Filtered library · Conviction
Low conviction · 98 dossiers
Every dossier the model currently rates low conviction — 98 names, each with its thesis, kill line, setup type and next catalyst.
All 98 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Low Dell Technologies trades near its high on expectations that its record $95 billion AI-server backlog converts to revenue at a 15% server margin; fiscal third-quarter results, listed for about 24 November 2026, test that against the $49.0… STX Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Low Seagate Technology's hard-drive pricing power is being priced as at risk as supply headlines push the shares lower; the ~28 October 2026 fiscal Q1 report shows whether revenue reaches the $4.10 billion guide and nearline pricing holds. AAPL Apple Inc. Low Apple's shares sit 0.2% below their 52-week high with much of the premium iPhone and foldable cycle priced in, and analysts say memory costs offset the revenue gains. The 16 October 2026 iPhone Duo preorders and the 2 November 2026 fiscal… ABCL AbCellera Biologics Inc. Low AbCellera's shares rest on whether ABCL635, its injectable hot-flash antibody, keeps working well beyond week 4. The 12-week data guided for year-end settle it. With the 1 October 2026 IMS presentation over and no new readout before then,… ABSI Absci Corporation Low Absci Corporation's shares still turn on whether its antibody ABS-201 grows human hair better than placebo; the interim HEADLINE readout, guided for the second half of 2026, settles the case by 31 December 2026. ADBE Adobe Inc. Low Adobe keeps beating forecasts, yet AI-agent fears hold the shares 33% below their 52-week high; the mid-December fourth-quarter report tests whether recurring-revenue growth holds near the 10.2% target. AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. Low Affirm's operating case is intact, with fiscal 2027 guidance and higher analyst targets, but the shares closed at $70.43 on 1 October 2026 without following; the report due about 5 November 2026 settles whether revenue confirms guidance. AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation Low Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac) still grows earnings from infrastructure lending, but its shares slipped below $210 after the September index addition. The early-November third-quarter report decides whether spread… ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Low Astera Labs' Scorpio switch ramp still supports guided third-quarter revenue of $540–560 million, but the shares gave back their index-speculation rally to close at $347.05 on 8 October 2026. The 3 November 2026 report decides whether that… AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Low Amazon.com's case rests on Amazon Web Services growing fast enough to pay for about $220 billion of 2026 infrastructure spending. The third-quarter report, estimated for 29 October 2026, shows whether cloud growth holds near the June… ARM Arm Holdings plc Low Arm Holdings shares have erased their late-September AI-agent CPU rally while a Qualcomm trial puts royalties in dispute; the tentative 4 November 2026 report must beat the ~13% royalty-growth guide to revive the case. ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. Low Academy Sports and Outdoors raised fiscal 2026 EPS guidance on one-time tariff refunds and buybacks while comparable sales fell 0.4%; the ~8 December 2026 third-quarter report shows whether core demand supports the rally. ASST Strive, Inc. Low Strive, Inc. is still growing bitcoin per share, but its shares have fallen with bitcoin and on dilution worries; the weekly Form 8-K due around 13 October 2026 shows whether per-share gains continue with bitcoin below the treasury's… AVGO Broadcom Inc. Low Broadcom's AI-chip revenue is still compounding, but a $60 billion debt package now funds Anthropic's Broadcom chips; the planned 9 December 2026 Q4 report against a $21.7 billion AI-revenue guide settles the case. BA The Boeing Company Low Boeing's case now rests on its commercial losses more than on the regulator: the FAA ruled on 2 October 2026 that the 737 MAX 10 software glitch is not a safety issue. The 27 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether margins and cash… BAC Bank of America Corporation Low Bank of America's shares closed at $53.61 on 8 October 2026, oversold after a warning that investment-banking fees