Filtered library · Archetype
Cyclical recovery · 121 dossiers
Dossiers classified as Cyclical recovery — 121 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.
All 121 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Advanced Micro Devices’ Helios thesis depends on an operating OpenAI deployment in the fourth quarter of 2026. September 9 analyst target changes extend favorable coverage, but delayed activation or a weekly close below $456 would… MU Micron Technology, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Micron Technology's contracted memory revenue supports a durability thesis tested by its 2026-09-30 results against June's $50.0 billion ±$1.0 billion revenue guidance and approximately 86% adjusted gross margin. A weekly close below $958… SIMO Silicon Motion Technology Corporation fresh MEDIUM Silicon Motion's storage-controller expansion needs third-quarter 2026 revenue of at least $519 million to validate the recovery before a weekly close below $230 breaks it. Its September 9 certification adds no revenue guidance; reported… DELL Dell Technologies Inc. fresh LOW Dell Technologies’ AI-server backlog must convert into roughly $19 billion of next-quarter revenue while ISG operating margin holds at least 15.0%. The next quarterly results test those September 1, 2026 benchmarks; management’s margin… MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. fresh LOW Custom-silicon ASIC royalty story intact, but the AI-semi theme is mid-correction — chips posted their worst month vs software on record (7/17) with money rotating into energy. Buying a falling sector with no confirmed higher low is the… STX Seagate Technology Holdings PLC fresh LOW Maturing AI-storage supercycle with sell-side still chasing: Wells Fargo upgrade to Overweight $1,100 (7/10) and Citi Street-high $1,240 (7/13). But the DRAM ETF is down ~30% and Seagate's Q4 FY26 print ~2026-07-22 is a binary about two… WDC Western Digital Corporation fresh LOW The 29% bounce off the 2026-07-28 low stalled: WDC closed $527.22 on 2026-08-03, −3.23% on a day its sector rose 0.58%, back under a rising 50-day at $562.65. Consensus (~$3.69B / $3.31–$3.35) still sits above the company's own $3.65B… HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. HIGH Royalty-compounding re-rating: the 2026-08-06 Q2 print beat at $481.0M vs $407.5M consensus and lifted the FY26 non-GAAP EPS guide to $8.65–9.00 from $7.75–8.25, and the stock closed 2026-09-04 at $110.19, 0.5% off its 52-week high. The… CYRX CryoPort, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-06) split the read: revenue $49.0M beat $48.21M and FY26 guide affirmed at $192–196M with adjusted EBITDA crossing to +$0.4M, but commercial CGT growth halved to +9% YoY from +26%. The narrative leg is now the profitability… HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc. MEDIUM Land-drilling activity re-rating on a geopolitical crude move: Brent $95.25 on 2026-09-03 (+42% y/y) with the 2026-08-05 fiscal Q3 print delivering $1.034B revenue vs $988.74M consensus, 147 Lower 48 rigs working and a raised Q4 guide of… MOD Modine Manufacturing Co MEDIUM De-rated datacenter-cooling compounder: Data Centers sales $348.6M (+90% YoY) and the $650M–$680M FY27 EBITDA guide were affirmed 2026-07-29, while the 2026-09-03 close of $186.63 sits 39.2% under the $306.89 high with RSI(14) at 34.1. The… OABI OmniAb, Inc. MEDIUM Milestone-flywheel re-rating extended past the 2026-08-22 note: a +8.78% session on 2026-08-24 made a new 52-week closing high, then price eased to $4.47 on 08-28 with RSI(14) cooling from 97.6 to 77.3. The 2026-08-26 release put two dated… PMTS CPI Card Group Inc. MEDIUM Levered card manufacturer re-rating on cash generation: Q2 revenue $149.2M (+15%) with net leverage cut to 2.7x from 3.6x and FY free-cash-flow guidance lifted to $45–50M on 2026-08-06. Adjusted EBITDA grew just 7% against that 15% top… QNST QuinStreet, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-06 beat-and-raise stands unrevised while the tape has faded since mid-August: the 2026-09-04 close was $18.73, 14.9% under the $22.02 high, with all six published targets ($21–$24) sitting above it. Northland's 2026-09-01… RCMT