 2026-07-17, -19% from the post-rebrand tape and within 25% of the $4.62 52-week low. Every moving average is overhead. The 2026-08-10… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · SABR Sabre Corporation LOW June's +20% deleveraging bounce has fully round-tripped: $1.99 (6/26) back to $1.73 (7/17), now under the 50-day near $1.79 after failing exactly at the $1.99 consensus PT. Balance sheet is fixed, narrative is not accelerating, and a… Special situation · Travel & leisure · AI enterprise software analysed · SAH Sonic Automotive, Inc. LOW GPU-normalization narrative broke at the 2026-07-30 print: revenue and adjusted EPS beat consensus, but adjusted EPS fell 17% YoY, franchised segment income −23%, and EchoPark FY26 GPU guidance was cut ~$300 at the midpoint. Shares… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · EV & autonomous mobility catalyst · SANM Sanmina Corporation LOW The prior break level gave way: the 2026-08-21 weekly close at $188.89 retraced the entire June re-rate. FQ3 on 2026-07-27 beat and raised — $3.46B revenue, +69.7% YoY, FY26 EPS guide lifted to $11.90–12.20 — and the tape answered with a… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · SBET SharpLink, Inc. LOW ETH broke $1,850–$1,950 to ~$2,280 on 2026-08-20 on a $1.9B short-liquidation cascade, carrying SBET to $7.91 with RSI 78.3 — despite a 2026-08-10 Q2 miss and a $394.3M net loss. What trades now is levered ETH beta into the 2026-09-15… Special situation · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. LOW Turnaround intact on the income statement, inert on the tape: closes of $3.58 (2026-07-24) and $3.59 (2026-08-14) bracket three flat weeks on the $3.50 shelf, and the 2026-08-10 Form 144 shows a retiring officer selling ~70,000 sh weekly… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI enterprise software analysed · SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. LOW Tariff-recovery leg has stalled into a $39.71–$47.11 range with insiders selling every rally and zero buys; the whole story now hinges on the confirmed 2026-07-30 Q2 print. Consensus targets sit at or below spot ($43.75, 07-16), adjusted… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · SKM SK Telecom Co., Ltd. LOW Post-Q2 re-rating extended to a $40.29 close on 2026-08-21 with RSI(14) at 74.0, but the 2026-08-07 6-K stretched the funding-disclosure commitment from one month to three — the ~₩1T primary-increase question is now unresolved and undated… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Emerging markets catalyst · SMWB Similarweb Ltd. fresh LOW Post-print repricing has stalled: the 2026-08-12 guidance raise and ~$60M of AI-licensing contract value are in the price, and Form 4 filings dated 2026-08-17 show the CEO selling 709,597 shares (~$6.25M) into it on 08-13/14. The $10.40… Special situation · AI enterprise software analysed · SNEX StoneX Group Inc. LOW The split-momentum leg is dead. SNEX round-tripped from a $139.01 all-time-high close (2026-06-18) to $102.99 on 2026-07-17 — down 12.5% in a week, 22.4% in a month — while insiders dumped $94.2M over three months with zero buys.… Special situation · Crypto exchanges & financials · Prediction markets & betting analysed · SPT Sprout Social, Inc LOW Margin-inflection re-rate on an 11%-growth social SaaS: the 2026-08-06 Q2 print lifted FY2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance to $1.11–1.15 from $0.88–0.97 while the revenue range barely moved, and three targets were raised inside a week. Shares are… Special situation · AI enterprise software analysed · STUB StubHub Holdings, Inc. LOW June's busted-IPO recovery leg has fully reversed. D.C.'s RESALE Act (10% resale-markup cap, effective 2027-01-01) plus a Texas AG probe into undelivered World Cup tickets broke the experience-economy narrative; at ~$8.60 STUB trades below… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Travel & leisure catalyst · SXC Suncoke Energy Inc LOW Coal-policy sympathy trade is fully dead: SXC has gone nowhere for three weeks, $8.39 on 2026-06-27 to $8.37 on 2026-07-17, pinned to the $8 shelf with no narrative velocity. The only live variable is the Q2 print, pulled forward to… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Critical materials & rare earths catalyst · TAL TAL Education Group LOW Legacy-pivot re-rating still intact on fundamentals — Q1 FY2027 revenue +31.9% to $758.4M with selling and marketing down 5% — but the post-print impulse has largely round-tripped: $12.16 on 2026-08-11 to $11.32 on 2026-08-21, RSI 37.2,… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Cyclical industrials catalyst · TASK TaskUs, Inc. LOW Mix-shift re-rating: AI Services hit $66.1M (+25.8%) in Q2 CY2026 on 2026-08-05 — seventh straight quarter above 25% — and is guided above 30% YoY in Q4 on AV/robotics work, against a 25%-of-revenue Trust & Safety book the market assumes… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Physical AI & robotics analysed · TBI Trueblue, Inc. LOW Deep-cyclical industrial staffer re-rated +140% off the $3.18 low on a staffing-demand recovery and a data-center/energy labor boom lifting PeopleReady +19% YoY. Still loss-making (Q1 net -$19.8M), margins compressed, and the… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid catalyst · TDOC Teladoc Health, Inc. LOW The Walmart/insurance-pivot re-rating broke at the 2026-07-29 Q2 print: revenue -4% YoY, BetterHelp -12%, FY26 revenue guide cut ~5% at the midpoint. What remains is $774M cash and a maintained $130-170M FCF guide against a shrinking top… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · TENB Tenable Holdings, Inc. LOW Q2 (2026-07-29) confirmed the AI-platform leg — revenue $268.5M +8.6%, Tenable One 50% of new business vs 41% in Q1, FY26 raised to $1.075–1.081B — but the sell-side cut into the beat (five PT cuts, Piper downgrade to $30) and a