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Cyclical industrials theme · 120 dossiers

Dossiers in the Cyclical industrials theme cluster — 120 names moving on shared catalysts.

Theme runProduced by the theme run on 10 September 2026, maturing.

All 120 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. fresh MEDIUM J.B. Hunt’s freight recovery requires stronger intermodal pricing and continued profit growth at the estimated 2026-10-15 report. Confirmation requires fuel-excluded pricing growth above Q2’s 1% year-over-year increase and rising… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · RXO RXO, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Freight-cycle recovery intact; sell-side has fully caught up into a $20–35 battleground — bears $20 (Goldman 07-16, Susquehanna 07-14), bulls $30–35 (BMO $35 initiation 07-14, Stifel/Truist/Citi $30). Narrative matured from mispriced to… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ARCB ArcBest Corporation fresh LOW ArcBest’s cost reductions must preserve margins: Q3 2026 recurring savings and an adjusted Asset-Based operating ratio at or below Q2’s 90.8% would confirm the case. A weekly close below $134.45 invalidates the price-supported thesis first. Special situation · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · XPO XPO, Inc. fresh LOW XPO, Inc.'s shipment-growth story requires continued volume growth and a third-quarter adjusted LTL operating ratio below 81% at the confirmed 2026-10-29 results. A weekly close below $185 invalidates the price case first; the 2026-09-09… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · BWMN Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. HIGH Bowman Consulting Group’s $43.00 cash acquisition makes merger completion the central thesis. The case resolves with payment of the announced consideration before a daily close below $40.50; the 2026-09-13 go-shop deadline narrows… Earnings inflection · Cyclical industrials catalyst · LFST LifeStance Health Group, Inc. HIGH Margin-inflection pivot is now being repriced by the calendar rather than by new company data: LifeStance confirmed on 2026-09-01 that its CFO presents at Jefferies on 2026-09-14 and its CEO at Morgan Stanley on 2026-09-15, putting two… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Cyclical industrials catalyst · AGCO AGCO Corporation MEDIUM AGCO Corporation's valuation reflects a 2027 farm-equipment recovery that remains unconfirmed by reported demand. A weekly close above the $139.71 market high recorded as of 2026-09-04 and Q3 results meeting July guidance would confirm the… Compounder · Cyclical industrials catalyst · BAX Baxter International Inc. MEDIUM Legacy medtech turnaround re-rating: the 2026-07-30 Q2 print lifted FY26 organic growth guidance to 2-3% and adjusted EPS to $1.95-$2.15, gapping the shares to a $28.34 52-week high. Six weeks on, the 2026-09-04 close of $25.83 sits 8.9%… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Freight & logistics catalyst · CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-plus-free-cash-flow leg intact but the tape has stalled: after recovering to $12.42 on 2026-09-02 the stock was quoted at $12.46 on 2026-09-05, above the 11-analyst average target of $11.96, with no company disclosure since the… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Critical materials & rare earths catalyst · CNH CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V. MEDIUM CNH Industrial's farm-equipment recovery is being priced ahead of earnings after September's analyst upgrades. The next quarterly report tests margin recovery, while a weekly close below $12.50 invalidates the re-rating leg. Compounder · Cyclical industrials catalyst · FTK Flotek Industries, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy oilfield chemistry re-rating into a power/measurement business: Data Analytics hit 51% of gross profit in Q2 2026, the 2026-08-03 PREPA award adds ~$400M of 10-year expected backlog, and the 2026-08-04 guide went to $340–350M from… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Oil, energy & geopolitical analysed · HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company MEDIUM Tariff-reversal re-rating that has stopped extending: a $36.5M IEEPA refund lifted Q2 gross margin to 54.3% from 27.5% (print 2026-08-05), but ex-refund margin was 26.1% and FY2026 operating profit is still guided to a high-single-digit… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · KRT Karat Packaging Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-refund re-rating has stalled within 1.4% of the $49.80 52-week high: the 2026-08-28 close of $49.11 leaves Lake Street's $50 as the last published target above the market, RSI(14) has cooled from 78.4 to 58.2 without a lower low,… Defensive · Cyclical industrials · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · MTW The Manitowoc Company, Inc. MEDIUM Manitowoc's crane-order recovery supports its re-rating if Q3 backlog holds at least $1,050.1 million and raised 2026 profit guidance survives. A weekly close below $18 invalidates the price thesis; the Q3 reporting date remains… Defensive · Cyclical