will fall more than 10%; the 14 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether earnings have turned or only sentiment has. BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Low Berkshire Hathaway is spending its cash under Greg Abel on buybacks and new stakes such as Lennar, but its shares still trail the S&P 500. The third-quarter report due around 7 November 2026 shows whether repurchases held up and insurance… CAT Caterpillar Inc. Low Caterpillar's record $72 billion backlog has not protected its shares from 30-year Treasury yields at a 24-year high and a federal farm-equipment inquiry. The third-quarter report, expected around 28 October 2026, shows whether orders held… COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. fresh Low Coinbase Global shares still trade on bitcoin because its new clearing, Citigroup and Deribit businesses have not yet reached revenue. The third-quarter report, expected around 29 October 2026, shows whether subscription-and-services… COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Low Costco Wholesale shares look more likely to track the S&P 500 than beat it, because adjusted monthly sales growth slowed from 8% in May to 5.4% in August at about 40 times forward earnings. September sales, due after the close on 7 October… CRM Salesforce, Inc. Low Salesforce has measurable AI-agent revenue, but the story is well known and the shares have slid to $227.80 since Dreamforce. The ~2 December 2026 third-quarter report decides whether organic growth reaccelerates beyond acquisitions. CVI CVR ENERGY, INC. Low CVR Energy's third-quarter refining margin should beat the second quarter's $9.94 a barrel on record diesel cracks, but the shares already rose 88.8% in three months; the report due around 28 October 2026 shows whether the margin justifies… DGXX Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares Low Digi Power X's AI-infrastructure pivot hinges on bringing Phase 1 of its Alabama colocation campus into service in December 2026; that delivery and the mid-November quarterly report decide whether its $1.1 billion contract becomes revenue. DIS The Walt Disney Company Low The Walt Disney Company's parks and streaming profits are growing faster than its share price, now in a correction with targets trimmed; the 12 November 2026 fiscal Q4 report shows whether double-digit fiscal 2027 EPS growth guidance holds. FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. Low Fossil Group's shares hit a 52-week high of $6.80 on 1 October 2026 on the margin turnaround reported in August. The estimated mid-November Q3 report decides whether cash flow and Q4 sales growth confirm it. FSOL Fidelity Solana Fund Low Fidelity Solana Fund is more likely to lag the S&P 500 over three months because US spot Solana funds have turned to October outflows and SOL lost its $116 support; weekly flow tallies and Alpenglow's mainnet timing decide whether that… GE GE Aerospace Low GE Aerospace's engine-services growth and raised 2026 guidance have not stopped its shares sliding to $305.62, 19.7% below their 52-week high; the 20 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether margins and 2027 commentary can halt the… GRAL GRAIL, Inc. Low GRAIL's shares already price in FDA approval of its Galleri cancer blood test and slipped to $132.61 on 8 October 2026 as new trial data arrived. An FDA approval for adults 50 and older before a weekly close below $106.19 settles the case. HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company Low Hamilton Beach Brands' shares have run ahead of the evidence after a 70.8% three-month rise built on tariff refunds. The ~4 November 2026 third-quarter report decides whether gross margin excluding refunds of at least 26.1% and the… HD The Home Depot, Inc. Low Home Depot's results are holding up better than its shares, which sit 22.8% below their 52-week high as mortgage rates climb; the third-quarter report expected 17 November 2026 shows whether fiscal 2026 guidance survives. HNI HNI Corporation Low HNI Corporation's case rests on Steelcase cost savings lifting earnings while sales stay flat; the late-October third-quarter report decides whether July's 20–25% earnings-growth outlook survives softer office-furniture demand. HNST The Honest Company, Inc. Low The Honest Company's turnaround case depends on organic growth and margins excluding tariff refunds holding at Q2 levels. The