RCM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM RCM Technologies’ energy-services re-rating requires continued Engineering growth and stable margins. Q3 revenue above the segment’s $39.5 million Q2 level and consolidated gross margin of at least 25.7% would confirm the case, provided a… SNDK Sandisk Corporation MEDIUM Contracted-revenue re-rating (~$94B of NBM agreements, 2026-08-13) is intact on fundamentals, but the price leg has stalled: the 2026-08-28 close of $1,484.98 sits below the 2026-08-14 close of $1,641.11, and the newest headlines are… SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 beat-and-raise on 2026-07-30 was the strongest print of the cycle — HVAC backlog $919M (+59% organic), 2026 data-center revenue set at $430M, capacity target lifted to $1.1B from $750M — yet the 2026-08-14 close of $217.32 sits 11.8%… TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd. MEDIUM Picks-and-shovels photonics foundry where the demand chain keeps beating and the equity has only just begun to follow: the line closed $206.81 on 2026-09-02, reclaiming the $200 shelf, hours before Broadcom guided Q4 AI semiconductor… AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. LOW The 2026-09-02 close of $103.13 leaves the shares below both the $110.21 shelf lost 2026-08-28 and the $104.50 low taken out 2026-09-01, with nothing company-dated before the ~2026-11-05 Q3 print. Against that void sit a 115%–144% Q3… AEHR Aehr Test Systems LOW Wafer-level burn-in toll on AI silicon: fiscal 2027 guided $130.0–150.0M against $50.0M in fiscal 2026, unamended on the wire as of 2026-09-03. The unwind paused — $80.24 on 2026-09-02 against $76.59 the prior session, RSI(14) 27.3 from… AEIS Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. LOW Datacenter-power picks-and-shovels re-rating is now fully mainstream — Morgan Stanley initiated Overweight $421 (07-22) atop Wells $465 and Susquehanna $535 — yet the stock fell 12.65% on 07-02 and is sitting on its 200-day while analyst… AMSC American Superconductor Corporation LOW Grid/advanced-conductor supplier to data-center and utility power; backlog still ~+40% YoY (~$280M), but the tape broke after the 2026-05-28 beat-and-soft-guide and a late-June Russell removal piled on passive selling. Below the lost ~$40… ASML ASML Holding N.V. LOW ASML lost the July–August floor on the 2026-09-01 close of $1,665.14, and the 2026-09-02 close of $1,682.30 left the $1,686.01 shelf unreclaimed. RSI(14) reads 23.8, no broker revision has printed since the 2026-08-11 BofA reiterate at… AVGO Broadcom Inc. LOW Broadcom beat and raised on 2026-09-02 — Q3 revenue $29.591B vs $29.362B consensus, AI semis $16.7B (+221%), FY26 AI lifted to $58B, plus a stated ~$115B FY27 / ~$230B FY28 AI roadmap — but Q4 revenue guided $34.8B against $35.03B… AXTI AXT Inc LOW AXTI's contracted-InP leg is intact on paper with no price expression: the 2026-09-02 close of $56.95 reclaimed neither the $58 line lost 09-01 nor April's $64.25 placement shelf lost 08-28, and no AXT release or filing is dated later than… AZZ AZZ Inc. LOW Beat-and-raise fired 2026-07-08 — Q1 adj EPS $1.85 vs $1.69, FY27 guide lifted twice on Metal Coatings momentum — but the catalyst is now behind the stock, which sits at all-time highs (~$157), ~23x forward and above consensus, with Wells… CIEN Ciena Corporation LOW The 1.6T WaveLogic demand cycle is intact at the order book, but the trade has broken: $627.00 (06-02) to ~$370 (07-18) is a ~41% de-rating, and the $455–$467 shelf that framed the prior read is gone. Multiple compression from 54x forward,… LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. LOW Two initiations in two sessions — Evercore ISI $1,100 on 08-31, Deutsche Bank $1,200 on 09-01 — and the tape closed 2026-09-02 at $870.58, still under the $885 weekly-close level and below the 08-31 close of $914.76. The $40 fiscal-2028… MRVI Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc. LOW The Moderna read-through leg has round-tripped most of its gain: after gapping +25.78% on 2026-08-19 and printing an $8.87 intraday high on 2026-08-25, MRVI closed $7.32 on 2026-09-04, 18.7% below the $9.00 series high, leaving the $7.24… NET Cloudflare, Inc. LOW The post-Q2 re-rating is fully unwound: the 2026-09-02 close of $272.74 is 17.6% under the $330.83 high with RSI(14) at 31.7, and the three-month price change is +1.5%, erasing the summer advance with no company-dated news behind it since… POWL Powell Industries, Inc. LOW Record orders $934M and a 3.0x book-to-bill lifted backlog to $2.4B (+69% YoY) at the 2026-08-03 print, yet shares fell 13.4% the next pre-market on a second straight EPS/revenue miss and closed 2026-08-14 at $213.48, -33.7% off the high.