industrials catalyst · PRGO PERRIGO COMPANY PLC MEDIUM Store-brand self-care turnaround re-rating off the 2026-08-05 beat — adjusted EPS $0.50 and a reaffirmed core adjusted-EPS guide of $2.25–$2.55 against a $2.07B market cap and $3.3B of debt, with infant-formula and oral-care strategic… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM The takeover leg is dead — Advent/Stripe walked on 2026-08-28 and the stock broke 12.71% to $53.66 — leaving a standalone legacy-payments turnaround on the raised FY26 guide (~$5.38 adj EPS, ~$15.6B transaction-margin dollars). The tape… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit · Cyclical industrials catalyst · RCMT RCM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM RCM Technologies’ energy-services re-rating requires continued Engineering growth and stable margins. Q3 revenue above the segment’s $39.5 million Q2 level and consolidated gross margin of at least 25.7% would confirm the case, provided a… Cyclical recovery · Cyclical industrials analysed · TWLO Twilio Inc. MEDIUM Legacy CPaaS repricing as voice/agentic-AI engagement infrastructure; sell-side re-clustered higher into the print — Cowen $245, Mizuho $240, Citizens $250 (2026-07-17/20) — but the 2026-07-30 Q2 report is now the binary deciding whether… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst · U Unity Software Inc. MEDIUM Post-print re-rating has cooled: the 2026-08-28 close of $43.31 sits below the entire $45–55 target cluster set on 2026-08-07, with RSI(14) back to 51.0 from 91.5 on 2026-08-14. The second leg needs the ~2026-11-05 Q3 print to deliver Grow… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials analysed · AA Alcoa Corporation LOW The policy-proxy leg now carries an opposing vector: the September US Midwest premium — the benchmark roughly 1.35Mt of Alcoa shipments price against — fell 8.2% to 95 cents a pound on 2026-08-20 on signals Washington will cut Canadian… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Cyclical industrials catalyst · EVC Entravision Communication LOW Smadex AI-DSP re-rate broke to a new 52-week high of $13.48 with no dated company news since 2026-07-12 — an anticipatory leg into the 2026-08-10 Q2 print, the binary on whether Q1's +204% ATS growth and ~22% EBIT margin held.… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst · FLEX Flex Ltd. LOW AI-manufacturing re-acceleration: the 2026-07-09 Cerebras CS-3 production expansion is the first company-specific bid since the S&P-inclusion +6% pop round-tripped to ~$147, refreshing the data-center power/EMS narrative into the ~07-29 Q1… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid analysed · MAN ManpowerGroup LOW Cyclical staffing inflection confirmed by the 2026-08-07 10-Q, but sell-side marks stopped moving 2026-07-20 and the next company binary is ~2026-10-15. Retail squeeze · Cyclical industrials · Prediction markets & betting catalyst · MTRN Materion Corporation LOW Beryllium critical-materials scarcity narrative still building, but the parabola cracked: a new ATH of $298.76 in early July gave way to a 5.6% reversal on 2026-07-07 to $247.20, now ~$258 and still ~9% above KeyBanc's $237 top target. The… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace catalyst · RDW Redwire Corporation LOW Post-SpaceX-IPO deflation broke RDW to a 2026-07-18 low near $8.51 (~67% off the 5/28 record). A relief bounce on Huntsville/Indiana facility news and $41.5M of H1 Stalker drone orders keeps running into a ~$850M dilution ceiling: the… Retail squeeze · Space economy · Defense & aerospace catalyst · RUM Rumble Inc. LOW The sell-the-news break is now confirmed: RUM lost the $6.46–$6.66 100/200-day shelf and closed $5.76 on 2026-07-17, -19% from the post-rebrand tape and within 25% of the $4.62 52-week low. Every moving average is overhead. The 2026-08-10… Special situation · GPU cloud & neoclouds · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · TBI Trueblue, Inc. LOW Deep-cyclical industrial staffer re-rated +140% off the $3.18 low on a staffing-demand recovery and a data-center/energy labor boom lifting PeopleReady +19% YoY. Still loss-making (Q1 net -$19.8M), margins compressed, and the… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Emerging markets catalyst · TITN Titan Machinery Inc. LOW Titan Machinery’s farm-equipment recovery re-rating requires falling total inventory and preserved earnings guidance at its next quarterly report. A weekly close below $23 would invalidate the market thesis before confirmation. Compounder · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HNI HNI Corporation HIGH Steelcase cost-synergy ramp is still the entire earnings story — FY2026 guide raised 2026-07-30 to 20–25% non-GAAP EPS growth on 0.1% organic sales. Price has built a three-week shelf, $48.86 on 2026-08-14 to $49.66 on 2026-09-04, 3.0%… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Housing, homebuilders & proptech catalyst · RNG Ringcentral, Inc. HIGH Legacy UCaaS re-rating on AI mix (~13% of ARR) has widened from two target raises to a four-firm cluster: Wells Fargo $65 (08-25), Needham $85 (08-28), Oppenheimer $85 (09-01), RBC