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Managed care & health services theme · 88 dossiers

Dossiers in the Managed care & health services theme cluster — 88 names moving on shared catalysts.

Theme runProduced by the theme run on 10 September 2026, saturated.

All 88 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
HUM Humana Inc. fresh MEDIUM Humana's Medicare Advantage margin reset supports continuation above the $409.42 adjusted reference high before a daily close below $383. Bernstein maintained its $425 analyst target on 2026-09-09, while October Star Ratings leave the 2028… Compounder · Managed care & health services catalyst · OSCR Oscar Health, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Oscar Health's next valuation leg needs quantified 2027 growth at its September 16, 2026 Investor Day. Confirmation requires that disclosure and a subsequent weekly close above $32.76 before a weekly close below $29.83; absence of the… Earnings inflection · Managed care & health services catalyst · CNC Centene Corporation fresh LOW Centene's margin-repair case requires sustained earnings guidance and a weekly breakout above $68.72 by its 2026-10-27 results. The 2026-09-09 daily close of $64.06 leaves continuation under pressure; a weekly close below $65 or a… Earnings inflection · Managed care & health services catalyst · HNGE Hinge Health, Inc. fresh LOW Digital-MSK profitability re-rate broke out in May and was pushed into open price discovery by the 2026-06-09 mid-quarter raise (Q2 to $200–202M, +45%; FY26 to $818–824M). But nine sell-side target hikes in two weeks plus accelerating… Compounder · Managed care & health services analysed · CXW CoreCivic, Inc. HIGH DHS is buying CoreCivic's detention real estate outright — $2.2B gross for four facilities, about $307k/bed — while CoreCivic keeps operating them; proceeds funded $608.5M of debt repayment and a $500M buyback expansion (2026-08-05… Compounder · Travel & leisure · Managed care & health services analysed · GEO The GEO Group, Inc. HIGH Federal detention-capacity narrative is converting to signed revenue: five-year ICE contracts effective 2026-07-09 (Big Horn, 1,188 beds, ~$85M/yr) and 2026-08-01 (Rivers, 1,320 beds, ~$80M/yr), with FY26 GAAP EPS guided up to $1.27–$1.32… Compounder · Travel & leisure · Managed care & health services catalyst · LFST LifeStance Health Group, Inc. HIGH Margin-inflection pivot is now being repriced by the calendar rather than by new company data: LifeStance confirmed on 2026-09-01 that its CFO presents at Jefferies on 2026-09-14 and its CEO at Morgan Stanley on 2026-09-15, putting two… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ASTH Astrana Health Inc. MEDIUM Full-risk value-based-care compounder: the 2026-08-06 Q2 raised FY adjusted EBITDA guidance to $255–280M on 49% revenue growth, but revenue missed at $972.5M vs $985.7M consensus and the shares sit 22.8% under the $49.81 high. Truist $55… Defensive · Managed care & health services analysed · AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. MEDIUM the last close carried into coverage is $13.58 (2026-09-04) against a $13.82 52-week high — and the leg on offer is a fifth straight FY2026 guide raise at the Q3 print. Between here and then: two conference dates, a ~2026-09-20… Special situation · Managed care & health services catalyst · PGNY Progyny, Inc. MEDIUM The August de-rate stopped without a new bid: the 2026-09-04 close of $25.94 is 1.1% above the 2026-08-21 close of $25.65, while RSI(14) reset from 18.1 to 55.9. The narrative leg has shifted to Progyny Select — Citizens' 2026-09-02 note… Special situation · Managed care & health services catalyst · PRGO PERRIGO COMPANY PLC MEDIUM Store-brand self-care turnaround re-rating off the 2026-08-05 beat — adjusted EPS $0.50 and a reaffirmed core adjusted-EPS guide of $2.25–$2.55 against a $2.07B market cap and $3.3B of debt, with infant-formula and oral-care strategic… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · QNST QuinStreet, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-06 beat-and-raise stands unrevised while the tape has faded since mid-August: the 2026-09-04 close was $18.73, 14.9% under the $22.02 high, with all six published targets ($21–$24) sitting above it. Northland's 2026-09-01… Cyclical recovery · Fintech & consumer credit · Managed care & health services catalyst · STLN Starling Oncology, Inc. MEDIUM