… PTRN Pattern Group Inc. Series A LOW Fundamentals still compounding — Q2 revenue $876.8M +47%, NRR 129%, FY guide raised to $3.42–3.46B — while the tape drifted from $23.16 post-print to $20.20 on 2026-09-04, closing on the $19.00 shelf where June's secondary cleared 9.2M… TEM Tempus AI, Inc. LOW Second-order re-rating on the 2026-08-19 Merck/Moderna INTerpath-001 win is now fully in sell-side language — three target actions between 08-31 and 09-02, topping at $80 — while price slid from $72.69 (08-21) to $64.62 (09-04) and ARK… VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. LOW Networking-optical test theme still accelerating and the laggard test-and-measurement sleeve is finally re-rating: Susquehanna lifted its target to $66 (2026-07-01) and the small-cap-over-hyperscaler rotation flagged 2026-06-29 favors… VICR Vicor Corporation LOW Operating numbers still inflecting (Q2 guide ~$142M, book-to-bill >2.0, backlog $300.6M) but the chart has broken: $237.62 on 2026-07-17 is ~38% off the $382.65 July high, with $271 and $300 both lost and relentless CEO 10b5-1 supply. The… SNOW Snowflake Inc. fresh HIGH The June digestion resolved upward, not downward — SNOW cleared the ~$244 June high and printed a fresh 52-week high at $284.99 before settling at $268.90 (2026-07-17). Q1 FY27 product revenue re-accelerated to +34% and the street is still… GLW Corning Incorporated fresh MEDIUM Corning’s fiber agreements support its AI infrastructure story, but Q3 revenue must confirm demand before a weekly close below $143. Confirmation requires core sales of at least $4.9 billion, July’s guidance floor, and Optical… ARM Arm Holdings plc fresh LOW Data-center royalty doubled YoY for a second quarter, but Q2 FY27 royalty growth is guided to ~13% against 22% delivered. No Arm-specific disclosure has landed since 2026-07-29, so the bid is set by third parties — BofA's 2026-08-13… COHR Coherent Corp. fresh LOW Coherent’s AI-optics recovery requires a named PhotonLink customer and production timing at the 2026-09-21 launch. Those disclosures and a subsequent weekly close above $281.86 complete the case before a weekly close below $264 invalidates… LRCX Lam Research Corporation fresh LOW The WFE/AI-memory capex trade that ran Lam +119% YTD into June has rolled into a group-wide correction — the worst month for chip stocks since 2008, memory momentum broken (Micron/SanDisk). The ~2026-07-29 FQ4 print is now the binary: it… NVDA NVIDIA Corporation fresh LOW July de-rating unresolved and now compounded by capex scrutiny — Alphabet's first cash-flow-negative quarter since 2004 and Intel's punished $20B capex plan raise the question of whether hyperscaler spend slows. Jensen's open-weight-AI… ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. fresh LOW June breakout fully round-tripped: ATH $386.46 (6/30) to $279.85 (7/17), now below the 50-DMA at $294.49. The tell is non-participation — TSMC raised capex to $60-64B and ASML guided up twice on 7/15-16, and ONTO closed the week at its… TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. fresh LOW Q2 (7/16) beat every line and lifted FY26 growth guide above 40%, but the capex raise to $60–64B and a 2026-07-26 Samsung–Broadcom $200B foundry pact reopened the monopoly question. Theme cooled to maturing; price recovered to ~$415, still… VRT Vertiv Holdings Co fresh LOW Vertiv's grid-power expansion supports a recovery case requiring Q3 revenue to meet guidance and a weekly close above $285.78. The September 9 close of $262.89 leaves confirmation outstanding; a weekly close below $240 or Q3 revenue below… ELE Elemental Royalty Corporation HIGH Post-EMX royalty roll-up still compounding: Q2 2026 revenue $23.8M vs $9.1M a year earlier, guidance affirmed at 17,000–21,000 GEOs while gold traded near $4,608/oz on 2026-08-28 against a $4,500/oz guidance assumption. The 2026-08-11… MRX Marex Group plc HIGH Roll-up compounder in clean momentum continuation: the sell-side is now chasing price, with KBW $80, Barclays $76 and Piper $75 targets (Jul 9-15) leapfrogging the old $60 consensus, while the Bright Point clearing bolt-on (2026-07-09)… P Everpure, Inc. HIGH Beat-and-raise landed on 2026-08-26 — FY2027 revenue guided to $5.03B–$5.07B from $4.41B–$4.51B, EPS $0.70 vs $0.58 consensus — and the tape sold it: the 2026-09-04 close of $99.51 sits 15.8% under the 08-14 high with RSI(14) at 32.6. The… ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. MEDIUM Q2 (2026-08-04) answered the July margin question: GM 73.7% vs ~73% guide, and Q3 guided $540–560M vs $416.5M consensus (~40% QoQ) with Scorpio X switches in volume production a quarter early. Price has not confirmed — the 2026-08-14 close… AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. MEDIUM The $480 weekly line broke: 2026-09-04 reference close $454.71, 37.0% under the $722.23 high, RSI(14) 17.7, three-month price change -7.5%. Record Q3 revenue of $9.12B (+25% YoY) and a UBS target raised to $695 on 2026-09-01 have not… AMBA Ambarella, Inc. MEDIUM Physical-AI pure-play narrative still accelerating (Rosenblatt top H2-2026 pick, PT $120; Zacks upgrade to #2 Buy 2026-07-21), but the post-Rosenblatt breakout to ~$80 round-tripped to ~$67.61 by 2026-07-24, forfeiting the $72 shelf on a… AMP Ameriprise Financial, Inc. MEDIUM Wealth-platform operating leverage intact — Q2 (2026-07-23) adjusted operating EPS $11.07 +22%, ROE 55%, record $1.81T AUM/AUA — but four weeks after the 2026-08-11 high the tape has gone flat: $560.56 on 2026-09-04, 1.8% under the 52-week… ARXS Arxis, Inc. MEDIUM Serial-acquirer compounding into defense and space: five closings since 2026-06-01, the latest StratEdge and Schatz on 2026-09-01/02 (in excess of $40M combined FY27 revenue, terms undisclosed). The 2026-07-29 raise to $1.960–1.980B is… ATEYY Advantest Corporation MEDIUM Broadcom's 2026-09-02 print (AI semis $16.7B, +221% YoY; Q4 guide $21.7B) did what NVIDIA's 2026-08-26 record could not — the ADR closed $217.58 on 2026-09-04, back above the $216.24 record shelf of 2026-06-25. The 2026-07-29 raise to… BHE Benchmark Electronics MEDIUM Beat-and-raise on 2026-07-29 (rev $756M +18% YoY, AC&C +71% YoY, FY26 lifted to ~$3B/+13%) was fully sold: price round-tripped from the $98.67 52-week high to $81.75 on 2026-08-14. The AI-cooling and lidar picks-and-shovels leg is… BLZE Backblaze, Inc. MEDIUM Neocloud storage pick-and-shovel: the five-year ~$335M CoreWeave B2 Neo deal (2026-06-23) re-rated BLZE from the high-$7s to a 52-week high near $18, and sell-side is still chasing (Citizens to $16, 2026-07-23). Narrative accelerating but… COHU Cohu, Inc. MEDIUM Best fundamental print of the AI cycle (2026-07-30: rev $149M vs $144.08M cons.; Q3 guided $163–177M vs $146.33M) collided with a sector de-rate — the stock closed $52.88 on 2026-08-07, 28.5% under its $73.91 high and beneath the June… CRAI CRA International, Inc. MEDIUM Beat-and-raise from 2026-08-06 — record $210.8M quarter, FY26 constant-currency guide to $805–820M — remains only partly repriced: $174.99 on 2026-08-28, 20.8% under the $221.02 high, no company headline since 2026-08-08. The leg is a toll… CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd MEDIUM Interconnect/AEC royalty narrative still accelerating, not fading — new 52-week highs on late-June initiations (Evercore $325, Stifel $350, BofA $340) plus the early-July AI-buildout rally. But it's now mainstream and widely held, entering… CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. MEDIUM Utility T&D / grid-capex cycle with CTOS as the laggard specialty-rental picks-and-shovels name; the June breakout to $11.36 has stalled, retracing ~10% to retest the ~$10 shelf into a binary 2026-07-29 Q2 print. Theme now maturing and… ENTG Entegris, Inc. MEDIUM June's sentiment re-rate rolled over; the 2026-08-04 beat-and-raise re-based the story on numbers — Q2 sales $883.2M vs $835.5M consensus, Q3 