Q3 2026 report, expected around 11 November, settles it, and momentum has faded beforehand. HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. Low Robinhood Markets has strong third-quarter trading volumes, but its shares have slid back to the early-September low as bitcoin fell; the 27 October Q3 report decides whether earnings are strong enough to reverse the slide. IBM International Business Machines Corporation Low IBM's move into software and enterprise AI has not lifted its shares since a second-quarter revenue miss and a guidance cut; the 21 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether software growth steadies or the 4%-5% revenue outlook falls… ILMN Illumina, Inc. Low Illumina's clinical sequencing recovery is intact, but the shares slid to $264.57 on 8 October 2026 after reversing from a $309.35 intraday high on 6 October 2026; the confirmed 29 October 2026 third-quarter report must beat the… IMOS ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. Low ChipMOS posted record third-quarter 2026 revenue of NT$8,400.8 million, but monthly sales were flat from August to September and its US shares already price in more. Third-quarter margins, expected around 10 November 2026, settle whether… INTR Inter & Co. Inc. Class A Low Inter & Co.'s record profits now come with an election-driven 32% four-day jump in its shares; Brazil's 25 October 2026 presidential runoff decides whether the rally holds, and third-quarter results test the earnings side. ITGR Integer Holdings Corporation Low Integer Holdings Corporation is close to completing its $127.00 cash sale to KKR after U.S. antitrust clearance on 30 September 2026, and the 21 October 2026 shareholder vote is the last major step; the fixed payout leaves the shares… JILL J.Jill, Inc. Low J.Jill's turnaround looks priced in, with shares at $24.76 on 6 October 2026, at the $25 top of broker targets, and TowerBrook's 49.4% stake registered for resale; the early-December third-quarter report shows whether guided 3%–5% sales… JNJ Johnson & Johnson Low Johnson & Johnson's newer drugs are covering lost Stelara sales, yet the shares fell to $252.93 on 5 October 2026, just above $250; the 13 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether that growth and the $101.1 billion 2026 sales… KO The Coca-Cola Company Low Coca-Cola is running ahead of its raised 2026 plan and gaining ground as PepsiCo stumbles, but the defensive shares have little edge over the S&P 500; the 27 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether about 5% organic growth holds. KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc Low Kodiak Sciences' DAYBREAK win in wet AMD looks largely priced in, with the shares near the consensus target, deeply overbought and a launch still unfunded. The 9 October 2026 AAO data, the third-quarter funding plan and December's PEAK… LIFE Ethos Technologies Inc. Low Ethos Technologies' growth case is now contested by two short-seller reports on its reliance on multilevel-marketing agencies and a JPMorgan downgrade; the early-November third-quarter report, against a $160–164 million revenue outlook,… LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation Low Lockheed Martin's business is running ahead of plan, with a record $230 billion backlog and raised 2026 guidance, but its shares remain caught in a sector-wide defense sell-off. The 22 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether… LUXE LuxExperience B.V. Low LuxExperience's turnaround has lifted the shares near their $10.51 annual high and above most analyst targets; the fiscal first-quarter report, expected around 11 November 2026, decides whether profits keep improving. MAN ManpowerGroup Low ManpowerGroup's staffing recovery is priced ahead of proof after a 43.3% three-month gain; the 15 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether earnings reach the company's $0.96–$1.06 per-share guidance. MCD McDonald's Corporation Low McDonald's shares sit near a four-year low as analysts cut targets on the cost of its $8.5 billion franchisee support plan and falling US traffic. The third-quarter report, estimated for 4 November 2026, shows whether US guest counts have… MRNA Moderna, Inc. Low Moderna's shares price in a strong Phase 3 melanoma result for its Merck-partnered cancer vaccine intismeran autogene. The 24 October 2026 ESMO presentation of the INTerpath-001 effect size settles