Value-based oncology pivot repriced on the 2026-08-06 Q2 print: revenue $161.3M (+34.6% YoY), gross profit +55.2%, first positive adjusted EBITDA (+$229K), FY26 guide raised to $650–670M. The capitated/delegated-risk ramp is the leg, but… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Oncology & immunology analysed · TNET Trinet Group, Inc. MEDIUM Post-print durability leg: after the 2026-07-30 Q2 beat (ICR 86% vs 90%, adj EPS $1.55 vs $0.93) and FY guide raise, TNET closed 2026-08-28 at $70.27, 2.0% under its $71.67 high. UBS lifted its target to $71 on 2026-08-24 but the… Earnings inflection · Managed care & health services catalyst · AAPL Apple Inc. LOW July's rotation-crown has slipped — Polymarket now gives Apple 20% odds of ending 2026 as the largest company (7/24) and semis are breaking out again (NVDA 7/23). The live narrative is the 'anti-CapEx AI trade' as Alphabet turns… Earnings inflection · Mega-cap AI platforms · Managed care & health services catalyst · AGL agilon health, inc. LOW Value-based-care turnaround is filed, not promised: Q2 (2026-08-05) medical margin $197M vs -$53M a year earlier, FY26 adjusted EBITDA guided $75–$95M. The re-rating leg has stalled anyway — the 2026-09-04 close of $88.50 sits 31.8% under… Special situation · Managed care & health services catalyst · HIMS Hims & Hers Health, Inc. LOW GLP-1 reaccel gets marked to market on 2026-08-10: guide $680-700M (+25-28%) vs Q1's +4%, street at $698.9M. Since the last note the FTC/CA/UT sued (2026-07-29, N.D. Cal.), BofA cut $37 to $30, and Amazon ($50/mo Medicare GLP-1,… Retail squeeze · Managed care & health services · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · NUTX Nutex Health Inc. LOW Re-rating leg has stalled: NUTX closed $162.98 on 2026-07-17 after five straight down days, ~20% off the $204.00 high, giving back the June breakout that B. Riley's 2026-06-26 Buy/$290 initiation topped out. A $55.0M true-up of 18,950… Retail squeeze · Managed care & health services · Squeeze & momentum setups catalyst · OMDA Omada Health, Inc. LOW The post-print leg is fully retraced — $22.77 on 2026-09-04 versus $23.89 on 2026-08-21 and the $26.78 52-week high — leaving price under the mid-July pre-beat shelf despite eight sell-side target actions between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-31.… Compounder · Managed care & health services · AI enterprise software catalyst · PAYS Paysign, Inc. LOW The momentum leg has broken while the fundamental leg stays untested: the shares gave back 11.4% from the $14.14 high to a 2026-09-02 close of $12.53, RSI(14) 44.2 from 96.7 on 2026-08-21, after the 2026-08-26–27 Midwest IDEAS appearance… Defensive · Fintech & consumer credit · Managed care & health services catalyst · PTRN Pattern Group Inc. Series A LOW Fundamentals still compounding — Q2 revenue $876.8M +47%, NRR 129%, FY guide raised to $3.42–3.46B — while the tape drifted from $23.16 post-print to $20.20 on 2026-09-04, closing on the $19.00 shelf where June's secondary cleared 9.2M… Cyclical recovery · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CCRN Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. SUPREME Terminated rather than live: the Knox Lane take-private closed 2026-07-21 at $13.25 cash, Nasdaq filed Form 25 that day, and the Form 15-12G/A of 2026-07-31 certifies approximately one holder of record. EDGAR has recorded no filing for the… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services analysed · TBRG TruBridge, Inc. SUPREME Closed and deregistered — the IKS Health merger paid $26.25/share cash at the 2026-07-09 effective time, Form 25 the same day, Form 15-12G on 2026-07-24, and the adjusted series stops at $26.24 on 2026-07-08. The only live thread is a… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services analysed · ARX Accelerant Holdings HIGH Fixed-price take-private: $20.25 all-cash from Thoma Bravo, with the 2026-09-04 close of $19.88 leaving a $0.37 gross spread on an insurance-regulatory calendar guided to H1 2027. The spread has tightened from $0.66 on 2026-08-21 on an… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services catalyst · ESPR Esperion Therapeutics, Inc. HIGH Resolved and off the tape: the ARCHIMED take-private closed 2026-07-13 at $3.16 cash plus a non-transferable CVR of up to $100M, and Esperion filed a Form 15-12G on 2026-07-23 to suspend Exchange Act reporting. The last listed close was… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · SAFT Safety Insurance Group, Inc. HIGH The Mapfre $105.00 all-cash deal finally has filed dates: HSR filings made 2026-08-13 with the initial waiting period expiring 2026-09-14, a Massachusetts Form A filed 2026-08-25, and a preliminary proxy filed 2026-09-03 that still leaves… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services catalyst · ANDG Andersen Group Inc. MEDIUM Post-IPO roll-up re-rate that survived its binary: Q2 revenue $217.7M beat $199.3M on 2026-08-12 and FY2026 was affirmed at $980M–$1.0B, with four target raises to $49–57 on 2026-08-13. The print is behind it and no dated catalyst sits… Defensive · Managed care & health services · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels catalyst · BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. MEDIUM Post-guidance-reset re-rate printed a new 52-week high of $68.09 before the 2026-09-04 close of $66.82, but the first negative company headline of the leg — the zola-cel autoimmune CAR-T enrollment pause confirmed 2026-08-31 — arrived with… Special situation · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Oncology & immunology catalyst · CBLL CeriBell, Inc. MEDIUM The NTAP-funded delirium leg is intact but the flow behind it has thinned — no headline, estimate or target action since BTIG's $30 on 2026-08-18, RSI(14) off 86.0 (08-21) to 78.1 at the 2026-08-28 close of $23.73, still 4.7% under the… Defensive · Medtech & diagnostics · Managed care & health services analysed · CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc MEDIUM Legacy-diner turnaround with both catalysts spent: the 2026-08-10 CEO handover passed without a repricing and no analyst has moved a target since 2026-07-28. Reference closes stepped down $57.79 (08-07) → $57.65 (08-21) → $55.66 (08-28)… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · CRAI CRA International, Inc. MEDIUM Beat-and-raise from 2026-08-06 — record $210.8M quarter, FY26 constant-currency guide to $805–820M — remains only partly repriced: $174.99 on 2026-08-28, 20.8% under the $221.02 high, no company headline since 2026-08-08. The leg is a toll… Cyclical recovery · Managed care & health services catalyst · CTRN Citi Trends, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-25 print resolved the binary the right way — comps +10.5%, gross margin 40.6% (+60bps), FY adjusted EBITDA guide lifted to $38–42M — and the shares still closed lower, because the raised FY sales range of $901.958M–$918.357M… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation MEDIUM Legacy IT-services franchise re-underwritten as an enterprise-AI deployment partner; the leg still works but has run through its own consensus — the 2026-08-28 close of $64.04 sits above the $63.94 29-analyst mean, no target has been… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials analysed · DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. MEDIUM The guide-raise resolved on 2026-08-27 — FY26 adjusted EPS moved to $7.70–$8.05 from $6.70–$7.10 against a $7.04 consensus mark — and the tape paid nothing: $131.42 on 2026-09-04 versus $131.48 on 2026-08-21. With Q3 EPS guided $0.80–$0.95… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · DVA DaVita Inc. MEDIUM The census-recovery re-rate stayed dead through August, but the 2026-08-21 washout close of $173.82 held: DVA closed 2026-08-28 at $180.68 with RSI(14) back to 44.9 from 10.9. The 2026-08-25 Humana value-based deal (>10,000 MA members, CKD… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. MEDIUM Sell-side flipped from cutting to marking up in ten days — five PT raises 2026-07-10→07-17 (JPM $94, Canaccord $97, Citi $92, RJ $87, UBS $80) on the e.l.f. Hair launch and Rhode scaling, while the stock slipped to $72.25. Narrative… Earnings inflection · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services catalyst · EVER EverQuote, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-03 Q2 print resolved the plateau binary bullish: revenue $195.1M (+25% YoY) broke the three-quarter ~$190M band, adjusted EBITDA hit a record $30.1M, and Q3 was guided $198–208M above the $201.6M consensus. The leg is now… Defensive · Managed care & health services · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc MEDIUM Back at the high on flow rather than news: the 2026-08-28 close of $52.95 is 0.6% under the 2026-08-07 high of $53.25, yet RSI(14) reads 54.1 