disclosed… Special situation · Cybersecurity · AI enterprise software analysed · TH Target Hospitality Corp. LOW The AI-datacenter-landlord re-rate has stalled: TH peaked at $20.85 and has given back ~21% to $16.36 (2026-07-17) as TDR Capital affiliates distribute shares in-kind to partners, losing the $17 secondary clearing shelf while Oppenheimer… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials analysed · THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation New LOW Hospital margin-expansion re-rating extended to a new 52-week high of $280.77 (2026-08-21), now above the $273.00 average sell-side target, while revision flow thinned to one new number since 2026-08-03 and six insiders sold into the move… Special situation · Managed care & health services catalyst · TIC TIC Solutions, Inc LOW Post-merger re-rate: engineering/geospatial backlog hit a record $1.18B (+20% YoY) on 2026-08-06 while legacy inspection fell ~5.5% combined, and UBS's 2026-08-11 upgrade (Buy, PT $12.50 from $11.00) prices an inflection that Q2's +2.5%… Special situation · M&A & special situations analysed · TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. LOW Beaten-down insulin-pump turnaround; the whole re-rate hinges on the tubeless Mobi ("Toby") 510(k) — planned for a Q2 filing but still unconfirmed after the quarter closed 2026-06-30 — plus margins scaling toward a ~60% Q4 exit. Shares… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics analysed · TRIP TripAdvisor, Inc. LOW Activist sum-of-the-parts leg broke: Q2 revenue $441.9M missed consensus $503.9M on 2026-08-06 (~-20% day), four targets cut to $9–$12.50 by 08-11, and the $11–13 base gave way to a $10.74 close on 2026-08-14 with RSI 25. What's left is an… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Travel & leisure analysed · TSAT Telesat Corporation Class A Common Shares and Class B Variable Voting Shares LOW Legacy GEO operator re-rating on a funded LEO pivot: 2026-08-04 C$2.3B, 15-year Canadian Arctic Mil-Ka contract expands Lightspeed 156→225 satellites and lifts the 2032 revenue target to US$4.9B from US$3.2B. Price closed at the 52-week… Special situation · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · UNIT Uniti Group Inc. LOW Hyperscaler dark-fiber demand turned the post-Windstream deleveraging grind into a growth story (~$1.5B disclosed funnel, $68.7M of Q1 IRU revenue from one hyperscaler), but the June re-rate to ~$11 has stalled in a three-week range above… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels analysed · VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. LOW Legacy-pivot re-rating held its breakout through the 2026-08-11 Q2 miss — $23.36 close on 2026-08-21 against $23.67 on 08-07 — but the same release disclosed $48.4M of ATM stock sold into July strength. With UPSTREAM MG topline guided… Special situation · Oncology & immunology · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · VSXY Victorias Secret & Co. LOW Turnaround re-accelerated with no new number: the July mid-$70s range broke, a $99.97 52-week high printed, then 11% came back into the 2026-09-03 Q2 report. Consensus target $91.40 sits ~3% over the $89.02 close on 2026-08-14, so the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · W Wayfair Inc. LOW Margin-inflection turnaround has stalled: after the June Evercore-driven pop, W has faded ~10% back to the ~$84–85 recovery base ahead of the binary Aug 4 Q2 print. Wedbush's Jul 16 Neutral/$104 initiation and a ~$100-capped consensus mark… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · WK Workiva Inc. LOW Earnings-power re-rate: Q2 on 2026-08-04 hit a 16.8% non-GAAP operating margin — the 2027 target, a year early — and lifted the FY26 adjusted EPS guide from $2.85–2.95 to $3.38–3.39 on a revenue guide that barely moved. Activist Irenic's… Special situation · AI enterprise software catalyst · WPP WPP PLC LOW Post-relegation turnaround leg is now being re-rated by the sell side rather than by news: Citigroup lifted its target GBX 285→430 on 2026-08-10 while staying Neutral, and the 2026-08-06 results gap has held with the 2026-08-21 close at… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · AI enterprise software catalyst · WRLD World Acceptance Corporation LOW Post-print leg has cooled, not extended: the 2026-07-24 gap ran ~$181 to ~$208 but the 2026-08-14 close of $194.75 gives back half of it, RSI 48.9, -13.0% from the $223.83 high. The 2026-08-13 $50M buyback authorization is inclusive of… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit · Small-cap value rotation analysed · XRAY DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. LOW Stock faded from $13.78 pre-print to $11.59 on 2026-08-14 — the narrative leg came and went, and the $11–12 shelf is what remains. Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · XRX Xerox Holdings Corporation LOW Distressed-deleveraging special situation that round-tripped its June activist pop into a binary 2026-07-30 Q2 print. At ~$2.60 it sits below the $2.75 Hold consensus and inside the $2.25–$2.50 target band; anchor buyer STARTEEPO (8.8M sh,… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials analysed · XTLB XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd. LOW Delisting binary fully resolved — Nasdaq confirmed compliance 2026-07-20 — and the pivot pop has bled off: no dated company release since, ADS $2.94 (2026-07-25) → $2.79 (2026-08-14), RSI 44.4. Event narrative is saturated; the next leg… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · M&A & special situations analysed · YEXT Yext, Inc. LOW Legacy presence-management vendor repositioning into answer-engine optimization; the recovery extended to $6.35 (2026-08-21), up 72.6% in three months with RSI(14) 69.6, on no operating datapoint newer than the 2026-06-02 Q1 print. On… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst ·