Filtered library · Conviction
Low conviction · 97 dossiers
Every dossier the model currently rates low conviction — 97 names, each with its thesis, kill line, setup type and next catalyst.
All 97 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Low Dell Technologies trades near its high on expectations that its record $95 billion AI-server backlog converts to revenue at a 15% server margin; fiscal third-quarter results, listed for about 24 November 2026, show whether roughly $19… STX Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Low Seagate Technology's hard-drive pricing power is in doubt after two supply headlines in three sessions pushed the shares below the post-Toshiba low; the ~28 October 2026 fiscal Q1 report shows whether revenue reaches the $4.10 billion… AAPL Apple Inc. Low Apple's shares already price much of its premium iPhone and foldable cycle, and analysts now say memory costs offset the revenue gains; the 16 October 2026 iPhone Duo preorders and the fiscal fourth-quarter report, estimated for 29 October… ABCL AbCellera Biologics Inc. Low AbCellera's shares rest on whether ABCL635, its injectable hot-flash antibody, keeps working well beyond week 4. The 12-week data guided for year-end settle it. With the 1 October 2026 IMS presentation over and no new readout before then,… ADBE Adobe Inc. Low Adobe keeps beating forecasts, but investors are pricing AI agents as a threat to its subscriptions and the shares fell after the 10 September 2026 beat; the mid-December fourth-quarter report tests whether recurring-revenue growth holds… AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. Low Affirm's operating case is intact, with fiscal 2027 guidance and higher analyst targets, but the shares closed at $70.43 on 1 October 2026 without following; the report due about 5 November 2026 settles whether revenue confirms guidance. AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation Low Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac) still grows earnings from infrastructure lending, but its shares slipped below $210 after the September index addition. The early-November third-quarter report decides whether spread… AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Low Amazon.com's case rests on Amazon Web Services growing fast enough to pay for an approximately $220 billion 2026 infrastructure build. The third-quarter report, estimated for 29 October 2026, shows whether cloud growth holds near the June… ARM Arm Holdings plc Low Arm Holdings shares trade on an AI-agent server-CPU story that the company's own numbers have not yet confirmed; the tentatively scheduled 4 November 2026 quarterly report tests it against guided royalty growth of about 13%. ASYS Amtech Systems, Inc. Low Amtech Systems' AI-packaging equipment orders and margins have improved, but the shares still trade below the $20.50 June offering price; the ~9 December 2026 fiscal fourth-quarter report shows whether revenue follows the orders. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Low Broadcom's AI-chip revenue is still compounding, but a $60 billion debt package now funds Anthropic's Broadcom chips; the planned 9 December 2026 Q4 report against a $21.7 billion AI-revenue guide settles the case. AXTI AXT Inc Low AXTI's contracted-InP leg is intact on paper with no price expression: the 2 September 2026 close of $56.95 reclaimed neither the $58 line lost 09-01 nor April's $64.25 placement shelf lost 08-28, and no AXT release or filing is dated… BA The Boeing Company Low Boeing's $20 billion F/A-XX Navy fighter win on 29 September 2026 adds a defense anchor to a commercial recovery that still runs at a loss; the 27 October 2026 third-quarter report and the FAA's 737 MAX 10 review decide whether the shares… BAC Bank of America Corporation Low Bank of America's shares fell to $54.43 on 30 September 2026 after a warning that investment-banking fees will drop over 10%; the 14 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether earnings or only sentiment has turned. BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Low Berkshire Hathaway's earnings are rising, and chief executive Greg Abel has started spending cash on buybacks and stocks, but the shares lag the S&P 500. The early-November third-quarter report shows whether buybacks continue and insurance… BULL Webull Corporation Low Webull Corporation's breakout rebound has failed, with a 30 September 2026 close of $6.97 below the $7.30 level; the mid-November third-quarter report decides whether 51% revenue growth and a 31.5% adjusted margin hold. CEVA CEVA, Inc. Low Ceva's shares have rebounded faster than its royalty income, which grew just 1% year over year in Q2 2026. The third-quarter report, estimated for 9 November to 11 November 2026, shows whether Ceva's licensing wins are turning into… CIEN Ciena Corporation Low The 1.6T WaveLogic demand cycle is intact at the order book, but the trade has broken: $627.00 (06-02) to ~$370 (07-18) is a ~41% de-rating, and the $455–$467 shelf that framed the prior read is gone. Multiple compression from 54x forward,… COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. Low Coinbase Global shares are lagging their own good news: a CFTC-approved clearinghouse and a Citigroup stablecoin deal have not lifted them, and they fell 3.32% on 2 October 2026 as bitcoin rallied. The third-quarter report, expected around… COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Low Costco Wholesale shares look more likely to track the S&P 500 than beat it, because adjusted monthly sales growth slowed from 8% in May to 5.4% in August at about 40 times forward earnings. September sales, due after the close on 7 October… CRM Salesforce, Inc. Low Salesforce has real evidence that customers pay for its AI agents, but the story is widely known and the shares have slipped since Dreamforce. The ~2 December 2026 third-quarter report shows whether organic growth reaccelerates beyond… CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. Low Cisco Systems' AI-networking growth shows in its reported numbers, but the shares lack a catalyst before the mid-November first-quarter fiscal 2027 report. That report will show whether $9.3 billion of AI orders become revenue at the… CVI CVR ENERGY, INC. Low CVR Energy's third-quarter refining margin should beat the second quarter's $9.94 a barrel on record diesel cracks, but the shares already rose 88.8% in three months; the report due around 28 October 2026 shows whether the margin justifies… CVX Chevron Corporation Low Chevron is producing record cash at oil near $95, but its shares already trail the oil price and look more likely to lag the S&P 500 than lead it. The third-quarter report on 30 October 2026 settles whether refining gains and steady… DGXX Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares Low Digi Power X's AI-infrastructure pivot hinges on bringing Phase 1 of its Alabama colocation campus into service in December 2026; that delivery and the mid-November quarterly report decide whether its $1.1 billion contract becomes revenue. DIS The Walt Disney Company Low The Walt Disney Company's parks and streaming profits are growing faster than its share price, now in a correction with targets trimmed; the 12 November 2026 fiscal Q4 report shows whether double-digit fiscal 2027 EPS growth guidance holds. DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Low Distribution Solutions Group's shares trade at $34.94 against a $35.00 cash buyout by LKCM Headwater, so the remaining case is completion, not upside; the definitive proxy and the unaffiliated-holder vote settle it. FCEL FuelCell Energy, Inc. Low FuelCell Energy's data-center power story is again outrunning its results: shares jumped to $20.65 on 6 October 2026 on a Fit Energy site plan with no order attached. The mid-December fiscal fourth-quarter report decides whether deliveries… FIVN Five9, Inc. Low Five9's AI revenue, up 78% in the second quarter, drives the case for the shares, but the $34.36 close on 2 October 2026 already matches the $34.33 consensus target. The third-quarter report, expected around 5 November 2026, decides… FORM FormFactor, Inc. Low FormFactor's probe cards tie it to a record HBM and AI-chip spending cycle, but the shares trade just above the $136 level that breaks the case. FormFactor's ~28 October 2026 third-quarter report has to clear the $260 million revenue floor… FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. Low Fossil Group's shares hit a 52-week high of $6.80 on 1 October 2026 on the margin turnaround reported in August. The estimated mid-November Q3 report decides whether cash flow and Q4 sales growth confirm it. FRO Frontline Plc Low Frontline's tanker-rate earnings story awaits confirmation on 30 November 2026, but its price-continuation thesis had failed by the 25 September 2026 weekly close. Achieved third-quarter vessel earnings must match the second-quarter… FSOL Fidelity Solana Fund Low Fidelity Solana Fund is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months because buying of US spot Solana funds has stalled; weekly flow tallies and Alpenglow's October mainnet launch decide whether that changes. GE GE Aerospace Low GE Aerospace raised its 2026 earnings guidance in July, yet its shares fell 17.2% in three months on margin worries; the 20 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether engine margins stabilize. GRAL GRAIL, Inc. Low GRAIL's shares already price in FDA approval of its Galleri cancer blood test and reversed 10.9% to $137.28 on 6 October 2026, above most analyst targets. An FDA approval for adults 50 and older before a weekly close below $106.19 settles… HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company Low Hamilton Beach Brands' shares have run ahead of the evidence after a 70.8% three-month rise built on tariff refunds. The ~4 November 2026 third-quarter report decides whether gross margin excluding refunds of at least 26.1% and the… HD The Home Depot, Inc. Low Home Depot's results are steadier than its shares: second-quarter comparable sales rose 1.7% and fiscal 2026 guidance was reaffirmed on 18 August 2026, yet the stock fell 19.9% in three months on housing weakness. The ~17 November 2026… HNI HNI Corporation Low HNI Corporation's case rests on Steelcase cost savings lifting earnings while sales stay flat; the late-October third-quarter report decides whether July's 20–25% earnings-growth outlook survives softer office-furniture demand. HNST The Honest Company, Inc. Low The Honest Company's turnaround case depends on organic growth and margins excluding tariff refunds holding at Q2 levels. The Q3 2026 report, expected around 11 November, settles it, and momentum has faded beforehand. HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. Low Robinhood Markets had a strong September trading quarter, but its shares fell back after the 30 September product summit; the Q3 report expected around 4 November decides whether earnings justify a return toward the September high. HVT Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc. Low Haverty Furniture Companies' order recovery is real but is losing earnings momentum to freight costs and a Sidoti estimate cut; the estimated 28 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether written orders and the 60.5%–61.0% margin… IBM International Business Machines Corporation Low IBM's move toward software and enterprise AI has stalled in the share price after a second-quarter revenue miss and a cut to full-year growth guidance; the 21 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether software growth steadies or the… ILMN Illumina, Inc. Low Illumina's clinical sequencing recovery is intact, but the shares reversed from a $309.35 intraday high on 6 October 2026; the third-quarter report (est. 29 October 2026) must beat the $1.14–$1.16 billion revenue outlook to restart the… IMOS ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. Low ChipMOS's memory-driven recovery is real, but its US shares still trade ahead of sales after a record $83.30 close on 2 October 2026 and a $78.39 close on 6 October 2026. September revenue, due around 9 October 2026, shows whether sales… INTU Intuit Inc. Low Intuit still compounds earnings, but the shares trade on fears that AI agents will take its customers, and fiscal 2027 revenue growth is guided down to 9–10%. The fiscal Q1 report expected around 19 November 2026 shows whether new-customer… ITGR Integer Holdings Corporation Low Integer Holdings Corporation is close to completing its $127.00 cash sale to KKR after U.S. antitrust clearance on 30 September 2026, and the 21 October 2026 shareholder vote is the last major step; the fixed payout leaves the shares… JILL J.Jill, Inc. Low J.Jill's turnaround looks priced in, with shares at $24.76 on 6 October 2026, at the $25 top of broker targets, and TowerBrook's 49.4% stake registered for resale; the early-December third-quarter report shows whether guided 3%–5% sales… JNJ Johnson & Johnson Low Johnson & Johnson's newer drugs are covering lost Stelara sales, yet the shares fell to $252.93 on 5 October 2026, just above $250; the 13 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether that growth and the $101.1 billion 2026 sales… KO The Coca-Cola Company Low Coca-Cola's business is running ahead of plan after it raised 2026 guidance on 28 July 2026, but the shares are a defensive holding with little edge over the S&P 500; the 27 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether 5% organic growth… KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc Low Kodiak Sciences' DAYBREAK win in wet AMD looks largely priced in, with the shares near analyst targets, overbought and a launch still to fund. The AAO data from 9 October 2026, the funding plan and December's PEAK topline decide whether… KRT Karat Packaging Inc. Low Karat Packaging's shares hit a record $54.57 close on 2 October 2026 on the tariff-refund re-rating; the estimated early-November third-quarter report, the first without a large refund, decides whether 35–37% recurring gross margins… LIFE Ethos Technologies Inc. Low Ethos Technologies' growth case is now contested by two short-seller reports on its reliance on multilevel-marketing agencies and a JPMorgan downgrade; the early-November third-quarter report, against a $160–164 million revenue outlook,… LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation Low Lockheed Martin's shares sit 23.8% below their 52-week high in a sector-wide defense sell-off, even after July's guidance raise on a record $230 billion backlog. The 22 October 2026 third-quarter report tests whether earnings can outweigh… LUXE LuxExperience B.V. Low LuxExperience's turnaround has lifted the shares near their $10.51 annual high and above most analyst targets; the fiscal first-quarter report, expected around 11 November 2026, decides whether profits keep improving. MAN ManpowerGroup Low ManpowerGroup's staffing recovery is priced ahead of proof after a 43.3% three-month gain; the 15 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether earnings reach the company's $0.96–$1.06 per-share guidance. MCD McDonald's Corporation Low McDonald's shares sit at a four-year low because its 2030 plan funds about $8.5 billion of franchisee support while US traffic is still falling; the 22 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether guest counts have stabilised. MSTR Strategy Inc Low Strategy Inc. has resumed bitcoin buying for two straight weeks, but now funds purchases and STRC preferred buybacks by selling common stock. The 28 October 2026 vote on daily preferred dividends and STRC's return to its $100 stated amount… MXL MaxLinear, Inc. Low MaxLinear's