against 85.9 at that high and no company headline has landed since the 2026-08-06 Q2 beat… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · HRB H&R Block, Inc. MEDIUM A defended-franchise cash-return story re-rated on 2026-08-11: fiscal Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.38 beat $2.21, and the FY2027 guide of $6.04–6.24 adjusted EPS topped $5.86 consensus, with 7.9% of shares retired in FY2026 at an average $47.48… Special situation · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Managed care & health services analysed · KELYA Kelly Services, Inc. MEDIUM Both macro tests cleared — the 2026-08-28 benchmark revision at -79,000 (-0.1%) was milder than the ten-year 0.2% average, and the 2026-09-04 jobs report printed +162,000 with July revised from -23,000 to +21,000. Price holds within 2.4%… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · NESR National Energy Services Reunited Corp MEDIUM MENA national-oil-company capex via the only US-listed pure play, re-rated by the 2026-08-05 $300M Kuwait award and the 2026-08-10 Q2 beat ($520.8M vs $446.97M). Both are fully in the tape: no sell-side target has moved since 2026-08-13,… Cyclical recovery · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Managed care & health services analysed · PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM A cat-light Atlantic season and three FY26 guidance raises carried the reference close to $136.58 on 2026-09-04, 5.7% under the $144.79 high, with RSI(14) at 74.9 and no company-dated catalyst until the ~2026-11-03 Q3 print. The 2026-09-10… Compounder · Managed care & health services · Oil, energy & geopolitical catalyst · PRCH Porch Group, Inc. MEDIUM Reciprocal-pivot re-rate has largely printed: $9.26 (6/5) to $15.98, now consolidating at $13.68 after KBW's 7/13 valuation downgrade that still raised its target to $16.25. Narrative intact but maturing; the 2026-08-04 Q2 print is the… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Managed care & health services catalyst · PRM Perimeter Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Monopoly wildfire retardant (PHOS-CHEK) into a season at national Preparedness Level 5 — 3.85M acres burned YTD (NIFC, 7/18), ~157% of the 10-yr average. JPM initiated Overweight $50 on 7/9, lifting the 4-analyst average target to $45.… Defensive · Managed care & health services · M&A & special situations catalyst · TOI The Oncology Institute, Inc. MEDIUM Delegated-capitation pivot confirmed at the 2026-08-06 Q2 print — FY26 guide raised to $650–670M, and management said capitated revenue should roughly double in 2027 off ~$150M — but the re-rating is decaying: $7.05 high on 2026-08-07,… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · UNH Unitedhealth Group Incorporated MEDIUM Margin-repair re-rating in the largest US managed-care book: FY26 adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $19.50–$20.00 on 2026-07-16, yet the 2026-09-04 close of $397.14 sits 9.0% below the $436.35 52-week high with a three-month price change… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · ZIP ZipRecruiter, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 print on 2026-08-05 put revenue at $118.1M (+5% YoY, +10% QoQ) with Quarterly Paid Employers +12% sequentially and adjusted EBITDA margin at 12% vs 8% a year earlier, alongside a debt reduction of more than half — a trough-reversal read… Special situation · Managed care & health services · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · ACDC ProFrac Holding Corp. LOW Brent pushed above $96 on 2026-09-03 as the US resumed strikes on Iran and Hormuz transit fell to roughly 4.9 mb/d, yet ACDC closed $5.15 on 2026-09-04, still under its 2026-08-14 close of $5.37. The crude-beta leg has now failed on two… Earnings inflection · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Managed care & health services catalyst · ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. LOW Second consecutive weekly close under the surrendered $30.20 shelf ($28.13 on 2026-09-04) with no company-dated catalyst before the est. late-October Q3 print. The FY26 guide (adj. EBITDA $590–615M) is intact, but reported short interest… Special situation · Managed care & health services catalyst · ACN Accenture PLC LOW The post-crash mean-reversion leg stalled once its funding stopped: the $7.5B buyback's dated demand ended 2026-08-31, price closed $186.72 on 09-04 against $189.61 on 08-28, and Morgan Stanley carried a Hold at $130 on 09-03. Nothing… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Managed care & health services catalyst · ALHC Alignment Healthcare, Inc. LOW Profitable-MA-disruptor narrative broke on 2026-07-08: a whistleblower suit from a former Chief Transformation Officer alleges the +88% adjusted-EBITDA inflection was manufactured by reclassifying opex as capex across FY2024-25. Shares… Earnings inflection · Managed care & health services · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · AMN AMN Healthcare Services LOW Healthcare-staffing cyclical recovery, real but maturing and now at the highs: ~$32.9 (2026-07-24), just off a fresh 52-wk high $36.27 (~+120% off $14.87). Truist's 2026-07-22 lift to a Street-high $40 Buy is the first target leading… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Prediction markets & betting catalyst · ARHS Arhaus, Inc. LOW The $9.00 weekly-close level that defined the post-2026-08-06 repricing has gone: the week ending 2026-08-28 closed at $8.98 with no new company disclosure, leaving the +12.5% written-comp inflection intact on paper but unbid. Two… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · BVS Bioventus Inc. LOW The M&A leg from the 2026-08-05 unsolicited-proposal disclosure is intact but undated: 17 sessions, no committee update, and price back to the 2026-08-28 close of $13.84, 9.3% under the $15.26 high, with RSI(14) unwound 70.5 → 58.1 → 47.9.… Earnings inflection · Medtech & diagnostics · Managed care & health services analysed · CARG CarGurus, Inc. LOW The post-print re-rate keeps bleeding out: $38.98 on 2026-08-07 to $36.56 on 2026-08-28, RSI(14) down to 44.0, with the $39.03 high unretaken. Seven bank targets sit at $39–$44 and no bank has moved a rating; five insiders sold in August… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · CLOV Clover Health Investments, Corp. LOW The $4.00 shelf named as the break has held — a 2026-09-04 close of $4.25 with RSI(14) back to 48.9 from 36.3 — but the leg is now event-dependent: CMS's Eleventh Circuit opening brief leads with a venue argument that could vacate the… Earnings inflection · Managed care & health services · Binary-catalyst biotech catalyst · CRS Carpenter Technology Corp LOW Aero-defense superalloy pricing cycle intact (three contracts at >30% hikes; Q4 op-income guide $205-210M, +37% YoY), but the July flush to $532 has been bought back to ~$603 straight into the 2026-07-30 Q4 print — now four sessions out… Cyclical recovery · Defense & aerospace · Critical materials & rare earths catalyst · CVLG Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. LOW The margin-inflection leg broke at its own catalyst: Q2 (2026-07-29) adjusted OR 95.9% vs 94.6% PY — second straight quarter of YoY deterioration — revenue $332.9M missed $340.4M, and Stephens cut its 23-day-old target to $54 on 07-31.… Defensive · Freight & logistics · Managed care & health services catalyst · EFOR Everforth, Inc. LOW Legacy IT-services base re-rating on an AI-delivery pivot, now in its quiet stretch: the post-print overbought condition fully unwound — RSI(14) 94.5 on 2026-08-07 to 46.7 at the 2026-08-28 close of $31.95 — while price held a ~2.3% band.… Special situation · Defense & aerospace · AI enterprise software catalyst · EVH Evolent Health, Inc LOW The late-June retail bounce has fully unwound — EVH traded ~$5.76 on 2026-07-07, back under the $6.59–6.86 consensus target band and well under Truist's flat $7. Nothing carries the name now except the confirmed 2026-08-06 Q2 print, which… Earnings inflection · Managed care & health services · Oncology & immunology analysed · EXLS ExlService Holdings, Inc. LOW Post-refinancing re-rating has stalled: the 2026-08-21 close of $37.53 was never exceeded, price sat at $36.63 on 2026-09-04 with RSI(14) easing 71.1 to 65.1, and the 2026-09-02 exit of insurance/healthcare head Vivek Jetley to Hexaware… Theme leader · AI enterprise software · Managed care & health services analysed · FRD Friedman Industries Inc. LOW Tariff-driven HRC steel prices at multi-year highs powered record FY2026 (EPS $2.76, sales +46%); FRD hit an all-time-high close $37.42 on 2026-06-18 and was flagged overbought the same day. The narrative is maturing and priced near the… Defensive · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. LOW The 2026-09-02 all-cash ~$45M purchase of Worldwide's