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Filtered library · Archetype

Theme leader · 63 dossiers

Dossiers classified as Theme leader — 63 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.

All 63 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
XMTR Xometry, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Xometry's AI manufacturing thesis depends on marketplace growth delivering its August 4 profit guidance. Third-quarter revenue of at least $234 million and adjusted EBITDA of at least $16 million, with the annual growth outlook maintained,… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · SNX TD SYNNEX Corporation fresh LOW TD SYNNEX's Hyve business links AI hardware demand to earnings; the 2026-09-24 results test whether growth exceeds guidance. The case requires revenue above $19.0 billion and non-GAAP EPS above $4.75 before a weekly close below $255… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation MEDIUM Farm-credit GSE re-rating on infrastructure lending: the 2026-07-30 Q2 print put outstanding volume at $37.2B (+22% YoY) with $13.1B now in infrastructure — power, renewables, broadband, data-center-adjacent — at 18.9% core ROE. The tape… Theme leader · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · APPN Appian Corporation MEDIUM Second-order agentic-AI re-rating met its first real supply: the 52-week range top moved to $46.06 and the 2026-09-04 close came in at $38.37, down 6.00% on the session, still above the compiled $34.00 average target that stockanalysis.com… Theme leader · AI enterprise software catalyst · CAI Caris Life Sciences, Inc. MEDIUM Post-2026-08-05 beat-and-raise ($263.7M vs $238.1M est; FY26 guide to $1.030–1.040B) is now consolidating: the 2026-08-28 close of $25.63 is back under the $26.50 median Street target, RSI(14) has cooled from 82.6 to 59.2, and no analyst… Theme leader · Medtech & diagnostics analysed · CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust MEDIUM Guidance-raise leg in a small-cap lodging REIT with an AI-adjacent demand pocket: Q2 adjusted FFO $0.48 (+22% YoY) and FY26 AFFO guided to $1.28–$1.34 on 2026-08-04, with four Silicon Valley hotels at 17% of EBITDA printing July RevPAR… Theme leader · Freight & logistics · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · FROG JFrog Ltd. MEDIUM Software-supply-chain-security plus AI-agent "trust layer" narrative keeps re-rating: the analyst cluster now leads price above $100 (UBS Buy $110 Jul 2, Truist Buy $105 Jul 9), confirming the continuation tell flagged in June.… Theme leader · Cybersecurity · AI enterprise software analysed · FTNT Fortinet, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-07-29) resolved up — revenue $2.047B vs ~$1.89B, product +52% YoY, FY26 guide raised to $8.020–8.180B — but price has gone nowhere since: $161.95 on 07-31, $160.01 on 08-14, still 4.9% under the $168.29 high. The 44-analyst mean… Theme leader · Cybersecurity · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · GTLB GitLab Inc. MEDIUM GitLab's consumption pivot got hard numbers on 2026-09-01: revenue $286.3M (+21% YoY), net ARR growth above 40%, dollar-based net retention up to 117%, FY27 guide raised to $1,129–$1,133M — and the shares gapped to a 52-week high of $51.04… Theme leader · AI enterprise software analysed · LMND Lemonade, Inc. MEDIUM The $50 shelf has held six weeks: $53.14 on 2026-09-02, RSI(14) 50.6, three reference closes since 2026-08-21 inside a $0.41 band. The state cadence restarted — Florida car 2026-08-26, Kansas renters 2026-09-01, Missouri car plus… Theme leader · Fintech & consumer credit · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · MGNI Magnite, Inc. MEDIUM The August deal-cadence gap closed on 2026-09-03: Magnite's Live Marketplace release named Disney Advertising, 37 media owners and +56% YoY live-sports ad spend (Jan–Jul 2026), and Needham took its target to $30 the same day, with the… Theme leader · AI enterprise software catalyst · PCTY Paylocity Holding Corporation MEDIUM Post-print re-rating leg: the 2026-08-04 Q4 FY26 beat ($1.84 adj. EPS vs $1.61 est.) triggered five price-target raises in 48 hours and a $150.42 close on 2026-08-07, +35.5% over three months. The buy is multiple recovery in mid-cap HCM… Theme leader · AI enterprise software analysed · PLPC Preformed Line Products Company MEDIUM The July rollover