shares trade above every average analyst target after an October rally on optical and broadband chip launches; the 22 October 2026 third-quarter report must show revenue above the $220 million guidance ceiling to support the… MYGN Myriad Genetics, Inc. Low Myriad Genetics shares trade on one broker's $8 recovery call while revenue per test is still falling; the third-quarter report, expected around 2 November 2026, shows whether pricing has bottomed. NFLX Netflix, Inc. Low Netflix still grows revenue at double digits with a 33% margin, but fears that YouTube is taking US viewing time have cut its shares 44% from their high; the 20 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether revenue and engagement hold. NKE Nike, Inc. Low NIKE's turnaround passed its margin test but failed on sales: first-quarter fiscal 2027 gross margin rose to 42.8%, yet full-year revenue is guided down by a high-single-digit percentage. The December second-quarter report shows whether… NTAP NetApp, Inc. Low NetApp's flash-storage growth and raised fiscal-2027 outlook back its AI-infrastructure pivot, but a record $226.27 close on 2 October 2026 sits above nearly every analyst target. The fiscal-Q2 report, expected around 1 December 2026,… NTRA Natera, Inc. Low Natera's Signatera cancer test is lifting revenue 38%, but the shares fell from a record $437.41 intraday to a $400.65 close on 6 October 2026 despite Citi's $480 target; the Q3 2026 report, estimated for about 5 November, shows whether… OABI OmniAb, Inc. Low OmniAb's shares need partner milestone payments to repeat and lift 2026 revenue guidance above $36 million; the third-quarter report expected around 5 November 2026 decides it, after the shares closed lower on the 6 October 2026 Analyst… ORCL Oracle Corporation Low Oracle's $664 billion cloud backlog is turning into revenue fast, but $28.5 billion of quarterly capital spending and $125 billion of debt keep the shares under pressure. The 28 October 2026 analyst day shows whether the financing path… P Everpure, Inc. Low Everpure's $7.0–7.3 billion fiscal-2028 revenue outlook has lifted the shares to a record $143.88 close, at or above most average analyst targets with momentum at an extreme. The third-quarter report around 2 December 2026 shows whether… PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. Low Paycom Software's re-rating needs recurring-revenue growth and margins to beat its own 2026 guidance, and analysts are split after Bank of America's 29 September 2026 Underperform call. The Q3 report, estimated for about 4 November 2026,… PD PagerDuty, Inc. Low PagerDuty's cost reset and unresolved ownership question support a recovery case, but the shares sit 5.4% below the 52-week high after a 56.6% three-month gain; fiscal third-quarter results (~24 November 2026, est.) test whether net… PEP PepsiCo, Inc. Low PepsiCo's attempt to revive North American snack sales with price cuts has stalled, and nine brokers have cut targets since 23 September 2026. The 8 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether 2026 guidance of 4–6% core earnings growth… PG The Procter & Gamble Company Low Procter & Gamble's sales growth has stalled at 0% organic, and the shares are more likely to lag than lead the S&P 500 until volume returns. The 22 October 2026 fiscal first-quarter report shows whether growth is moving back toward the 1%… PSNL Personalis, Inc. Low Personalis trades as a fixed $16.25-per-share claim on Tempus AI's agreed takeover, leaving little room to beat the market; the 2 October 2026 US antitrust waiting-period expiry and any binding higher offer settle it. QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated Low Qualcomm's data-center pivot now has Amazon as a named partner while handset revenue loses most of its Apple modem business; the 11 November 2026 report settles whether first data-center sales and the $5 billion fiscal 2027 target hold. QTRX Quanterix Corporation Low Quanterix's shares, at $3.44 on 6 October 2026, still trade above the $3.00 consensus target after a cut to $142–148 million 2026 revenue guidance. The third-quarter report, expected around 9 November 2026, shows whether spatial and… RBRK Rubrik, Inc. Low Rubrik's 33% subscription ARR growth supports the shares, but at a 52-week high above the consensus target the case rests on the early-December report raising guidance again. RMBS Rambus Inc. Low Rambus's memory-interface chips ride the server-memory boom behind Micron's record 30 September 2026 quarter, and the shares rebounded to $111.97 by 2 October 2026. The third-quarter report, expected around 26 October 2026, decides whether… ROG Rogers Corporation Low Rogers Corporation's 2030 plan for $1.5 billion of revenue and $14.00 of adjusted EPS is already reflected in overbought shares. The late-October third-quarter report decides whether the core materials business delivers the guided $233–243… RPD Rapid7, Inc. Low Rapid7's turnaround rests on cost cuts lifting margins while its recurring revenue shrinks. The early-November Q3 report settles it: annualized recurring revenue needs to reach the roughly $812 million forecast and management needs to… RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Low Recursion