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Picks and shovels · 39 dossiers
Dossiers classified as Picks and shovels — 39 names, each with its thesis, kill line and next catalyst.
All 39 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Medium Advanced Micro Devices says AI chip demand exceeds its supply and is lining up Samsung memory to meet it, but reports on 8 October 2026 that OpenAI's revenue is lower than believed hit the shares. The 3 November 2026 third-quarter report… ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Medium Arista Networks is turning AI data-center spending into about 40% revenue growth on raised 2026 guidance of roughly $12.6 billion. The third-quarter report on 3 November 2026 shows whether revenue reaches the $3.3 billion guide and gross… LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. Medium Demand for Lumentum Holdings' AI data-center lasers exceeds what it can ship, per Stifel on 5 October 2026, and the 8 October 2026 optics selloff cut no estimates; the 5 November 2026 report decides whether revenue confirms the… MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. Medium Marvell Technology's growth case strengthened at its 6 October 2026 Investor Day, which set a $70–90 billion fiscal 2031 revenue target against a $47 billion consensus. Alphabet's 28 October 2026 spending guidance and the early-December… MU Micron Technology, Inc. Medium Micron Technology's fiscal Q1 2027 guide of $61.5 billion in revenue, about $5 billion above consensus and backed by roughly $150 billion of contracts, still carries the case despite this week's memory selloff and Taiwan strike vote. The… NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Medium NVIDIA's data-center demand has to carry October-quarter revenue to its $108.0 billion outlook as doubts grow over how AI buyers fund their purchases; NVIDIA's 17 November 2026 fiscal third-quarter report settles the case. SNDK Sandisk Corporation Medium Sandisk's contract-backed AI storage recovery still has rising NAND prices behind it, but memory shares now fall even on record peer results. Sandisk's 29 October 2026 fiscal Q1 2027 report settles the case if revenue reaches $10.3 billion… TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. Medium Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's third-quarter sales of about NT$1.49 trillion beat its own guidance, so the case now rests on margin; the 15 October 2026 report decides whether gross margin holds 65% and fourth-quarter guidance keeps… DELL Dell Technologies Inc. Low Dell Technologies trades near its high on expectations that its record $95 billion AI-server backlog converts to revenue at a 15% server margin; fiscal third-quarter results, listed for about 24 November 2026, test that against the $49.0… STX Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Low Seagate Technology's hard-drive pricing power is being priced as at risk as supply headlines push the shares lower; the ~28 October 2026 fiscal Q1 report shows whether revenue reaches the $4.10 billion guide and nearline pricing holds. AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. Medium Applied Materials' chip-equipment recovery case holds as TSMC's September revenue rose 54.6% and Micron raises spending; the 13 October 2026 SEMICON West briefing, TSMC's 15 October 2026 results and the ~12 November 2026 report against a… ASML ASML Holding N.V. Medium ASML Holding's raised €43–45 billion 2026 sales outlook and rising memory-maker spending support its lithography upturn; third-quarter sales against the €11.0–12.0 billion guide on 14 October 2026 settle the near-term case. CIEN Ciena Corporation Medium Ciena Corporation's AI-driven optical order book, with backlog expected above $10 billion, has lifted the shares off their September lows. The fiscal-fourth-quarter report, estimated for about 10 December 2026, settles the case: revenue… CLS Celestica, Inc. Medium Celestica's AI datacenter hardware business is still growing fastest, but its shares fell to $356.53 on 8 October 2026 with no company news; the 26 October 2026 report must hit $5.25–$5.55 billion revenue and keep the $20.5 billion 2026… COHU Cohu, Inc. Medium Cohu's AI-driven chip-test recovery has lifted the shares to $68.37, level with the $70.88 average analyst target; the Q3 report, expected about 29 October 2026, and the 10 November 2026 investor day show whether revenue and new targets… CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Medium Credo Technology's revenue is still more than doubling and management expects optical products to lift second-half fiscal 2027 growth. The early-December fiscal second-quarter report settles it: revenue at or above the $525 million… CYRX CryoPort, Inc. Medium Cryoport's cell and gene therapy cold-chain business turned to positive adjusted EBITDA in Q2, and its shares have cooled to $16.90 from an $18.14 high. The ~4 November 2026 third-quarter report shows whether that profit repeats and… HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. Medium Halozyme Therapeutics' royalty growth, up 50% to $307.7 million in the second quarter, and a 7 October 2026 Dutch patent win over Merck support shares 4.7% below their high. Partner reports from 13 October 2026 and Halozyme's third-quarter… LRCX Lam Research Corporation Medium Lam Research's recovery case rests on record memory profits, such as Samsung's 8 October 2026 guidance, turning into etch and deposition tool orders; the 21 October 2026 report settles