guide $905–935M vs $879.8M — and drew three target raises on 08-05 (UBS $215). At $152.08 the… FET Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Oilfield-equipment operating-leverage re-rating, still maturing: the 2026-07-30 beat ($1.16 adj EPS vs $0.56) and raised FY26 guide were reiterated at EnerCom on 2026-08-18. Everything new since is supply — four insider Form 4 sales from… FIGR Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Kiavi closed 2026-09-01, eleven weeks ahead of the merger end date, and the tape did not pay for it: the 2026-09-04 close of $35.96 sits below the 2026-08-28 close of $36.05 and 51.3% under the $73.91 high. Q2 marketplace volume was $4.3B,… FORM FormFactor, Inc. MEDIUM Probe-card pick-and-shovel to the HBM4 test ramp; after a parabolic run to a fresh $160.27 ATH (2026-06-30) on Russell 1000 inclusion, the 2026-07-02 chip selloff cut FORM ~24% to ~$121. HBM inflection intact (record DRAM quarter, second… ICLR ICON plc MEDIUM Restatement-discount unwind has stalled: the 2026-08-28 close of $170.02 gives back part of the August advance, RSI(14) cooled from 67.2 to 56.3, and the only company communication since the 2026-08-06 notes pricing is a 2026-08-20 ESG… IESC IES Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Q3 FY26 (2026-07-31) resolved the post-index-inclusion fade in the bulls' favour — revenue $1.243B (+40%), backlog $4.53B (+91% since FY25 close), Communications +51% — and the 2-for-1 split distributing 2026-08-21 is the only dated event… KEYS Keysight Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Analyst-migration re-rate's second leg (Morgan Stanley to Overweight, PT $400, 2026-07-13) has stalled — silent tape near 28x forward, empty calendar until the ~2026-08-19 Q3 FY26 print. The $290–300 breakout-shelf entry hasn't come;… LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated MEDIUM Royalty-aggregator compounding story: Q2 (2026-08-06) royalty revenue $48.0M was +32% YoY, adj EPS $2.37 beat $1.84, and the FY26 EPS floor rose to $9.00–$9.50 with XOMA (closed 2026-07-14) adding ~$1.50 in 2027. The shares sit at $285.60,… MYRG MYR Group, Inc. MEDIUM AI/datacenter power-buildout supercycle lifting grid/electrical contractors; MYRG confirmed it with a record Q1 and a late-June breakout to fresh ATHs (~$487) above the $484.71 shelf. Theme accelerating + cluster-confirmed, but the Q2… NESR National Energy Services Reunited Corp MEDIUM MENA national-oil-company capex via the only US-listed pure play, re-rated by the 2026-08-05 $300M Kuwait award and the 2026-08-10 Q2 beat ($520.8M vs $446.97M). Both are fully in the tape: no sell-side target has moved since 2026-08-13,… PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Q3 (July 7) broke the model wide open: revenue $478.7M vs $405.5M consensus (+48% YoY), EPS $0.84 vs $0.54, FY26 growth guide lifted 12%→22% and FY27 pre-guided ~30%. The stock then round-tripped from $89.86 to ~$60 on the $750M… QTWO Q2 Holdings Inc MEDIUM JPMorgan's 2026-08-24 raise to $72 from $60 removed the last published target sitting under the market, leaving a $67–$82 analyst band around the 2026-08-28 close of $65.13. The 2026-07-29 beat-and-raise (FY26 $881–886M, 28.6% adj. EBITDA… RGEN Repligen Corporation MEDIUM Bioprocessing-recovery rerating now carries a deal overhang: the 2026-07-28 beat-and-raise (adj EPS $0.54 vs $0.45; FY26 sales to $813–835M) took RGEN within 3.2% of its $182.03 high, but the BioLife merger S-4 went effective and the… TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-05 binary resolved bullishly — Q2 revenue $1.004B beat both the $930–970M guide and $962M consensus, book-to-bill rose to 1.49, Q3 guided $1.100–1.140B vs $1.073B consensus. Yet the 2026-08-14 close of $140.0 is 36.8% below the… UROY Uranium Royalty Corp. MEDIUM The equity cooled from $4.38 (2026-08-21, RSI 79.9) to $4.25 (2026-08-28, RSI 55.3), leaving a maturing narrative whose only company-dated test is the first combined-company report, estimated ~2026-09-14. VCYT Veracyte, Inc. MEDIUM Sell-side is now chasing a move it missed: VCYT broke to a 52-wk high $60.91 (closed $59.13 on 2026-07-17, +124% YoY) as Piper initiated Overweight $66 (07-15) and Canaccord