whether the 194% three-month advance… MSTR Strategy Inc Low Strategy Inc. is still adding bitcoin, but most of its spending now goes to STRC preferred buybacks: $176.3 million against $28.7 million of bitcoin from Sept 28 to Oct 4, 2026. The 28 October dividend vote and third-quarter results decide… MXL MaxLinear, Inc. Low MaxLinear's shares fell 13% to $93.70 on 8 October 2026 after a 45% one-month rally yet still sit above the $88.64 average analyst target; the 22 October 2026 third-quarter report must show revenue above the $220 million guidance ceiling… MYGN Myriad Genetics, Inc. Low Myriad Genetics shares trade on one broker's $8 recovery call while revenue per test is still falling; the third-quarter report, expected around 2 November 2026, shows whether pricing has bottomed. NAT Nordic American Tanker Low Nordic American Tankers' shares sit near a 52-week high on record suezmax freight rates but already trade above analysts' targets; the late-November third-quarter report decides whether fleet earnings top Q2's $63,000 a day. NFLX Netflix, Inc. Low Netflix still grows revenue at double digits with a 33% margin, but YouTube's gains in US viewing time keep its shares 42.3% below their high as analysts cut targets; the 20 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether revenue and… NKE Nike, Inc. Low NIKE's sales slide now carries a credit cost: S&P Global Ratings cut NIKE to A on 5 October 2026 and expects cash burn after dividends for two to three years. The shares are likelier to lag the S&P 500 until the ~17 December 2026… NTAP NetApp, Inc. Low NetApp's flash-storage growth and raised fiscal-2027 outlook back its AI-infrastructure pivot, but a record $226.27 close on 2 October 2026 sits above nearly every analyst target. The fiscal-Q2 report, expected around 1 December 2026,… NTRA Natera, Inc. Low Natera's Signatera test is lifting revenue 38%, but the shares fell to a $390.79 close on 8 October 2026 despite target raises from Citi and Barclays; the Q3 2026 report, estimated for 5 November–11, shows whether growth justifies the… OABI OmniAb, Inc. Low OmniAb's shares need partner milestone payments to repeat and lift 2026 revenue guidance above $36 million; the third-quarter report expected around 5 November 2026 decides it, after the shares closed lower on the 6 October 2026 Analyst… OKTA Okta, Inc. Low Okta's shares now fully price its role as the identity layer for AI agents, closing at a $220.21 high on 8 October 2026 near the $223 median target before any reported figure confirms it. The Q3 fiscal 2027 report, expected around 1… ORCL Oracle Corporation Low Oracle's $664 billion cloud backlog is converting to revenue, but doubts over OpenAI's revenue and new off-balance-sheet chip financing keep the shares under pressure. The 28 October 2026 analyst day shows whether Oracle sets a dated path… P Everpure, Inc. Low Everpure's $7.0–7.3 billion fiscal-2028 revenue outlook has lifted the shares to a record $143.88 close, at or above most average analyst targets with momentum at an extreme. The third-quarter report around 2 December 2026 shows whether… PEP PepsiCo, Inc. Low PepsiCo cut its 2026 core earnings-growth outlook to 1–2% on 8 October 2026 despite a sales beat, as input costs and falling North American snack profit outweigh growth abroad. The early-2027 fourth-quarter report and volume after… PG The Procter & Gamble Company Low Procter & Gamble's organic sales growth stalled at 0% last quarter, and the shares are more likely to lag than lead the S&P 500 until volume returns. The 22 October 2026 fiscal first-quarter report shows whether growth is moving toward the… PSNL Personalis, Inc. Low Personalis trades as a fixed $16.25-per-share claim on Tempus AI's agreed takeover, leaving little room to beat the market; the 2 October 2026 US antitrust waiting-period expiry and any binding higher offer settle it. QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated Low Qualcomm's data-center pivot rests on its Amazon partnership while its handset business loses most of its Apple modem revenue; the 11 November 2026 report settles whether first data-center sales and the $5 billion fiscal 2027 target hold. QTRX Quanterix Corporation Low Quanterix's shares, at $3.21 on 8 October 2026, still trade above the $3.00 consensus target despite reduced $142–148 million 2026 revenue guidance and a new China clearance. The third-quarter