it, needing revenue at or above the $8.10 billion… ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. Medium Onto Innovation's case rests on Atlas G6 inspection orders lifting third-quarter revenue to at least $380 million, its guidance floor; TSMC's 15 October 2026 report is the first test, and Onto's own report, expected 29 October to 5… PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. Medium Penguin Solutions' memory-led AI-infrastructure case strengthened after the 6 October beat and a fiscal 2027 sales outlook of about 40% growth. The early-January fiscal first-quarter report shows whether Integrated Memory growth holds. PMTS CPI Card Group Inc. Medium CPI Card Group's free-cash-flow and debt-reduction case holds with the shares at $25.00 on 8 October 2026; the third-quarter report, expected 3 November 2026 or 11-04, decides whether margins back the $45–50 million cash forecast. PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. Medium Power Solutions International's case rests on data-center generator engine demand lifting second-half 2026 sales above the first half with gross margin at 27.1% or better; the third-quarter report, expected 5 November 2026 against a $206.8… RCMT RCM Technologies, Inc. Medium RCM Technologies' shares sit at a 52-week high because energy-services work made Engineering its growth engine; the Q3 report, estimated for early-to-mid November 2026, must show Engineering revenue above $39.5 million and gross margin of… SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. Medium Solaris Energy Infrastructure's raised data-center power guidance and funded $1.25 billion build-out still support the shares after a rate-driven pullback to $73.08. The third-quarter report, expected around 3 November 2026, shows whether… SIMO Silicon Motion Technology Corporation Medium Silicon Motion's enterprise SSD-controller ramp has to deliver third-quarter 2026 revenue of at least $519 million, the low end of guidance. The 28 October report settles it, after the shares fell 8.4% with memory stocks on 8 October. SMTC Semtech Corporation Medium Semtech's data-center interconnect growth lifted the shares 41.9% in three months to a $197.20 closing high; the 15 October 2026 teach-in targets and a fiscal Q3 report inside the $405–415 million outlook decide whether the advance holds. SNOW Snowflake Inc. Medium Snowflake's AI-driven consumption growth, with product revenue up 37% in the 2 September 2026 report, has lifted the shares to $343.40, 3.7% under their $356.47 high despite $3.75 billion of new convertibles. The ~2 December 2026 Q3 report… TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd. Medium Tower Semiconductor's silicon-photonics foundry business is shipping in volume against contracted 2027 demand, and the 8 October optics sell-off carried no company news; the mid-November third-quarter report settles whether revenue lands… TSSI TSS, Inc. Medium TSS, Inc.'s pivot to higher-margin AI rack integration is lifting profit while total sales shrink; the third-quarter report, expected around 16 November, settles whether integration revenue tops the second quarter's $13.9 million. VICR Vicor Corporation Medium Vicor Corporation's patent royalties on its Vertical Power Delivery technology drove two September guidance raises to more than 30% sequential growth; the 20 October 2026 third-quarter report shows whether those royalties recur after the… ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Low Astera Labs' Scorpio switch ramp still supports guided third-quarter revenue of $540–560 million, but the shares gave back their index-speculation rally to close at $347.05 on 8 October 2026. The 3 November 2026 report decides whether that… ARM Arm Holdings plc Low Arm Holdings shares have erased their late-September AI-agent CPU rally while a Qualcomm trial puts royalties in dispute; the tentative 4 November 2026 report must beat the ~13% royalty-growth guide to revive the case. AVGO Broadcom Inc. Low Broadcom's AI-chip revenue is still compounding, but a $60 billion debt package now funds Anthropic's Broadcom chips; the planned 9 December 2026 Q4 report against a $21.7 billion AI-revenue guide settles the case. CAT Caterpillar Inc. Low Caterpillar's record $72 billion backlog has not protected its shares from 30-year Treasury yields at a 24-year high and a federal farm-equipment inquiry. The third-quarter report, expected around 28 October 2026, shows whether orders held… MXL MaxLinear, Inc. Low MaxLinear's shares fell 13% to $93.70 on 8 October 2026 after a 45% one-month rally yet still sit above the $88.64 average analyst target; the 22 October 2026 third-quarter report must show revenue above the $220 million guidance ceiling… OABI OmniAb, Inc. Low OmniAb's shares need partner milestone payments to repeat and lift 2026 revenue guidance above $36 million; the third-quarter report expected around 5 November 2026 decides it, after the shares closed lower on the 6 October 2026 Analyst… P Everpure, Inc. Low Everpure's $7.0–7.3 billion fiscal-2028 revenue outlook has lifted the shares to a record $143.88 close, at or above most average analyst targets with momentum at an extreme. The third-quarter report around 2 December 2026 shows whether… WDC Western Digital Corporation Low Western Digital's hard-drive pricing case weakened as the shares closed at $393.31 on 8 October 2026, the lowest since Toshiba's capacity report. The 22 October 2026 fiscal Q1 2027 report decides whether revenue and margins confirm pricing.