Filtered library · Theme
Critical materials & rare earths theme · 48 dossiers
Dossiers in the Critical materials & rare earths theme cluster — 48 names moving on shared catalysts.
Theme runProduced by the theme run on 6 September 2026, maturing.
All 48 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. HIGH Gold rebounded 2% to $4,478 on 2026-09-03 after an ADP count of 38,000 August private jobs cut September hike odds, and FSM took the whole move to $12.66 — 7.3% off its $13.66 high — having held $12.26 through the prior week's slide to… IAG IAMGold Corporation HIGH The margin leg's revenue side firmed: spot gold was quoted $4,489.80/oz on 2026-09-03, above the $4,384/oz IAMGOLD realized in Q2, so the spread no longer needs new metal highs — only the Côté ramp pulling AISC back from $2,271/oz toward… SSRM SSR Mining Inc. HIGH Post-Çöpler balance-sheet reset — $1,783.0M cash, no long-term debt, a $500M buyback — now trades as a rate-path derivative: the 2026-09-03 close of $38.89 sits 0.8% under the $39.21 52-week high after gold rebounded to ~$4,491/oz. The… CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. MEDIUM Tariff-plus-free-cash-flow leg intact but the tape has stalled: after recovering to $12.42 on 2026-09-02 the stock was quoted at $12.46 on 2026-09-05, above the 11-analyst average target of $11.96, with no company disclosure since the… EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation MEDIUM The macro leg has partially repaired — Waller's 2026-09-03 remarks cut September hike odds from ~63.3% to 50.3% and gold traded back to $4,488/oz — which leaves the company leg as the open question: Skouries first copper-gold concentrate… EXK Endeavour Silver Corp. MEDIUM Operating leverage is the leg: silver $66.25/oz on 2026-09-03 against a $36–38/oz planning deck, with Terronera ramping through Q3. No company disclosure since the 2026-08-24 restart, so the 43.4% three-month advance runs on the metal and… HL Hecla Mining Company MEDIUM Debt-free silver margin with the metal moving again: silver $65.83/oz and gold $4,439.03/oz on 2026-09-03 against Q2 AISC of $6.07/oz ex-Keno and $63.06/oz realized, with the shares closing $21.21 the same day. No company datapoint lands… KRO Kronos Worldwide, Inc. MEDIUM Post-print re-rating extended rather than faded: the 2026-08-28 close of $8.80 sits 1.2% under a new $8.91 52-week high after Deutsche Bank raised its target to $9 from $6 on 2026-08-25 with a Buy — the first published target above the… AA Alcoa Corporation LOW The policy-proxy leg now carries an opposing vector: the September US Midwest premium — the benchmark roughly 1.35Mt of Alcoa shipments price against — fell 8.2% to 95 cents a pound on 2026-08-20 on signals Washington will cut Canadian… AU AngloGold Ashanti plc LOW The 2026-09-04 payroll beat resolved against the metal: gold fell to $4,420/oz, the miner group fell 1.9%, and AU closed $109.07 versus the 2026-08-21 high of $123.39. Gold-margin leverage still works against a $2,039/oz Q2 cost line, but… AUGO Aura Minerals Inc. LOW Gold/copper producer basing $53–$76 under a broken ~$72 shelf after a ~45% fall from the $110 high. Q2 output slipped 8% QoQ — first sequential drop after a record Q1 — as gold cools to the low-$4,000s and sell-side keeps trimming (JPM to… CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. LOW Coeur's repair leg has not started: the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index rose 33% in August (Bloomberg, 2026-09-01) while CDE closed 2026-09-04 at $21.24, where it sat on 2026-08-28. Record Q2 cash ($387.5M FCF, $347.0M net cash) is offset by… MTRN Materion Corporation LOW Beryllium critical-materials scarcity narrative still building, but the parabola cracked: a new ATH of $298.76 in early July gave way to a 5.6% reversal on 2026-07-07 to $247.20, now ~$258 and still ~9% above KeyBanc's $237 top target. The… MP MP Materials Corp. fresh LOW MP Materials' contracted rare-earth recovery needs Q4 2026 commercial magnet shipments to General Motors and a weekly close above $60.17. A weekly close below $50 or shipments delayed beyond that quarter invalidates the case. ARIS Aris Mining Corporation HIGH Two-asset Colombian gold producer earning $1,767/oz Segovia AISC against a $4,450/oz realized price (Q2, reported 2026-07-29); the leg being bought is the volume step toward ~500 koz/yr, gated on the 5,000 tpd Marmato CIP plant delivering… ELE Elemental Royalty Corporation HIGH Post-EMX royalty roll-up still compounding: Q2 2026 revenue $23.8M vs $9.1M a year earlier, guidance affirmed at 17,000–21,000 GEOs while gold traded near $4,608/oz on 2026-08-28 against a $4,500/oz guidance assumption. The 2026-08-11… MRX Marex Group plc HIGH Roll-up compounder in clean momentum continuation: the sell-side is now chasing price, with KBW $80, Barclays $76 and Piper $75 targets (Jul 9-15) leapfrogging the old $60 consensus, while the Bright Point clearing bolt-on (2026-07-09)… SCZM Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. HIGH No company disclosure since the 2026-08-17 Q2 print, so the marginal driver is the metal: silver December futures opened $67.63/oz on 2026-09-04, +16.4% in a month, against Q2 cash cost of $15.54/oz and AISC $21.87/oz. Price closed $9.94… ALM Almonty Industries Inc. MEDIUM Non-China tungsten narrative now trades on one venue: the TSX exit took effect 2026-07-31 and the ASX removal 2026-09-01, leaving Nasdaq and Frankfurt. The operating case is unchanged — Sangdong throughput since 2026-07-01, Q2 revenue… AYA Aya Gold & Silver Inc. MEDIUM Silver at $66.94/oz on 2026-09-06 still clears the $64.22/oz AgEq Q2 realized price against a $16.82/oz AgEq cash cost, while the US line closed $28.91 on 2026-09-04 with RSI(14) cooling to 57.7 from 70.7 on 2026-08-21. The ~2026-10-07 Q3… BTU Peabody Energy Corporation MEDIUM Centurion is the whole company-specific leg: seaborne met printed $(17.0)M adjusted EBITDA on 2.5Mt in Q2 while the full-year Centurion target was cut to 2.0–2.5Mt on 2026-07-29, against group EBITDA of $24.0M. Thermal segments fund the… HCC Warrior Met Coal, Inc. MEDIUM Against it, Q2 index realization fell to 66% of Platts PLV from 80%. The narrative is maturing — priced into guidance since 2026-08-05, with no company-dated event before the ~2026-10-30 print. OOMA Ooma, Inc. MEDIUM The 2026-08-26 Q2 FY2027 print resolved the binary favourably: revenue $83.228M beat the ~$81.63M consensus and FY2027 guidance went to $332.0–333.5M from $326.0–328.5M, with residential revised to flat-to-up-1%. B. Riley lifted its target… PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. MEDIUM Funded domestic-antimony developer whose news flow stopped paying: the 2026-08-18 Idaho district court ruling largely upheld federal approvals and the 2026-08-31 update reported 5,800m drilled plus 6.4m of 16.2 g/t gold, yet the close was… SBSW Sibanye-Stillwater MEDIUM Record H1 (EBITDA R31.8bn +111%, net debt/EBITDA 0.18x) and an interim dividend at the top of policy re-rated a de-geared PGM producer; then the 2026-09-03 USW walkout at Stillwater — the only US primary palladium mine — put palladium… AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. LOW Gold-equity operating leverage intact, but the macro sponsorship broke on 2026-08-28: Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole "we have work to do" line took over 3% out of gold and reset the shares from $216.06 to $206.25, RSI(14) 91.9 to 66.6. The… ALNT Allient Inc. LOW Record-orders story intact — Q2 2026 bookings $201.3M (+49% YoY), 1.31x book-to-bill, backlog $298.0M — but the supply picture changed after the note: the CEO's trusts sold 70,000 shares at $112.49–$115.765 on 2026-08-10 and 13D holder… AREC American Resources Corporation LOW Critical-minerals refining milestones keep landing at affiliated ReElement — Marion air permit 2026-08-19, seven commercial hires 2026-08-24, Critical Minerals Institute platinum membership 2026-09-03 — with no bid behind them: $2.43 on… BSIN Big Sky Industrial Inc. LOW Helium/45Q legacy pivot at a new high — $1.54 on 2026-09-04, 2.5% off the $1.58 52-week high — with no company disclosure since the 2026-08-20 Sidoti deck, leaving a maturing narrative whose next dated test is the Q3 print (~2026-11-10).… CRS Carpenter Technology Corp LOW Aero-defense superalloy pricing cycle intact (three contracts at >30% hikes; Q4 op-income guide $205-210M, +37% YoY), but the July flush to $532 has been bought back to ~$603 straight into the 2026-07-30 Q4 print — now four sessions out… DDD 3D Systems Corporation LOW June's $50M raise at $3.05 (16.4M sh) is already underwater: shares last $2.775 (2026-07-02), below the offering floor, with ~$50M shelf undrawn and soft Q2 guidance (rev $93–95M, adj. EBITDA still negative) into the 2026-08-10 print. A… DRD DRDGOLD Ltd. LOW The RSI(14) 91.0 spike that followed the 2026-08-19 FY2026 beat has drained to 64.4, with the ADR at $28.58 on 2026-09-04 against the $30.70 post-print close of 2026-08-21 — a give-back that tracked dollar gold ($4,633.90 quoted… ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited LOW The August leg failed at the print: the ADR closed $59.09 on 2026-08-28 versus $67.76 on 2026-08-21, even as the FY26 report guided FY27 production to 198,000–210,000 dmt against FY26's 197,967 dmt and GFEX carbonate settled CNY 158,700/t… ERO Ero Copper Corp. LOW August's squeeze re-rating has been handed back: the 2026-09-04 close of $34.90 sits 13.6% under the $40.40 high, with three rating cuts in four sessions (BTG Pactual and Bradesco BBI 09-01, Freedom Broker 09-04, the last while raising its… GFI Gold Fields Ltd ADR LOW Margin-to-cash story intact from H1 (2026-08-25: $2.225bn adjusted FCF, dividend +132%, realised $4,678/oz), but the macro leg inverted on 2026-09-04 when 162k August payrolls against ~53k expected pushed September hike odds to roughly 65%… GSM Ferroglobe PLC LOW US trade-remedy leg: the 2026-08-03 USITC affirmative vote forces AD/CVD orders on Australian and Norwegian silicon metal, on top of Angola/Laos orders live since 2026-03-17. Q2 (2026-08-04) delivered the sequential recovery — $13.1M adj… HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited LOW The August momentum leg has round-tripped: 2026-08-27 results paired a record 1,280c FY26 dividend (R8.15bn) with FY27 guidance of 1.30–1.40 Moz at R1.30–1.395m/kg, both softer than FY26's 1,429,551 oz at R1,191,698/kg. What is left is a… IPX IperionX Limited LOW US critical-minerals sovereignty name whose funding overhang cleared the ugly way: a 2026-07-08 US$50M ADS raise priced at $21.98, ~22% below the ~$28 pre-deal level, resetting the stock to $22.94 near its $21.66 52-week low. Pre-revenue,… KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation LOW Section 232 aluminum supply-shock (50% duty through 2027) plus a Q1 earnings inflection already repriced KALU ~+175% YoY to a $195 high; the move is maturing toward saturated with price at/above every published target. The estimated… LAC Lithium Americas Corp. LOW The $3.00 shelf held to the tick — the 2026-09-04 weekly close printed exactly $3.00 while the lithium carbonate benchmark sat at 152,000 CNY/t, +8.38% on the month and +102.7% year-on-year (Trading Economics). With roughly 67.3M Yorkville… LAR Lithium Argentina AG LOW Commodity transmission is now broken in both directions: the GFEX front carbonate quote came off to ~CNY 152,000/t on 2026-09-04 from CNY 156,140/t on 2026-08-22 while the shares went $6.83 to $6.79. The saturated lithium-recovery story… NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. LOW Cyclical zinc-recovery confirmed and fully priced: Q1 EBITDA +126% YoY and Aripuanã's record 13kt ramp drove a run to the $16.89 high, but the equity now chops $12–13 while LME zinc printed a fresh 2026 high near US$3,622 — a bearish… PCT PureCycle Technologies, Inc. LOW Post-dilution repair story: the June 10–15 raise (~$145M equity + $287.5M 4.75% converts, ~$11.08 conv) roughly halved the stock to ~$8 while the commercial ramp (Q1 record 8.4M-lb output, +161% revenue) held. The 2026-07-15 Mitsui/RM… RBLX Roblox Corporation LOW Broken growth compounder: the age-verification rollout throttled DAUs and forced FY26 bookings guidance down to +8-12%; stock is -66% from its $150 high and below the 200-day. The 2026-07-30 Q2 print is the binary — it needs a DAU… SID Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (CSN) LOW New-CEO deleveraging story: Fabio Schvartsman replaced 24-year CEO Benjamin Steinbruch on 2026-09-03 and the ADR ran from $1.13 (09-01) to $1.22 (09-04) with RSI at 79.2, while R$42.1bn net debt and 3.49x leverage are untouched until a… SXC Suncoke Energy Inc LOW Coal-policy sympathy trade is fully dead: SXC has gone nowhere for three weeks, $8.39 on 2026-06-27 to $8.37 on 2026-07-17, pinned to the $8 shelf with no narrative velocity. The only live variable is the Q2 print, pulled forward to… TMC TMC the metals company Inc. LOW The deep-sea-mining reshoring leg is broken: TMC has cut through the $3.93 prior 52-week low to a fresh $3.57 low near $3.74, roughly -67% from the $11.35 high, with no bid and no near-term catalyst. The decisive NOAA license decision is… WTTR Select Water Solutions, Inc. LOW Contracted produced-water midstream re-rate is intact on fundamentals — the 2026-08-18 amendment extended the Northern Delaware agreement 12 years across ~875,000 acres and JP Morgan initiated Overweight at $24 on 2026-08-21 — but shares…