lifted a Hold PT $42→$60. Fundamentals still accelerating (Q1 rev… AAON AAON, Inc. LOW Beat-and-raise on 2026-08-10 (Q2 sales $627.0M, +101.2%; FY guide up to $2.235–2.307B) landed with gross margin 24.3% vs 26.6% and the FY margin guide cut to 25–26%. Targets were cut the next day and the entire 2026-05-07 re-rating gap has… ACMR ACM Research, Inc. LOW The base break published 2026-08-16 has held without extending: the 2026-09-04 close of $74.44 is two cents above the 2026-08-28 weekly close and still under the $76.29 June base low close, with RSI(14) down to 32.8 and no company-dated… AGX Argan, Inc LOW AI-data-center gas-EPC theme still accelerating (4.1+ GW gas backlog, $973.6M cash, zero debt), but AGX has round-tripped from the $805.75 ATH to $563, losing both the ~$675 breakout and ~$600 shelves. Mean reversion toward the pre-run… AIP Arteris, Inc. LOW Q2 (2026-08-06) beat and raised — revenue $24.1M +46%, TTM variable royalties $8.6M +65%, FY26 guide lifted to $95-98M — and the stock still closed $28.32 on 2026-08-14, 41.7% under the 6/30 high. The $33 weekly break fired while the… ALGM Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. LOW The June AI data-center power-attach re-rate has flipped from being marked up to marked down: TD Cowen cut its target to $66 (2026-07-13) and Barclays downgraded to Equal-Weight at $48 (2026-07-20), the first target below the June range —… ALNT Allient Inc. LOW Record-orders story intact — Q2 2026 bookings $201.3M (+49% YoY), 1.31x book-to-bill, backlog $298.0M — but the supply picture changed after the note: the CEO's trusts sold 70,000 shares at $112.49–$115.765 on 2026-08-10 and 13D holder… AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. LOW A second anchor — the $1.5B Nvidia advanced-packaging/test partnership (2026-07-23) stacked on the 2026-06-16 TSMC 10-yr Arizona deal — is re-rating Amkor from single-customer Apple OSAT toward US AI back-end anchor. But every catalyst… AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited LOW Post-parabola digestion. The Apr–May "second-order AI power-semi" re-rate (~3x to $54.34) is fully priced, above the $30.50 consensus PT with no fresh company catalyst in 11+ weeks; the 2026-07-15 pop was a newsletter-driven volume spike,… APH Amphenol Corporation LOW AI-interconnect content leg unchanged since the 2026-07-29 print — orders $10.7B, book-to-bill 1.23:1, Q3 guided above consensus — but the bid has not come back: $157.74 on 2026-08-28 is flat on the week while RSI(14) slid from 43.4 to… AREC American Resources Corporation LOW Critical-minerals refining milestones keep landing at affiliated ReElement — Marion air permit 2026-08-19, seven commercial hires 2026-08-24, Critical Minerals Institute platinum membership 2026-09-03 — with no bid behind them: $2.43 on… ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. LOW Advanced-packaging pricing power is real — quotes raised 20%+ (2026-07-01), 2026 capex hiked to US$8.5B, CoWoS-equivalent capacity tripling to 25k wpm — but the tape topped at $45.51 the same day and sits ~15% lower inside a 13% semi… BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. LOW The re-rating leg broke: the 2026-08-28 close of $79.42 lost the $80 shelf and sits under the whole $83–$84 target band raised 2026-08-05/06, while July new home sales at 607,000 SAAR (-10.5% MoM, Census 2026-08-25) cut against the Q3… CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. LOW Post-blowoff digestion is deepening: the ~4x data-center site-work roll-up has bled from a $96 high back to its $63 average analyst target, now below the $73 secondary price and the 50-DMA. Q1 organic +64% and an $854M backlog keep… CEVA CEVA, Inc. LOW Edge-AI IP momentum leg has broken: June's reclaim to within ~3% of the $51.60 high failed, and the mid-July AI-capex scare (Moonshot model) drove shares back through the ~$44 base to the mid-$30s. Sell-side still carries $48–$55 targets,… CLPT ClearPoint Neuro, Inc. LOW Picks-and-shovels delivery play on CNS gene therapy: ClearPoint's SmartFlow cannula and MRI navigation are the standard route to the brain for uniQure's AMT-130 Huntington's BLA (soft Q3-2026 window). The June re-rate held near $18.72… CLS Celestica, Inc. LOW AI-datacenter EMS picks-and-shovels story still fundamentally climbing after the 2026-04-27 Q1 crush (rev +53% to $4.05B, FY26 guide raised to $19B), but the tape broke ~21% off its $474 June high and heads into a binary 2026-07-27 Q2… CRS Carpenter Technology Corp LOW Aero-defense superalloy pricing cycle intact (three contracts at >30% hikes; Q4 op-income guide $205-210M, +37% YoY), but the July flush to $532 has been bought back to ~$603 straight into the 2026-07-30 Q4 print — now four sessions out… ERO Ero Copper Corp. LOW August's squeeze re-rating has been handed back: the 2026-09-04 close of $34.90 sits 13.6% under the $40.40 high, with three rating cuts in four sessions (BTG Pactual and Bradesco BBI 09-01, Freedom Broker 09-04, the last while raising its… FN Fabrinet LOW Optical cluster re-accelerated in July (AAOI +390% YTD, LITE +138%, COHR +107%) while Fabrinet sits ~$478, +0.7% YTD and ~36% under its $748.89 high. Revenue compounds at +30% but the tape has decoupled from its own theme — a… GENI Genius Sports Limited LOW Sports-data toll-booth under the prediction-market boom, but the boom arrived and the toll didn't: Kalshi/Polymarket cleared $50B+ of World Cup volume (Coindesk, 2026-07-14) while GENI slid $6.43 → $6.30 and printed $5.98 intraday July 17.… GFS GlobalFoundries Inc. LOW Photonics/CHIPS delivery kept accelerating — comms/data-center revenue +62% YoY in Q2 (2026-08-05), $300M Commerce LoI 2026-07-29 — while the multiple collapsed 39.2% from the $89.83 52wk high to $54.58 on 2026-08-14. What's on offer is a… GSM Ferroglobe PLC LOW US trade-remedy leg: the 2026-08-03 USITC affirmative vote forces AD/CVD orders on Australian and Norwegian silicon metal, on top of Angola/Laos orders live since 2026-03-17. Q2 (2026-08-04) delivered the sequential recovery — $13.1M adj… ICHR Ichor Holdings LOW Memory-capex WFE subsystem re-rating broke on the 2026-08-03 Q2 print: revenue $294.8M missed $300.2M consensus, the $78 June shelf failed, and the 2026-08-07 close was $68.32 against a $112.28 high. Q3 guidance still beats ($315–345M vs… INDI indie Semiconductor, Inc. LOW Automotive ADAS-silicon design-win story keeps improving on paper ($7.4B backlog, $25M radar order, ams OSRAM sensor buy) while the tape stays broken below the ~$4.00 50-day MA; TD Cowen's 2026-07-13 lift to a $4.50 Hold is a thaw, not a… INOD Innodata Inc. LOW AI training-data pure-play with a still-accelerating fundamental story (Q1 rev +54%, 40%+ FY26 guide reaffirmed 06-17) but a fully broken chart: ~-51% from the June $125.14 ATH to ~$61, with the CEO filing a fresh 200k-share sale on 07-16… KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited LOW China AI-compute capacity story is intact on fundamentals — AI gross billing +90% YoY and past half of public-cloud revenue in Q1 (reported 2026-05-27) — but the price leg broke: -32.3% from the $18.21 high with RSI(14) back at 70.0. The… KLAC KLA Corporation LOW The $190 break held and no base replaced it: the 2026-09-04 close of $185.60 sits $1.61 above the 2026-08-21 weekly close, 38.4% under the $301.37 high, with RSI(14) at 31.4. UBS cut to $200 on 2026-09-01 while Bernstein reaffirmed $250 on… LGN Legence Corp. LOW AI-datacenter MEP/HVAC pick-and-shovel story still improving on fundamentals (record $5.38B backlog, FY guide raised to $4.1–4.3B), but the tape has decoupled: ~33% off the $102 May close high, LGN sliced the $76 breakout shelf and rolled… MDB MongoDB, Inc. LOW Atlas re-acceleration (+29.4% YoY, record $117M seq add; Q1 FY27, 2026-05-28) is intact, but the +18.5% post-print breakout fully round-tripped from $444.72 to a $294.10 close as the AI-software theme sold on margin-timing fear. Sell-side… MEDP Medpace Holdings, Inc. LOW Bookings-inflection leg (Q2 awards $795.7M, +28.2% YoY, 1.13x book-to-bill, FY26 guide raised 2026-07-22) unchanged on fundamentals, but the tape has given back part of the August recovery — $600.65 on 08-28 to $591.29 on 09-04 — while the… MKSI MKS Inc. LOW Operating leg accelerating into a de-rating tape: Q2 (2026-08-05) beat at $1.248B revenue / $3.30 adj EPS, Q3 guide $1.310–1.390B tops the $1.243B Street, leverage down to 3.0x — and