Pharmaceuticals' shares have run ahead of shrinking revenue on heavy short covering; the REC-4881 polyposis data in the 2 November 2026 CGA-IGC plenary decide whether the pipeline can carry the stock. SBET SharpLink, Inc. Low SharpLink, Inc. Still trades below the value of its Ether, at 0.82 times net asset value on The Block's 2 October 2026 tracker. MSCI's index-eligibility ruling, due by 16 October 2026, decides whether that discount can close. SDGR Schrodinger, Inc. Low Schrödinger's shares still trade well above the $20.80 consensus target after falling 11.3% to $28.90 on 6 October 2026, because software revenue has not confirmed 27% contract growth; the third-quarter report, estimated for about 4… TENB Tenable Holdings, Inc. Low Tenable's platform pivot shows in its reported mix, but guidance still caps 2026 revenue growth below 10%; the Q3 report, estimated for 4 November 2026, settles whether revenue clears the $273.0 million guidance ceiling. TSLA Tesla, Inc. Low Tesla's shares lack near-term confirmation: Cybercab has no disclosed fleet or ride economics, and analysts expect third-quarter deliveries to fall. The 2 October 2026 delivery release and the late-October earnings report decide whether… TWLO Twilio Inc. Low Twilio's rally on consumer AI agents stalled in its first S&P 500 session, closing at $280.41 on 6 October 2026; the Q3 2026 report, expected about 29 October 2026, shows whether organic growth beats the 11–12% guidance. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Low Twist Bioscience's 23% revenue growth as an AI antibody-data supplier is real, but its shares reversed from a $219.71 intraday high to a $166.97 close on 6 October 2026 amid ARK and insider selling. The mid-November fiscal Q4 report shows… TXG 10x Genomics, Inc. Low 10x Genomics' shares, at $80.66 after a 17.5% one-day drop from a $97.74 high, still trade far above the business its new Atera instrument has yet to lift; the third-quarter report, expected around 4 November 2026, tests the 40-unit plan… UBER Uber Technologies, Inc. Low Uber Technologies' ride and delivery business grew bookings 24% last quarter while its shares trade as if robotaxis will take its market; the third-quarter report, expected around 3 November 2026, shows whether growth holds. UNH Unitedhealth Group Incorporated Low UnitedHealth Group's raised 2026 earnings outlook has not stopped a 13.2% three-month fall in the shares. Early-October Medicare star ratings and the 13 October third-quarter report will show whether the margin-repair case holds. V Visa Inc. Low Visa's payment network is still growing double digits, with fiscal Q3 2026 net revenue up 14% to $11.6 billion, but the shares have stalled for three months. The fiscal 2027 outlook, due around 27 October 2026, decides whether they catch… VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. Low Veeco Instruments closes above the value of the 0.3575 Axcelis shares it would convert into, so a China clearance would more likely pull it down; the ~4 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether its order recovery holds that premium. VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. Low Viavi Solutions' shares are holding above the $45 May 2026 offering price after a 32.6% run that left them stretched. The fiscal first-quarter report, expected around 28 October 2026, has to show revenue of at least the guided $450 million… VRA Vera Bradley, Inc. Low Vera Bradley's shares have run past published analyst targets on one tariff-refund-aided quarter, so the case now depends on the December third-quarter report showing direct-channel growth without refund help. W Wayfair Inc. Low Wayfair's second-quarter margin recovery has rising analyst support but no price confirmation; the 4 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether the 6.9% adjusted EBITDA margin repeats. WFC Wells Fargo & Company Low Wells Fargo's earnings keep rising, but its shares have fallen to about 11 times forward earnings on worries about the Fed's rate hikes. The 13 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether loan growth and steadier margins offset fading… WMT Walmart Inc. Low Walmart is growing profit faster than sales through e-commerce, advertising and membership fees, but its shares are 22% below their high as U.S. comparable sales slow. The 19 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether that profit… XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation Low Exxon Mobil is earning heavily on war-elevated crude near $97 and strong refining margins, but the shares already price much of that and an Iran deal would cut the main driver; the third-quarter report, expected around 30 October 2026,… INTC Intel Corporation Low Intel's shares already price in its server-chip recovery and processor price increases, closing above the average analyst target, so they look more likely to lag the S&P 500 than lead it. The third-quarter report expected 22 October 2026… WDC Western Digital Corporation Low Western Digital's hard-drive pricing case weakened as the shares gave back the 5 October 2026 rebound and closed at a post-Toshiba low of $411.04 on 6 October 2026. The fiscal Q1 2027 report, expected in late October, decides whether…