early-phase unit was the first company-dated news since the 2026-07-29 Q2 print, and the tape handed it back: $18.81 on 2026-08-28 to $17.70 on 2026-09-04, with the July $17.73–$18.49… Special situation · Binary-catalyst biotech · Managed care & health services catalyst · G Genpact Limited LOW Agentic-operations pivot keeps compounding in the segment data — ATS +24.1% to $363M, FY guide lifted to at least 25% on 2026-08-06 — while the 73% legacy book grew 1.9% and caps consolidated growth near 7%. The 10-Q filed 2026-08-07… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Managed care & health services catalyst · GDRX GoodRx Holdings, Inc. LOW Legacy-marketplace pivot: Pharma Direct +76% YoY and subscriptions +39% now carry the story while prescription transactions fall 26%, but the 2026-08-05 guidance raise to $790–805M has a bid — shares closed $3.48 on 2026-09-04, 30.8% under… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. LOW The post-print re-rating rolled over: the 2026-09-04 close of $65.21 gives back most of the August leg after director/10%-owner Serena Jones sold 29,750 Class A shares at $67.56–$70.15 on 2026-08-19/20, the Form 4 signed on the same… Earnings inflection · Managed care & health services · Housing, homebuilders & proptech analysed · HOV Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. Class A LOW The housing-bill leg is spent — the Act auto-enacted 2026-07-11 and nothing dated has replaced it — yet HOV has re-rated to $137.78 (2026-08-07), 11.8% off the $156.16 high, on no company news. The confirmed 2026-08-20 Q3 print (quarter… Earnings inflection · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HROW Harrow, Inc. LOW Show-me on an H2 ramp with nothing company-dated to resolve it before the ~November Q3 print: the reaffirmed $350–365M FY2026 guide needs the back half to roughly double H1's $114.9M against $292.4M loans payable net, and sell-side FY… Earnings inflection · Precision biotech & therapeutics · Managed care & health services catalyst · HURN Huron Consulting Group Inc. LOW AI-disruption discount still unwinding, but the bid has stopped widening: the 2026-08-28 close of $159.84 is below the 2026-08-21 close of $161.64, no analyst has moved a target since 2026-07-29, and Huron has published nothing since the… Theme leader · AI datacenter infrastructure · Managed care & health services analysed · IHRT iHeartMedia, Inc. LOW M&A leg is dead — no SiriusXM headline since the 2026-05-29 NYT "stalled" report and the April spike fully round-tripped ($6.33 high → $3.86 on 2026-08-07, -39%). What is left is a binary: Q2 print 2026-08-10 after the close is the first… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials analysed · INNV InnovAge Holding Corp. LOW The 2026-09-08 Q4/FY2026 print — company-confirmed on 2026-08-26, after the close — is the binary: FY2026 adjusted EBITDA against the raised $85–90M guide, and first FY2027 guidance into the rate headwind KeyBanc flagged alongside its… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Consumer discretionary rotation catalyst · KFRC Kforce Inc. LOW Cyclical staffing recovery is fully printed — Q1 returned to YoY growth, Q2 guided +~4% — but price ran ~24% in three weeks to a fresh all-time high near $58.6, ~38% above the $42.33 consensus PT, into the confirmed 2026-07-27 Q2 print. A… Special situation · Managed care & health services · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · KLC KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. LOW Distressed post-IPO childcare name has retraced ~180% off its $1.75 spring low to $4.93 as growth shifts to B2B/employer care and before-after-school (Champions +17% YoY), while the core ECE business still shrinks (−3% enrollment). The ~13… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. LOW Beat-and-raise is filed (Q2 adj EPS $0.63; Q3 guided $0.71–$0.77) but the equity is flat since 2026-08-21 at $71.99 while the driver stalled rather than reaccelerated — all-mode tender rejections 13.57% on 2026-08-25 versus a July 4 peak… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · LNC Lincoln National Corp. LOW Legacy-risk-transfer re-rating: the 2026-07-30 Talcott deal cedes ~$5.8B of GUL statutory reserves for ~$200M all-in statutory capital, alongside a Q2 adjusted EPS beat at $2.24 vs $1.96. But the information is out, price sits 2.1% under… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services