read was voided by the 2026-07-29 Q2 print: sales $212.7M vs $193M consensus, EPS $4.49 vs $2.41, and a ~30% one-session repricing to a new all-time closing high of $480.77 (2026-08-11). Grid/AI-power second-order… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid analysed · RVTY Revvity, Inc. MEDIUM Post-2026-08-04 print, RVTY re-rated on the wet-lab-under-AI story — management's strongest instrument backlog in 3–4 years — plus Diagnostics +11% organic and a signed exit from China immunodiagnostics. KeyBanc took its target to $165 on… Theme leader · Medtech & diagnostics · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · TEAM Atlassian Corporation MEDIUM The "agentic AI kills seat-based software" de-rating just reversed: Q4 FY26 (2026-08-06) put cloud +31% and $6,606M subscription ARR behind the Rovo/MCP agent story, and the stock gapped 30%+ on 2026-08-07 to close $149.07. The… Theme leader · AI enterprise software catalyst · TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation MEDIUM Synthetic-DNA-as-AI-input narrative went vertical: the failed $70 breakout reclaimed and ran to a $105.47 high, +200%+ YTD with 85% of it since the 2026-05-21 analyst day. Targets now $102-$120 but price sits above the $85.50 consensus and… Theme leader · Medtech & diagnostics · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · VST Vistra Corp. MEDIUM The 2026-09-02 close of $143.46 clears the six-session $135.66–$139.81 band on the same day a Form 4 disclosed the CEO buying 6,665 shares for $903,069 at $135.25–$135.99. FERC acceptance of PJM's backstop framework (ER26-3380-000) by… Theme leader · Nuclear & uranium catalyst · AMPL Amplitude, Inc. LOW The post-print re-rate stalled: AMPL closed $13.02 on 2026-09-04 against the 2026-08-28 52-week high of $14.30, losing the $13.30 breakout shelf and slipping back under the $13.77 mean target, with no dated analyst action since Needham's… Theme leader · AI enterprise software catalyst · CCJ Cameco Corporation LOW Nuclear-uranium theme maturing and CCJ's structure has broken twice into improving news: mkt cap $44.79B (06-29) → ~$39.9B (07-25), ~$88, ~35% off the $135.24 high, absorbing a $17.5B federal AP1000 program and NJ's $24B plan. Barclays cut… Theme leader · Nuclear & uranium catalyst · CEG Constellation Energy Corporation LOW CEG closed $290.04 on 2026-09-02, roughly +3.5% on the day and the first close above the $281–$282.50 band that had capped every attempt since the shelf broke 2026-07-19 (failed touches $282.50 on 08-14, $282.41 on 08-27). RSI(14) 59.8.… Theme leader · Nuclear & uranium catalyst · DDOG Datadog, Inc. LOW June's sell-side upgrade wave has exhausted and the first cut printed — Bernstein to Market Perform (PT $226, 2026-07-06) as the stock rolled over. AI-observability narrative intact but maturing; the $278.71 parabola round-tripped and the… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · GPU cloud & neoclouds catalyst · ESTC Elastic N.V. LOW AI-retrieval-layer narrative accelerating: Q4 FY26 total RPO $1.98B grew 28% YoY against revenue +16%, and the 2026-07-30 OpenAI partnership re-rated the name 56.8% in three months. The 2026-08-27 Q1 FY27 print is the binary — company… Theme leader · Cybersecurity analysed · VMI Valmont Industries, Inc. LOW Beat-and-raise still being sold: after the 2026-07-21 print ($6.14 vs $5.75, FY26 guide lifted to $22.25–$23.50), shares closed 2026-08-28 at $476.28, 18.3% under the $582.78 52-week high, with the broken $520 shelf overhead and the $470… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid analysed · WEAV Weave Communications, Inc. fresh LOW Beaten-down vertical-SaaS front-office platform for healthcare SMBs, down ~36% YTD and basing off the $4.24 low, repositioning around AI-receptionist monetization (TrueLark, 2025). Still a ~17% grower with GAAP losses, so the re-rate is… Theme leader · AI enterprise software analysed · SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. fresh LOW Solar/BESS EBOS name re-rated as a 2nd-order AI-datacenter-power play on a record $758M Q1 backlog and the multi-GW ON.energy deal; price reclaimed the $10 pivot but consensus PT sits at spot (~$10.63 vs $10.02), so the confirmed… Theme leader · Solar & clean energy · Industrial power & grid catalyst · BE Bloom Energy Corporation MEDIUM S&P 500 addition announced 2026-09-04 (effective before the 2026-09-21 open, replacing Molson Coors) puts a dated mechanical bid under a second-order AI-power name that has gone nowhere for three months: the 2026-09-04 close of $252.87… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · FSLR First Solar, Inc. MEDIUM Section 232 supplied a new leg: the 2026-08-06 proclamation sets a $0.38/W minimum import price on modules from 2026-12-04, above the ~$0.36/W FSLR struck on Q2 US bookings. Baird upgraded 2026-08-11 with a target moved to $318 from $205.