report, expected around 9 November 2026, will… RBRK Rubrik, Inc. Low Rubrik's 33% subscription ARR growth supports the business, but the shares already trade at the $120 consensus target. The early-December report decides whether guidance rises enough to justify more gains. ROG Rogers Corporation Low Rogers Corporation's 2030 plan for $1.5 billion of revenue and $14.00 of adjusted EPS is already reflected in overbought shares. The late-October third-quarter report decides whether the core materials business delivers the guided $233–243… RPD Rapid7, Inc. Low Rapid7's turnaround rests on cost cuts lifting margins while its recurring revenue shrinks. The early-November Q3 report settles it: annualized recurring revenue needs to reach the roughly $812 million forecast and management needs to… RVTY Revvity, Inc. Low Revvity's case rests on AI drug-discovery customers turning a record instrument backlog into Life Sciences growth; the 3 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether that segment returns to positive organic growth after a 37%… RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Low Recursion Pharmaceuticals' early-October short-covering spike has faded, leaving the shares priced on pipeline hope while revenue shrinks; the REC-4881 polyposis data at the 2 November 2026 CGA-IGC plenary decide whether the lead drug can… SBET SharpLink, Inc. Low SharpLink, Inc. Still trades below the value of its Ether, at 0.82 times net asset value on The Block's 2 October 2026 tracker. MSCI's index-eligibility ruling, due by 16 October 2026, decides whether that discount can close. SBS COMPANHIA DE SANEAMENTO B SICO DO ESTADO DE SAO PAULO-SABESP ADS'S Low Sabesp's shares now trade on Brazil's 25 October presidential runoff more than on its water business: the first-round rally lifted the ADS to $6.59, near the $6.736 average analyst target. The runoff and the November quarterly report… SDGR Schrodinger, Inc. Low Schrödinger's shares still trade well above the $20.80 consensus target after falling 11.3% to $28.90 on 6 October 2026, because software revenue has not confirmed 27% contract growth; the third-quarter report, estimated for about 4… TENB Tenable Holdings, Inc. Low Tenable's platform pivot shows in its reported mix, but guidance still caps 2026 revenue growth below 10%; the Q3 report, estimated for 4 November 2026, settles whether revenue clears the $273.0 million guidance ceiling. TRMD TORM plc Low TORM plc's shares closed at a 52-week high of $38.80 on 1 October 2026, above Evercore ISI's $38 target, after Hafnia's stake-building and a raised 2026 earnings forecast. The 4 November 2026 third-quarter report decides whether lower… TSLA Tesla, Inc. Low Tesla's third-quarter delivery beat ended the near-term volume worry, but a 1.4% second-quarter operating margin leaves the profit case unproven. The 21 October 2026 earnings report shows whether margins and Cybercab disclosure catch up. TWLO Twilio Inc. Low Twilio's rally on consumer AI agents stalled in its first S&P 500 session, closing at $280.41 on 6 October 2026; the Q3 2026 report, expected about 29 October 2026, shows whether organic growth beats the 11–12% guidance. TWST Twist Bioscience Corporation Low Twist Bioscience's 23% revenue growth as an AI antibody-data supplier is real, but its shares fell to a $152.05 close on 8 October 2026, 25.8% below the 5 October 2026 high, amid ARK and insider selling. The mid-November fiscal Q4 report… TXG 10x Genomics, Inc. Low 10x Genomics' shares, at $80.66 after a 17.5% one-day drop from a $97.74 high, still trade far above the business its new Atera instrument has yet to lift; the third-quarter report, expected around 4 November 2026, tests the 40-unit plan… UBER Uber Technologies, Inc. Low Uber Technologies' ride and delivery business is guided to grow bookings 18–22% while its shares sit near their 52-week low on robotaxi fears and a costly delivery buying spree; the 4 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether growth… UNH Unitedhealth Group Incorporated Low UnitedHealth Group's case rests on its raised $19.50–$20.00 2026 EPS outlook, which the shares have not confirmed after a 13.0% three-month fall. The 13 October third-quarter report decides whether margin repair holds. V Visa Inc. Low Visa's payment network is still growing double digits, and the shares are back within 2.4% of their $384.14 52-week high. The fiscal 