catalyst · MATV Mativ Holdings, Inc. LOW The deleveraging and margin leg is intact on the numbers but the flow behind it has drained: RSI(14) fell from 92.0 on 2026-08-07 to 37.5 on 2026-08-28 as the close slipped to $12.13, leaving price near the $11.50 gap-fill from the… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · MOH Molina Healthcare, Inc. LOW Trough-year Medicaid recovery is intact on the numbers — FY26 adjusted EPS guided to at least $5.25 on 2026-07-22 — but the price leg has stalled: three weeks of closes near $200 under the $205 breakout-gap floor, with RSI(14) down to… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · NBR Nabors Industries Ltd. LOW Leveraged ~2x oil-beta proxy on the Hormuz war premium, +90% YTD near $100 but now rolling over: Susquehanna cut its target to $85 (2026-07-08) as the sell-side stops chasing, and the ~2026-07-23 Q2 print — the first to lap the premium —… Compounder · Oil, energy & geopolitical · Managed care & health services catalyst · NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. LOW The 2026-07-21 beat-and-raise has round-tripped: the 2026-08-14 weekly close of $31.71 is under the $32 post-print shelf, BMO cut to Market Perform on 2026-07-30, and the CFO sold 100,000 shares into $30.74–$32.12 on Aug 12–13. Operations… Defensive · Managed care & health services · Oil, energy & geopolitical catalyst · OEC Orion S.A. LOW Deep-cyclical carbon black where the 2024–25 tire-restock leg already failed (-32.5% from the $10.72 52-week high). What is left is a trough-and-deleverage read: Q2 2026 adj. EBITDA $58.2M (+26% sequential, -15% YoY), FY26 guide reaffirmed… Defensive · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. LOW The CMS-reversal re-rate is finished and the structure went with it: the $9.80 shelf gave way on the 2026-08-28 weekly close of $9.70, 40.2% below the $16.23 high, while the published sell-side range collapsed from $16–24 to $12–14. Raised… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Small-cap value rotation analysed · OTLY Oatly Group AB LOW The 2026-07-22 guidance doubling (FY constant-currency growth 8–10% from 3–5%) is six weeks old with no follow-on company news; RSI(14) rebuilt to 67.1 at the 2026-08-28 close of $14.67 from 43.7 a week earlier on no information, and the… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Managed care & health services analysed · RHI Robert Half Inc. LOW White-collar staffing in secular decline: Q2 EPS collapsed to $0.26 (2026-07-23) as AI automation and a frozen hiring market gut permanent-placement demand. The >5% dividend yield reads as a value-trap signal rather than a floor. No… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. LOW Post-print fade extends: the 2026-08-04 beat (op EPS $1.30 vs $1.17, 89.5% combined, 19% operating ROE) and four target raises to $65–$75 have been met by a lower tape — $58.29 on 2026-08-28, 11.2% under the $65.63 high, RSI 36.5 versus… Defensive · Managed care & health services · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · SNDR Schneider National, Inc. LOW The 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise (adj EPS $0.29 vs $0.23 consensus; FY26 guide lifted to $0.90–$1.10) has been fully given back — the 2026-08-28 close of $34.44 is 10.9% under the 2026-06-08 high and sits 1.3% above the $34 shelf. The… Defensive · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · TDOC Teladoc Health, Inc. LOW The pivot re-rating is dead; what is left is a balance-sheet floor — $774.3M cash at 2026-06-30, an unchanged $130–170M FY free-cash-flow guide — that must hold the $6.00 shelf through an empty calendar into the unconfirmed late-October Q3… Special situation · Managed care & health services analysed · TDUP ThredUp Inc. LOW The tariff/de-minimis re-rate is fully unwound: the 2026-08-05 FY2026 cut broke the growth leg, and the $2.80 weekly shelf flagged in prior coverage went on the 2026-08-28 close of $2.72. RSI(14) 28.2 with buyers +21% YoY and $57.4M cash… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation New LOW Hospital margin-expansion re-rating stalled at the 2026-08-21 high of $280.77 and gave back 5.0% into the 2026-08-28 close of $266.8, with RSI(14) cooling from 77.3 to 56.8, no confirmed new sell-side number since 2026-08-14 and no company… Special situation · Managed care & health services catalyst ·
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