initiating Outperform at $85 (09-03). Close $73.39 on… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst · AKAM Akamai Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Legacy-CDN-to-AI-inference pivot got its first external validation since the failed July bounce: Q2 CIS +39% to $99M with >$2.8B YTD contract bookings (2026-08-06), then J.P. Morgan off Underweight to Neutral, PT $158 (2026-08-13). Price… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cybersecurity analysed · ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. MEDIUM The failed $44–47 shelf has not been reclaimed: the 2026-09-04 close of $42.04 holds above the $40.06 where the CEO bought 25,000 shares on 2026-08-20, but 34.2% under the $63.86 high with RSI(14) at 41.4. The new variable is dated —… Special situation · Travel & leisure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · AMP Ameriprise Financial, Inc. MEDIUM Wealth-platform operating leverage intact — Q2 (2026-07-23) adjusted operating EPS $11.07 +22%, ROE 55%, record $1.81T AUM/AUA — but four weeks after the 2026-08-11 high the tape has gone flat: $560.56 on 2026-09-04, 1.8% under the 52-week… Cyclical recovery · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ARXS Arxis, Inc. MEDIUM Serial-acquirer compounding into defense and space: five closings since 2026-06-01, the latest StratEdge and Schatz on 2026-09-01/02 (in excess of $40M combined FY27 revenue, terms undisclosed). The 2026-07-29 raise to $1.960–1.980B is… Cyclical recovery · Space economy · Defense & aerospace analysed · BHE Benchmark Electronics MEDIUM Beat-and-raise on 2026-07-29 (rev $756M +18% YoY, AC&C +71% YoY, FY26 lifted to ~$3B/+13%) was fully sold: price round-tripped from the $98.67 52-week high to $81.75 on 2026-08-14. The AI-cooling and lidar picks-and-shovels leg is… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CCS Century Communities, Inc. MEDIUM Post-Q2 re-rate is holding but no longer extending: the 2026-08-28 close of $69.16 is 6.2% under the $73.71 high with RSI 52.2. The 2026-08-25 new home sales print — 607k annual rate, -10.5% MoM, 9.6 months' supply — removed the demand… Compounder · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CERT Certara, Inc. MEDIUM The self-help leg is intact and quiet: FY26 guidance was reaffirmed at the 2026-08-04 Q2 print ($367–382M revenue, $0.31–0.36 adj EPS), the ~$13M cost takeout first shows up in Q3 numbers, and the shares have held four closes between $8.13… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation MEDIUM First index-level confirmation of the SBS round: Fastmarkets RISI raised its US SBS folding-carton assessment $20/ton in August (data published 2026-08-21) while other boxboard grades and containerboard stayed flat — yet price fell to… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation MEDIUM First full combined quarter post-Kito Crosby beat hard (adj EPS $0.61 vs $0.27 est) and drove a guidance raise on all three lines on 2026-07-30; the leg being bought is deleveraging from 4.9x toward sub-4x by FY28 on $70M of synergies. No… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · M&A & special situations analysed · CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. MEDIUM Utility T&D / grid-capex cycle with CTOS as the laggard specialty-rental picks-and-shovels name; the June breakout to $11.36 has stalled, retracing ~10% to retest the ~$10 shelf into a binary 2026-07-29 Q2 print. Theme now maturing and… Cyclical recovery · Industrial power & grid · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation MEDIUM Legacy IT-services franchise re-underwritten as an enterprise-AI deployment partner; the leg still works but has run through its own consensus — the 2026-08-28 close of $64.04 sits above the $63.94 29-analyst mean, no target has been… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials analysed · CXT Crane NXT, Co. MEDIUM The post-print give-back stopped rather than reversed: $50.20 on 2026-08-21 and $50.06 on 2026-09-04, RSI back to 49.5, with the $47 washout shelf untested since the 2026-08-19 $48.06 open. The sell-side anchor reset lower in the same… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials catalyst · DFIN Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. MEDIUM Mix-shift leg intact and still untested: software was 44.3% of Q2 net sales at a record 36.7% adjusted EBITDA margin on the 2026-07-30 print, and no company release has followed in the 31 days since. Shares closed $48.32 on 2026-08-28,… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials analysed · DXC DXC Technology Company MEDIUM The AI-native pivot on a declining $12B IT-services base is being digested rather than abandoned: a fourth AI-framed launch landed 2026-08-12 (DXC Workplace Services on OASIS), then price advanced from $10.80 on 08-21 to $11.21 on 08-28… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials analysed · EDRY EuroDry Ltd. MEDIUM The August divergence closed the other way: BDI 3,488 on 2026-09-03 (from 2,841 on 08-21), with Panamax spot $22,113/day and Supramax $21,090/day now both above the $20,398/day Q2 TCE. EDRY closed $57.43 on 2026-09-04 at a 52-week high… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · FET Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM Oilfield-equipment operating-leverage re-rating, still maturing: the 2026-07-30 beat ($1.16 adj EPS vs $0.56) and raised FY26 guide were reiterated at EnerCom on 2026-08-18. Everything new since is supply — four insider Form 4 sales from… Cyclical recovery · Cyclical industrials · Semi foundry & equipment analysed · FSLR First Solar, Inc. MEDIUM Section 232 supplied a new leg: the 2026-08-06 proclamation sets a $0.38/W minimum import price on modules from 2026-12-04, above the ~$0.36/W FSLR struck on Q2 US bookings. Baird upgraded 2026-08-11 with a target moved to $318 from $205.