… Theme leader · Solar & clean energy · Cyclical industrials analysed · GCMG GCM Grosvenor Inc. MEDIUM The fee-annuity re-rate is intact but idling: the 2026-09-04 close of $13.27 sits 4.7% under the adjusted 52-week high of $13.93 and on the 50-day average at $13.24, with RSI(14) at 42.9 versus 75.2 on 2026-08-14. Q2 reported FRE of $50.3M… Theme leader · Crypto exchanges & financials · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels catalyst · HRI Herc Holdings Inc. MEDIUM Second-order AI/power play: Herc rents the cranes and gensets that build data centers. Peer United Rentals raised FY26 guidance (2026-04-23), confirming an accelerating theme — but the stock sits +71% off its low and drifts into a binary… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid catalyst · IMOS ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. MEDIUM Memory-cycle re-rating in an AI costume just re-accelerated: June 2026 revenue +37.2% YoY and Q2 +28.7% YoY (both records since 2014, reported 2026-07-10) erase the May deceleration scare, and price bought back the ~17% fade to sit ~$68… Theme leader · AI chips & memory · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · INTA Intapp, Inc. MEDIUM Agent attach on a compliance-locked professional-firm base keeps producing dated headlines — Celeste-powered Intake/Conflicts/Time re-architecture (2026-08-19), Alt360 DealCloud distribution (2026-08-18), Legora integration (2026-08-25) —… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · NXT Nextpower Inc. MEDIUM Falling knife has based and turned: after a -34% unwind from the $163 high to a ~$107 June base, a fresh cluster (Truist initiate Buy $140 07-14, Guggenheim upgrade Buy 07-15) plus a 07-15 surge is re-rating the M&A-drift story. The… Theme leader · Solar & clean energy · Industrial power & grid analysed · SAP SAP SE MEDIUM Post-Q2 repair leg took its first downgrade and held: UBS cut SAP to Neutral on 2026-08-26 over slow agentic-AI delivery, and the ADR round-tripped the drop within two sessions to close $221.54 on 2026-08-28, helped by Salesforce's… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · Small-cap value rotation analysed · SOPH SOPHiA GENETICS SA MEDIUM Cloud-genomics platform story from the 2026-08-04 Q2 print (net dollar retention 117% vs 107%, FY26 guide up to $94–96M, AstraZeneca two-programme CDx deal) is now maturing: the shares eased to $8.09 on 2026-09-04, 9.3% off the $8.92 high,… Theme leader · Medtech & diagnostics · AI enterprise software catalyst · VEEV Veeva Systems Inc. MEDIUM Post-print re-rating: the 2026-08-26 Q2 FY27 beat (revenue $928.0M +18%, 44.8% non-GAAP operating margin, FY27 guide raised to $3,682–3,687M) contradicted the Salesforce CRM-share-loss story that had taken the shares to $185.91 on… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · Medtech & diagnostics catalyst · ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corporation MEDIUM The 2026-08-04 guidance-raise re-rating (adj EPS $6.35 vs $4.36; FY26 EPS to $20.75–$21.25) has gone sideways rather than broken: the 2026-09-04 close of $362.74 sits 5.3% under the $383.06 high with RSI(14) back to 44.5 from 76.4, and… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · Physical AI & robotics catalyst · ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. MEDIUM Palantir Foundry re-platforming now has a management clock — phase one guided complete within 30–40 days of the 2026-07-06 Citi event, landing on the ~2026-08-04 Q2 print. Price reclaimed the $21 shelf that capped the June recovery (+14%… Theme leader · AI enterprise software catalyst · ADI Analog Devices, Inc. LOW Q3 FY2026 delivered the AI-content proof — revenue $4.02B +40% YoY, Communications +84%, Q4 guided $4.3B ±$100M — but the bid never arrived: Broadcom's 2026-09-02 AI beat and raise (AI revenue $16.7B, Q4 guided $21.7B) left