the stock still fell 4.49% on the print and sits 31.4%… MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. LOW The AI-power read-across stopped transmitting: NVIDIA printed $96.2B revenue and $89B Data Center on 2026-08-26 and guided Q3 to $108B, yet MPWR closed 2026-09-04 at $1,223.86 — through the 2026-06-26 pivot of $1,313.32, RSI(14) at 20.0,… MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. LOW AI optical-interconnect arms-dealer with fundamentals still accelerating (FY26 DC growth guide >60%, Q3 guide $331-339M) but a July-broken chart: ~36% off the $418.90 high to ~$267 on the semi selloff, Russell Value index removal, and… MXL MaxLinear, Inc. LOW The AI-optical revenue leg still compounds — Q3 guided to $210–220M against Q2's $168.8M — while the price leg makes new lows: the 2026-09-04 close of $62.74 is 51.0% below the $128.03 high with RSI(14) at 25.1, after roughly $50M of… PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. LOW Beaten-down bill-pay compounder: Q1 2026 revenue +30.2% YoY yet shares carved a $20.11 June 52-week low on margin-mix fear. Now ~40% off that low into a binary ~Aug-4 Q2 print — the read is a recovering base, not a chase. PDFS PDF Solutions, Inc. LOW Yield-analytics software re-rated on a real margin step — operating margin ~18%→25%, Platform revenue +36% YoY (Q1 reported 2026-05-07) — but the ~+280% run peaked at $69.05 on 2026-07-02 and flushed 11.5% intraday; the name is now… RMBS Rambus Inc. LOW Memory theme is ripping — Micron +68% YTD with HBM sold out through 2027 — but Rambus has decoupled, down ~42% from its 2026-06-03 high of $174.10 to $101.44 while the cycle proxy sits near records. Interface content is a DIMM-unit story,… SITM SiTime Corporation LOW MEMS-timing picks-and-shovels story is fundamentally intact — Q1 datacenter revenue +158% YoY to 67% of sales, Renesas timing deal closed July 1 — but the momentum leg has broken: ~$550 on July 18 is ~39% off the May 11 all-time-high close… SMTC Semtech Corporation LOW The mix-purification leg has lost its price leg: the August bounce round-tripped from a $140.35 close on 2026-08-14 to $124.09 on 2026-08-21, under the 2026-07-17 flush close. The binary moved forward — Q2 FY27 prints 2026-08-25 after the… SRAD Sportradar Group AG LOW Scope expanded, revenue did not: the 2026-08-27 Polymarket deal widened to 20+ leagues and ~300,000 matches a year, and the 2026-08-26 Euroleague renewal runs to 2031, yet the 2026-08-28 close of $12.94 sits below the $13.82 of two weeks… STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. LOW The published $500 break condition fired: last close $486.49 on 2026-09-04, 51.0% under the 2026-06-04 high, RSI(14) 23.1, and no analyst action at all since D.A. Davidson's $700 initiation on 2026-08-24. Q2 (2026-08-03) delivered revenue… TER Teradyne, Inc. LOW Parabolic AI-test leg broke hard: $483.84 closing ATH (2026-06-30) to $322.36 (2026-07-17), −33% in twelve sessions on a memory-glut scare, with the whole $446–$550 analyst band now stranded above spot. Company guided Q2 revenue DOWN… UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. LOW WFE upcycle intact fundamentally but the tape broke: -35% from the $142.59 all-time close (2026-06-30) back under the ~$95 breakout shelf on sector-wide selling with no company news. Failed breakout, no support to $80.55, binary Q2 print… UFPT UFP Technologies, Inc. LOW The $300 shelf broke: the 2026-09-04 close of $288.79 sits 13.8% under the $334.84 high with RSI(14) at 15.8, the lowest reading in the series, and the entire post-Q2 re-rate is now overhead. Six insiders filed sales between 2026-08-06 and… WHD Cactus, Inc. LOW International wellhead order narrative from the 2026-07-29 Q2 beat is intact, but the re-rating leg is largely spent: Citigroup cut to Neutral on 2026-08-20 while raising its target to $75, and the shares closed $69.43 on 2026-08-21, 5.8%… WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corporation LOW Engine-leasing supercycle still printing records (Q1 rev +23%, EPS $4.03 vs $3.02 est), but the theme is maturing and the stock has faded ~18% off its 2026-07-06 ATH into the now-completed 3-for-1 split. The event stack has collapsed to…