… Theme leader · Solar & clean energy · Cyclical industrials analysed · JRSH Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. MEDIUM Sourcing-migration story is still two-for-two on guidance: Q1 FY2027 revenue of $50.23M (+26.7% YoY) beat consensus and the company's own guide on 2026-08-10, and Q2 is guided to $49–51M against $47.85M. Fundamentals have stood still… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation catalyst · MASS 908 Devices Inc. MEDIUM Post-divestiture handheld chemical-detection pure play still holding the 2026-08-11 beat-and-raise re-rate: the 2026-08-28 close of $10.73 sits 3.3% under the $11.10 52-week high with RSI(14) cooled from 86.0 to 72.2. Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Defense & aerospace analysed · MEI Methode Electronics MEDIUM Data-center power pivot is revenue-confirmed — record >$80M FY26 segment sales and an FY27 guide ($1.025–1.075B vs ~$952M Street) — but the post-print momentum leg has faded ~26% from the $20.38 high to ~$15. The re-rate is spent and the… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Industrial power & grid catalyst · NWL Newell Brands Inc. MEDIUM Post-print re-rating still shelved: the 2026-09-04 close of $6.11 sits 2.8% under the $6.29 52-week high with RSI(14) at 53.2, and the covering leg behind the 7/31 +15% is largely spent (10.52% of float short at the 2026-08-14 settlement,… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · OTEX Open Text Corporation MEDIUM The growth leg died at the 2026-08-06 reset — FY27 revenue guided $5.135-5.185B versus $5.246B in FY26, adjusted EBITDA margin 32-33% versus 36.3%. What is left is cash return against a flat shelf: $807.5M FY26 free cash flow, a… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst · TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. MEDIUM Legacy open-web ad network repricing as a toll booth on AI answer surfaces: the 2026-06-16 DeeperDive ad-network launch (35% take rate, open to third-party LLMs/agents) plus the 2026-07-01 Wikitree win drove a breakout to 52-week highs… Special situation · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-05 binary resolved bullishly — Q2 revenue $1.004B beat both the $930–970M guide and $962M consensus, book-to-bill rose to 1.49, Q3 guided $1.100–1.140B vs $1.073B consensus. Yet the 2026-08-14 close of $140.0 is 36.8% below the… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Defense & aerospace analysed · WEX WEX Inc. MEDIUM Hated fuel-card/fintech inflecting: the 2026-07-22 Q2 beat (Adj EPS $5.35 vs $5.05) and FY26 guide raise to $19.68-$20.08 discredit the EV-kills-fuel-cards and rate-cut-kills-float bear case; PTs jumped to $200-210 (Mizuho/KBW, 7/24).… Special situation · Fintech & consumer credit · Cyclical industrials catalyst · WNC Wabash National Corp. MEDIUM The regulatory binary resolved in Wabash's favour: Commerce's final China AD/CVD determinations came back affirmative with a 2026-08-24 CVD determination date (FR 2026-17749/17750, publication scheduled 2026-08-31), leaving the duty wall… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Freight & logistics catalyst · ACN Accenture PLC LOW The post-crash mean-reversion leg stalled once its funding stopped: the $7.5B buyback's dated demand ended 2026-08-31, price closed $186.72 on 09-04 against $189.61 on 08-28, and Morgan Stanley carried a Hold at $130 on 09-03. Nothing… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Managed care & health services catalyst · ADTN ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. LOW The ADVA margin-recovery re-rate has fully round-tripped and nothing replaced it: with no company release since 2026-08-11, the close walked from $7.72 on 2026-08-28 to $7.10 on 2026-09-04 at RSI(14) 16.7 — the drawdown's most oversold… Special situation · Networking & optical · Cyclical industrials analysed · ALNT Allient Inc. LOW Record-orders story intact — Q2 2026 bookings $201.3M (+49% YoY), 1.31x book-to-bill, backlog $298.0M — but the supply picture changed after the note: the CEO's trusts sold 70,000 shares at $112.49–$115.765 on 2026-08-10 and 13D holder… Cyclical recovery · Cyclical industrials · Physical AI & robotics analysed · ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. LOW Ethanol-to-specialty/low-carbon pivot re-rated ~6x off $0.92, but both fuel catalysts — the June 45Z cash sale and the Russell index add — are spent, and price has round-tripped from