ADI at $362.25… Theme leader · Analog semiconductors · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · ATEN A10 Networks Inc LOW AI-security re-rate off the 2026-06-15 TrojAI deal has stalled: ATEN churning ~$35 below the $37.36 ATH, momentum cooling as Mizuho lifts its target to $34 but stays Neutral — analyst catch-up, not fresh conviction. The 2026-08-05 Q2 print… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Networking & optical analysed · CDW CDW Corporation LOW Second-order AI-server reseller whose ~37% recovery off the $97 low has stalled: a mid-July push to $144 round-tripped to $133 by 2026-07-17, right in the fairway of the ~$145 consensus target. The re-rate (JPM, MS $170, Citi $145) is… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · AI enterprise software catalyst · CECO CECO Environmental Corp. LOW 2nd-order AI-power name — Q1 orders +97% YoY and a first-ever >$1B backlog (2026-04-28) feed the datacenter/electrification capex wave, and the closed Thermon merger doubled EBITDA. But price rolled over ~25% off the $101.24 ATH to $75.63,… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid catalyst · DIOD Diodes Incorporated LOW The AI-server/auto power-content re-rate that carried DIOD to a ~$126 all-time high (June 18) has round-tripped: a double-top, an analyst downgrade, more insider selling and a sector-wide semi selloff pushed it to ~$96 by July 10, through… Theme leader · Analog semiconductors · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. LOW The $113 weekly-close condition broke: the week ending 2026-08-28 closed at $111.21, under the 200-day reported at $113.47 and the $117.54 July placement price. Q2 (2026-08-04) still accelerated — revenue +29% YoY, AI ARR $234M +212%, RPO… Theme leader · GPU cloud & neoclouds · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · EXLS ExlService Holdings, Inc. LOW Post-refinancing re-rating has stalled: the 2026-08-21 close of $37.53 was never exceeded, price sat at $36.63 on 2026-09-04 with RSI(14) easing 71.1 to 65.1, and the 2026-09-02 exit of insurance/healthcare head Vivek Jetley to Hexaware… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · Managed care & health services analysed · FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. LOW Second secondary in five weeks — ~43.6M shares at $49 on July 2, now including company primary dilution — confirms the recurring-supply pattern and dragged the stock from its $65.56 June-4 ATH back to the offering line. The… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. LOW The pre-print re-rating resolved on 2026-09-03: FY2026 ending ARR of $1,242M cleared the $1,229-1,237M guide, but the FY2027 ARR guide of $1,450-1,460M implies ~18% growth against 19% delivered, and the shares fell roughly 20% on… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · GPU cloud & neoclouds analysed · HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. LOW A guide-beating Q2 (2026-08-06) and a $43 Baird mark have still not bought a bid: $13.64 on 2026-08-28, 42.7% under the $23.79 high, RSI(14) 38.7, with the $13 May-gap shelf immediately below. No company-dated event falls inside 30 days —… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · Analog semiconductors analysed · HURN Huron Consulting Group Inc. LOW AI-disruption discount still unwinding, but the bid has stopped widening: the 2026-08-28 close of $159.84 is below the 2026-08-21 close of $161.64, no analyst has moved a target since 2026-07-29, and Huron has published nothing since the… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Managed care & health services analysed · KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. LOW The August repair topped at $20.15 on 2026-08-28 and gave back to $18.61 by 09-04 while the Chief Legal Officer and co-founder Ed Hallen sold into $20.01-$20.49 on 08-28 and 08-31. The AI-agent CRM leg now needs K:BOS on 09-09/10 to… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · MAX MediaAlpha, Inc. LOW MediaAlpha pre-announced Q3 revenue, contribution and adjusted EBITDA at or above the top end of the $330–355M guide on 2026-09-03, and the tape faded it — $12.22 on 09-03, $12.05 on 09-04, RSI(14) 40.5, 15.6% under the $14.27 high.