2027 outlook, expected around 27 October 2026, decides whether slowing costs let earnings growth justify a… VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. Low Veeco Instruments closes above the value of the 0.3575 Axcelis shares it would convert into, so a China clearance would more likely pull it down; the ~4 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether its order recovery holds that premium. VRA Vera Bradley, Inc. Low Vera Bradley's shares have run past published analyst targets on one tariff-refund-aided quarter, so the case now depends on the December third-quarter report showing direct-channel growth without refund help. W Wayfair Inc. Low Wayfair's second-quarter margin recovery has rising analyst support but no price confirmation; the 4 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether the 6.9% adjusted EBITDA margin repeats. WFC Wells Fargo & Company Low Wells Fargo's earnings keep rising, but its shares sit near 2026 lows at about 11 times forward earnings after the Fed resumed rate hikes. The 13 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether loan growth and steadier margins offset… WMT Walmart Inc. Low Walmart's advertising, membership and e-commerce growth is lifting profit faster than sales, but its shares closed at $110.56 on 8 October 2026, still 17.4% below their high and under the 200-day average at about 40 times earnings. The 19… XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation Low Exxon Mobil is earning heavily on crude back above $105 and strong third-quarter refining margins, but the shares sit at their 52-week high with much of that priced in. The third-quarter report, expected 30 October 2026, and the course of… XP XP Inc. Low XP Inc. shares have priced in a market-friendly Brazilian election, rising 84.5% in three months to a record $30.21 close on 8 October 2026. The 25 October 2026 runoff between Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula settles whether that… INTC Intel Corporation Low Intel's shares trade roughly at the average analyst target after falling to $107.08 on 8 October 2026, so they look more likely to lag the S&P 500 than lead it. The 29 October 2026 third-quarter report decides whether revenue clears… WDC Western Digital Corporation Low Western Digital's hard-drive pricing case weakened as the shares closed at $393.31 on 8 October 2026, the lowest since Toshiba's capacity report. The 22 October 2026 fiscal Q1 2027 report decides whether revenue and margins confirm pricing. BULL Webull Corporation Low Webull Corporation's breakout rebound has failed, with a 30 September 2026 close of $6.97 below the $7.30 level; the mid-November third-quarter report decides whether 51% revenue growth and a 31.5% adjusted margin hold. DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Low Distribution Solutions Group's shares trade at $34.94 against a $35.00 cash buyout by LKCM Headwater, so the remaining case is completion, not upside; the definitive proxy and the unaffiliated-holder vote settle it. FIVN Five9, Inc. Low Five9's AI revenue, up 78% in the second quarter, drives the case for the shares, but the $34.36 close on 2 October 2026 already matches the $34.33 consensus target. The third-quarter report, expected around 5 November 2026, decides… HVT Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc. Low Haverty Furniture Companies' order recovery is real but is losing earnings momentum to freight costs and a Sidoti estimate cut; the estimated 28 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether written orders and the 60.5%–61.0% margin… KRT Karat Packaging Inc. Low Karat Packaging's shares hit a record $54.57 close on 2 October 2026 on the tariff-refund re-rating; the estimated early-November third-quarter report, the first without a large refund, decides whether 35–37% recurring gross margins… PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. Low Paycom Software's re-rating needs recurring-revenue growth and margins to beat its own 2026 guidance, and analysts are split after Bank of America's 29 September 2026 Underperform call. The Q3 report, estimated for about 4 November 2026,… PD PagerDuty, Inc. Low PagerDuty's cost reset and unresolved ownership question support a recovery case, but the shares sit 5.4% below the 52-week high after a 56.6% three-month gain; fiscal third-quarter results (~24 November 2026, est.) test whether net…