the $6.11 July high to ~$4.64, losing the $5.10-$5.20… Special situation · Biofuels & low-carbon fuels · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ARHS Arhaus, Inc. LOW The $9.00 weekly-close level that defined the post-2026-08-06 repricing has gone: the week ending 2026-08-28 closed at $8.98 with no new company disclosure, leaving the +12.5% written-comp inflection intact on paper but unbid. Two… Defensive · Consumer discretionary rotation · Freight & logistics catalyst · BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. LOW Lemonis "Everything Home" roll-up keeps closing deals — Container Store now wholly owned (2026-07-08), TwoPonds folded in (2026-07-01) — but the tape has bled from $5.83 to ~$4.96 and sits on the $4.26 52-week low as shares balloon past… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. LOW Post-blowoff digestion is deepening: the ~4x data-center site-work roll-up has bled from a $96 high back to its $63 average analyst target, now below the $73 secondary price and the 50-DMA. Q1 organic +64% and an $854M backlog keep… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CLS Celestica, Inc. LOW AI-datacenter EMS picks-and-shovels story still fundamentally climbing after the 2026-04-27 Q1 crush (rev +53% to $4.05B, FY26 guide raised to $19B), but the tape broke ~21% off its $474 June high and heads into a binary 2026-07-27 Q2… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials analysed · COMP Compass, Inc. LOW Now stretched into a binary ~2026-07-29 Q2 print ($4.0–4.2B guide) with an open NY AG antitrust probe. Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CROX Crocs, Inc. LOW Legacy-brand turnaround with the raised guide intact and the tape still unwinding: after the 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise (FY2026 adj EPS $13.70–$14.00), closes went $131.72 (08-14) → $122.11 (08-21) → $117.53 (09-04), RSI(14) 26.9, -16.8%… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. LOW Legacy-networker AI re-rate intact and now at its binary: the $118–120 shelf held through July, price closed $121.43 on 2026-08-07 with RSI(14) at 78.4, and five sell-side target raises landed 07-22 → 08-06 (Citi $112→$139) ahead of the Q4… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Networking & optical catalyst · CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. LOW The reshoring re-rating broke at the 2026-08-27 print: Q2 EPS -$1.40 vs -$1.18 consensus, Q3 revenue guided $1.3–1.5B against $1.813B consensus, and the 2026-08-28 close of $13.14 is under the $14 shelf. What replaces it is a policy leg —… Special situation · Solar & clean energy · Cyclical industrials catalyst · DDD 3D Systems Corporation LOW June's $50M raise at $3.05 (16.4M sh) is already underwater: shares last $2.775 (2026-07-02), below the offering floor, with ~$50M shelf undrawn and soft Q2 guidance (rev $93–95M, adj. EBITDA still negative) into the 2026-08-10 print. A… Special situation · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace analysed · DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. LOW Fusion pivot is the leg: the 2025-12-18 all-stock TAE Technologies merger (>$6B, ~50/50 fully diluted) is what's actually being bought, while the crypto-treasury leg was terminated 2026-08-07. The S-4 was still unfiled as of 2026-08-05,… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · DOCU DocuSign, Inc. LOW Legacy e-signature base re-wrapped as AI agreement management: IAM at 12.6% of ARR (2026-04-30) against a ~18% fiscal-year-end target, while total growth is guided to ~8%. The 2026-09-03 Q2 print is the binary, and it arrives with the… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited LOW The August leg failed at the print: the ADR closed $59.09 on 2026-08-28 versus $67.76 on 2026-08-21, even as the FY26 report guided FY27 production to 198,000–210,000 dmt against FY26's 197,967 dmt and GFEX carbonate settled CNY 158,700/t… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Cyclical industrials analysed · ENOV Enovis Corporation LOW Post-Colfax orthopedic pure-play turnaround: LimaCorporate integration plus FCF-conversion recovery (43% in 2024 toward a 70–80% target) is the self-help story, but price has rolled over from $34 toward $27 while three brokers cut targets.… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · EXFY Expensify, Inc. LOW Legacy expense-SaaS pivot re-rated on the 2026-08-06 Q2 print: revenue $33.9M beat $33.688M, paid-member decline halved to -2% YoY, FY26 FCF guide doubled to $12M-$14M, ~7% of shares retired, and New Expensify ARR from net-new customers… Special situation · AI enterprise software · Fintech & consumer credit analysed · FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. LOW Activist-plus-new-CEO turnaround has stopped accelerating and started digesting: after the +30% run off Garden's $40.6 buy, price has chopped $50–54 for three weeks while sell-side targets climbed past spot (Goldman $61 on 7/10, Barclays… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · FN Fabrinet LOW Optical cluster re-accelerated in July (AAOI +390% YTD, LITE +138%, COHR +107%) while Fabrinet sits ~$478, +0.7% YTD and ~36% under its $748.89 high. Revenue compounds at +30% but the tape has decoupled from its own theme — a… Cyclical recovery · Networking & optical · AI datacenter infrastructure analysed · FRD Friedman Industries Inc. LOW Tariff-driven HRC steel prices at multi-year highs powered record FY2026 (EPS $2.76, sales +46%); FRD hit an all-time-high close $37.42 on 2026-06-18 and was flagged overbought the same day. The narrative is maturing and priced near the… Defensive · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · FWRD Forward Air Corporation LOW Busted-merger workout losing its bid: the +48% June bounce to $14.87 (on a speculative Amazon-bolt-on thesis) has faded ~13% to ~$13, whole-company sale is now reported "unlikely," and the 2026-07-10 chairman exit forfeited… Earnings inflection · Cyclical industrials · Freight & logistics analysed · GDRX GoodRx Holdings, Inc. LOW Legacy-marketplace pivot: Pharma Direct +76% YoY and subscriptions +39% now carry the story while prescription transactions fall 26%, but the 2026-08-05 guidance raise to $790–805M has a bid — shares closed $3.48 on 2026-09-04, 30.8% under… Special situation · Managed care & health services · Precision biotech & therapeutics analysed · GTX Garrett Motion Inc. LOW Turbo cash-cow re-rated (~8–9x → ~18x) on a datacenter/industrial oil-free cooling narrative; the parabolic Feb→June leg (~$20→$36) is spent, shares faded ~11% to the 50-day near $32.30, and the ~late-July Q2 print is the first chance to… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HOV Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. Class A LOW The housing-bill leg is spent — the Act auto-enacted 2026-07-11 and nothing dated has replaced it — yet HOV has re-rated to $137.78 (2026-08-07), 11.8% off the $156.16 high, on no company news. The confirmed 2026-08-20 Q3 print (quarter… Earnings inflection · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · HTLD Heartland Express, Inc. LOW The margin-recovery leg printed on 2026-07-30 (operating ratio 91.0% vs 105.9%) and drew no lasting bid: price slid from $12.84 on 2026-08-21 to $12.44 on 2026-09-04, RSI 43.9, at the bottom of the August $12–$13 band, while freight… Special situation · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials analysed · IHRT iHeartMedia, Inc. LOW M&A leg is dead — no SiriusXM headline since the 2026-05-29 NYT "stalled" report and the April spike fully round-tripped ($6.33 high → $3.86 on 2026-08-07, -39%). What is left is a binary: Q2 print 2026-08-10 after the close is the first… Earnings inflection · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials analysed · IPX IperionX Limited LOW US critical-minerals sovereignty name whose funding overhang cleared the ugly way: a 2026-07-08 US$50M ADS raise priced at $21.98, ~22% below the ~$28 pre-deal level, resetting the stock to $22.94 near its $21.66 52-week low. Pre-revenue,… Compounder · Critical materials & rare earths · Defense & aerospace catalyst · KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation LOW Section 232 aluminum supply-shock (50% duty through 2027) plus a Q1 earnings inflection already repriced KALU ~+175% YoY to a $195 high; the move is maturing toward saturated with price at/above every published target. The estimated… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. LOW Beat-and-raise is filed (Q2 adj EPS $0.63; Q3 guided $0.71–$0.77) but the equity is flat since 2026-08-21 at $71.99 while the driver stalled rather than reaccelerated — all-mode tender rejections 13.57% on 2026-08-25 versus a July 4 peak… Compounder · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · KODK Eastman Kodak Company LOW The post-print advance has round-tripped its momentum: the 2026-08-04 AM&C inflection ($105M, +40% YoY) is still the only evidence for the pivot, and with no Kodak filing since then the 2026-09-04 close of $9.29 sits on the $9.20 shelf… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Industrial power & grid analysed · KOPN Kopin Corporation LOW Legacy microdisplay maker repriced as an AI-interconnect supplier on Q2 revenue of $12.7M (+51% YoY, beat $12.428M) and guided Q4 2026 GAAP profitability — but the partner release cadence stopped on 2026-08-18, the next company-dated event… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Defense & aerospace analysed · LGIH LGI Homes, Inc. LOW The 2026-06-24 legislative gap is filled: LGIH closed $55.00 on 2026-09-04, under the $56.06 gap origin, after the 2026-08-04 beat-and-raise bought only five weeks of range. Freddie Mac's 30-year survey reversed to 6.71% on 2026-09-03, a… Compounder · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · LNC Lincoln National Corp. LOW Legacy-risk-transfer re-rating: the 2026-07-30 Talcott deal cedes ~$5.8B of GUL statutory reserves for ~$200M all-in statutory capital, alongside a Q2 adjusted EPS beat at $2.24 vs $1.96. But the information is out, price sits 2.1% under… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Managed care & health services catalyst · LZ LegalZoom.com, Inc. LOW AI-reset narrative — a busted online legal-forms IPO repositioning as an AI-enabled