… Theme leader · AI enterprise software catalyst · NXPI NXP Semiconductors N.V. LOW The 2026-07-28 beat-and-raise still is not being paid for: the 2026-09-04 close of $227.84 sits 1.0% above the 2026-08-21 weekly close that defended $225, no desk has revised a target since the UBS cut to $270, and Broadcom's record… Theme leader · Analog semiconductors · AI chips & memory catalyst · ON ON Semiconductor Corporation LOW The AI-power re-rate is unwinding, not consolidating: ON closed $87.37 on 7/17, below the 6/26 Synaptics deal-gap floor, with targets cut twice in three weeks (TD Cowen to $95 on 7/13, Mizuho to $125 on 7/1). Merger-arb supply plus a fixed… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · AI chips & memory analysed · ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. LOW Eightco is a listed wrapper on 301,971,219 WLD, 16,278 ETH and $90M of indirect OpenAI SPV equity — ~$380M of stated holdings on 2026-09-02 against a $388.35M market cap, so no discount remains to close. The collapse from a $45.08 high to… Theme leader · Crypto exchanges & financials · Cybersecurity analysed · PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. LOW The 2026-07-29 re-rating has unwound: the 2026-09-04 close of $58.01 completed the week below the $58.74 shelf, retracing the whole newsless August advance to $63.49, with RSI(14) back at 49.0 from 73.2. No company release has come since… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. LOW The 2026-08-05 beat-and-raise leg is intact on the numbers and stalled on price: $45.76 on 2026-08-28 against the $52.51 high of 2026-08-07, RSI(14) down to 41.1 from 61.4 a week earlier, and two officers each selling 12,000 shares on… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · Cyclical industrials analysed · POWI Power Integrations, Inc. LOW The 800VDC AI-power re-rate has cracked. POWI lost the $74–78 May breakout shelf in a -20% week to $70.45 (2026-07-17) and now sits below the $76.20 average target for the first time since spring. The GaN cohort broke with it — NVTS is… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · S SentinelOne, Inc. LOW The 2026-08-27 binary resolved against the profit line: Q2 revenue $292M (+21%) beat and FY revenue guidance rose to $1.202–1.207B, but FY adjusted EPS was cut to $0.30–0.32 from $0.32–0.38, and price went $21.19 (08-21) → $19.88 (09-04)… Theme leader · Cybersecurity · AI enterprise software catalyst · SAIL SailPoint, Inc. LOW Agentic-identity story intact and the post-earnings flush is basing: SAIL clawed from a $13.33 low (6/22) back to $15.68 (7/17), a higher low off the $10.30 bottom. Growth decelerated (ARR +26% vs +30%) and guidance was only affirmed, so… Theme leader · Cybersecurity · AI enterprise software catalyst · SDGR Schrodinger, Inc. LOW Agentic-AI software leg: the 2026-08-05 Bristol Myers Squibb agreement to deploy Bunsen at scale landed with a double beat (Q2 revenue $58.889M vs $47.228M consensus) and a raised drug-discovery guide of $65–75M. ACV grew 27% while… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · TLN Talen Energy Corporation LOW Contracted-floor re-rating has stopped paying: the 2026-08-05 Q2 raised FY26 Adj EBITDA guidance to $2,025–2,225M and PJM's 2028/29 auction cleared >10 GW at the $325/MW-day cap, yet the stock closed $347.71 on 2026-08-07, 22% below the… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated LOW The post-print shelf broke — $258.64 on 2026-08-28 versus $279.58 on 2026-08-14, RSI 31.1, 21.8% under the $330.59 high — and it broke in the same week ADI printed a record Q3 and raised (2026-08-19). The analog/data-center cycle is… Theme leader · Analog semiconductors · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · VPG Vishay Precision Group, Inc. LOW The AI-precision re-rate broke at the print: Q2 (2026-08-05) missed on revenue ($83.936M vs $84.646M) and adjusted EPS ($0.04 vs $0.19), Q3 guide midpoint sits below consensus, and the stock gapped -26.95% to $73.78 and has since made… Theme leader · Analog semiconductors · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · WSC WillScot Holdings Corporation LOW Cyclical modular-space leasing recovery with a small data-center kicker and an activist/M&A floor, but range-bound and digesting: shares drifted to ~$26 under the $31.88 high after the 2026-06-27 Russell growth-index removal. The confirmed… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid catalyst ·
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