SMB subscription platform (Anthropic partner, AI "digital mailroom") — drove a +29% 30-day rip into July. But it's stretched into the 2026-08-05 Q2 print,… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · MAMA Mama's Creations, Inc. LOW The 2026-09-03 binary resolved for the fundamentals and against the tape: Q2 FY2027 revenue $54.58M (+55%) and EPS $0.06 both beat, gross margin recovered to 24.0% from 23.6%, and the shares still closed 2026-09-04 at $15.16, below the… Defensive · Cyclical industrials · Small-cap value rotation analysed · MATV Mativ Holdings, Inc. LOW The deleveraging and margin leg is intact on the numbers but the flow behind it has drained: RSI(14) fell from 92.0 on 2026-08-07 to 37.5 on 2026-08-28 as the close slipped to $12.13, leaving price near the $11.50 gap-fill from the… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · MLKN MillerKnoll, Inc. LOW The August breakout is still unwound: $22.92 on 2026-09-04, 5.6% under the $24.29 adjusted 52-week high, RSI(14) back to 46.8 from 37.1 with no operating data changed since 2026-06-24. Everything now sits on the 2026-09-22 Q1 FY2027 print… Special situation · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · MOV Movado Group, Inc. LOW Q2 FY2027 (2026-08-26) cleared every line — 59.4% gross margin, $0.54 adjusted EPS vs $0.35, sales $169.8M vs $164.2M — and the shares still closed 2026-09-04 at $33.97, below the $34.96 pre-print level. Management guided second-half gross… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials analysed · MTH Meritage Homes Corporation LOW Housing-rebound-on-rate-cuts trade that carried MTH to a $85.38 52-week high has reversed: it lost the $75 June breakout shelf to $74.17 (-4.2% on 7/17) as mortgages held at 6.49% and Zelman capitulated to Neutral (7/7). Fundamentals still… Compounder · Housing, homebuilders & proptech · Cyclical industrials catalyst · MYE Myers Industries, Inc. LOW Legacy plastics maker re-rated ~2.4x on a "Focused Transformation" — MTS distribution arm in discontinued ops, capital concentrated behind Signature/MegaDeck composite matting (Infrastructure orders +130% YoY, Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs $0.28).… Special situation · Small-cap value rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · NWPX NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. LOW Legacy steel-pipe maker re-rated into a water-infrastructure + precast roll-up on a record $373M WTS backlog, an ~83% Q1 beat, and the Permalok RBJ field win. Narrative intact but the setup is extended — last near $148, ~35% above the… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials analysed · ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. LOW Freight-cycle recovery in the top-margin LTL name is drawing a broadening upgrade cluster now printing above spot (Stifel $256 Jul 21, Truist $250 Jul 15, RJ $241 Jul 13), but growth is still rate and mix with tons/day negative. The… Defensive · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials analysed · OEC Orion S.A. LOW Deep-cyclical carbon black where the 2024–25 tire-restock leg already failed (-32.5% from the $10.72 52-week high). What is left is a trough-and-deleverage read: Q2 2026 adj. EBITDA $58.2M (+26% sequential, -15% YoY), FY26 guide reaffirmed… Defensive · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · PBI Pitney Bowes Inc. LOW PBI broke the $17.62 shelf to a fresh 52-week high $18.62 (Jul 16) — the buyback/cost-cut re-rate is now extending, not consolidating. But revenue still shrinks ~3% YoY, consensus PT $16.43 sits below spot, and Q2 prints after close Jul… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials catalyst · PII Polaris Inc. LOW The re-rating leg is gone and the drift continued: PII closed 2026-09-04 at $62.52 with RSI(14) at 26.2, just above the $62 weekly-close line, after the 2026-08-21 loss of the $66.06 June shelf. What is left is an earnings-floor argument… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Consumer discretionary rotation analysed · PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. LOW The 2026-08-05 beat-and-raise leg is intact on the numbers and stalled on price: $45.76 on 2026-08-28 against the $52.51 high of 2026-08-07, RSI(14) down to 41.1 from 61.4 a week earlier, and two officers each selling 12,000 shares on… Theme leader · Industrial power & grid · Cyclical industrials analysed · PSQL Pasqal Holding SA LOW Newly listed neutral-atom quantum pure-play: the 2026-08-27 de-SPAC left ~$360M cash against €16.5M of 2025 commercial revenue, and the 2026-08-28 debut close of $19.11 has round-tripped to $7.96 on 2026-09-04. Attention is fresh — KACST… Defensive · Quantum computing · Cyclical industrials analysed · PVH PVH Corp. LOW The $75 shelf is gone: PVH closed the week at $74.33 on 2026-09-04 after a Q2 print whose $3.70 adjusted EPS carried roughly $1.80 of tariff refunds, a $439M goodwill impairment, revenue down 3%, EMEA down 6%, and a Q3 guide of $2.50–$2.65… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials analysed · RHI Robert Half Inc. LOW White-collar staffing in secular decline: Q2 EPS collapsed to $0.26 (2026-07-23) as AI automation and a frozen hiring market gut permanent-placement demand. The >5% dividend yield reads as a value-trap signal rather than a floor. No… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Managed care & health services catalyst · SANM Sanmina Corporation LOW The prior break level gave way: the 2026-08-21 weekly close at $188.89 retraced the entire June re-rate. FQ3 on 2026-07-27 beat and raised — $3.46B revenue, +69.7% YoY, FY26 EPS guide lifted to $11.90–12.20 — and the tape answered with a… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. LOW Tariff-recovery leg has stalled into a $39.71–$47.11 range with insiders selling every rally and zero buys; the whole story now hinges on the confirmed 2026-07-30 Q2 print. Consensus targets sit at or below spot ($43.75, 07-16), adjusted… Special situation · Consumer discretionary rotation · Cyclical industrials catalyst · SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (CSN) LOW New-CEO deleveraging story: Fabio Schvartsman replaced 24-year CEO Benjamin Steinbruch on 2026-09-03 and the ADR ran from $1.13 (09-01) to $1.22 (09-04) with RSI at 79.2, while R$42.1bn net debt and 3.49x leverage are untouched until a… Special situation · Critical materials & rare earths · Cyclical industrials analysed · SNDR Schneider National, Inc. LOW The 2026-07-30 beat-and-raise (adj EPS $0.29 vs $0.23 consensus; FY26 guide lifted to $0.90–$1.10) has been fully given back — the 2026-08-28 close of $34.44 is 10.9% under the 2026-06-08 high and sits 1.3% above the $34 shelf. The… Defensive · Freight & logistics · Cyclical industrials catalyst · SXC Suncoke Energy Inc LOW Coal-policy sympathy trade is fully dead: SXC has gone nowhere for three weeks, $8.39 on 2026-06-27 to $8.37 on 2026-07-17, pinned to the $8 shelf with no narrative velocity. The only live variable is the Q2 print, pulled forward to… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · TAL TAL Education Group LOW Legacy-pivot re-rating still intact on fundamentals — Q1 FY2027 revenue +31.9% to $758.4M with selling and marketing down 5% — but the post-print impulse has largely round-tripped: $12.16 on 2026-08-11 to $11.32 on 2026-08-21, RSI 37.2,… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Cyclical industrials analysed · TASK TaskUs, Inc. LOW Mix-shift re-rating: AI Services hit $66.1M (+25.8%) in Q2 CY2026 on 2026-08-05 — seventh straight quarter above 25% — and is guided above 30% YoY in Q4 on AV/robotics work, against a 25%-of-revenue Trust & Safety book the market assumes… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Physical AI & robotics analysed · TDUP ThredUp Inc. LOW The tariff/de-minimis re-rate is fully unwound: the 2026-08-05 FY2026 cut broke the growth leg, and the $2.80 weekly shelf flagged in prior coverage went on the 2026-08-28 close of $2.72. RSI(14) 28.2 with buyers +21% YoY and $57.4M cash… Retail squeeze · Consumer discretionary rotation · Small-cap value rotation analysed · TH Target Hospitality Corp. LOW The AI-datacenter-landlord re-rate has stalled: TH peaked at $20.85 and has given back ~21% to $16.36 (2026-07-17) as TDR Capital affiliates distribute shares in-kind to partners, losing the $17 secondary clearing shelf while Oppenheimer… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Cyclical industrials catalyst · TMC TMC the metals company Inc. LOW The deep-sea-mining reshoring leg is broken: TMC has cut through the $3.93 prior 52-week low to a fresh $3.57 low near $3.74, roughly -67% from the $11.35 high, with no bid and no near-term catalyst. The decisive NOAA license decision is… Earnings inflection · Critical materials & rare earths · Bitcoin miners catalyst · TRIP TripAdvisor, Inc. LOW The prior $10 weekly-close condition fired: the week ending 2026-08-28 closed at $9.87, through JP Morgan's 2026-08-07 Underweight target, with metasearch revenue -21% YoY. What remains is a residual-value question — $700M of contracted… Special situation · Travel & leisure · M&A & special situations analysed · XRAY DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. LOW The turnaround re-rating leg resolved at the 2026-08-06 Q2 print and then reversed: $13.78 pre-print, $13.19 on the print session, $11.12 by 2026-08-28 with RSI(14) at 34.3. Barclays kept Underweight on 2026-08-24 while lifting its target… Special situation · Medtech & diagnostics · Semi foundry & equipment catalyst · XRX Xerox Holdings Corporation LOW Distressed-deleveraging special situation that round-tripped its June activist pop into a binary 2026-07-30 Q2 print. At ~$2.60 it sits below the $2.75 Hold consensus and inside the $2.25–$2.50 target band; anchor buyer STARTEEPO (8.8M sh,… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Cyclical industrials catalyst · ZENA ZenaTech, Inc. LOW The Section 232 leg is spent for ZENA: the 2026-08-13/14 policy advance round-tripped to a 2026-08-28 close of $1.71, breaking the $1.95 weekly shelf and the $2.12 May unit price, and the company's own 2026-08-17 advantage release carried… Retail squeeze · Defense & aerospace · Cyclical industrials catalyst ·
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