Filtered library · Archetype
Compounder · 128 dossiers
Dossiers classified as Compounder — 128 names, each with its thesis, invalidation trigger and catalyst calendar.
All 128 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.
All dossiers HUM Humana Inc. fresh MEDIUM Humana's Medicare Advantage margin reset supports continuation above the $409.42 adjusted reference high before a daily close below $383. Bernstein maintained its $425 analyst target on 2026-09-09, while October Star Ratings leave the 2028… JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. fresh MEDIUM J.B. Hunt’s freight recovery requires stronger intermodal pricing and continued profit growth at the estimated 2026-10-15 report. Confirmation requires fuel-excluded pricing growth above Q2’s 1% year-over-year increase and rising… RXO RXO, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Freight-cycle recovery intact; sell-side has fully caught up into a $20–35 battleground — bears $20 (Goldman 07-16, Susquehanna 07-14), bulls $30–35 (BMO $35 initiation 07-14, Stifel/Truist/Citi $30). Narrative matured from mispriced to… DAVE Dave Inc. fresh LOW Dave Inc.'s growth-and-credit-quality story supports a recovery case, completed by a weekly close above the September 3 reference close of $390.86 before a weekly close below $358 invalidates it. The September 9, 2026 close of $361.88… HNGE Hinge Health, Inc. fresh LOW Digital-MSK profitability re-rate broke out in May and was pushed into open price discovery by the 2026-06-09 mid-quarter raise (Q2 to $200–202M, +45%; FY26 to $818–824M). But nine sell-side target hikes in two weeks plus accelerating… SEZL Sezzle Inc. fresh LOW Sezzle's recovery thesis is that profitable growth can repair its post-earnings price structure. A daily close above the 2026-08-17 recovery level of $129.87 would establish the case before a weekly close below $114 invalidates it; the… XPO XPO, Inc. fresh LOW XPO, Inc.'s shipment-growth story requires continued volume growth and a third-quarter adjusted LTL operating ratio below 81% at the confirmed 2026-10-29 results. A weekly close below $185 invalidates the price case first; the 2026-09-09… CXW CoreCivic, Inc. HIGH DHS is buying CoreCivic's detention real estate outright — $2.2B gross for four facilities, about $307k/bed — while CoreCivic keeps operating them; proceeds funded $608.5M of debt repayment and a $500M buyback expansion (2026-08-05… FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. HIGH Gold rebounded 2% to $4,478 on 2026-09-03 after an ADP count of 38,000 August private jobs cut September hike odds, and FSM took the whole move to $12.66 — 7.3% off its $13.66 high — having held $12.26 through the prior week's slide to… GEO The GEO Group, Inc. HIGH Federal detention-capacity narrative is converting to signed revenue: five-year ICE contracts effective 2026-07-09 (Big Horn, 1,188 beds, ~$85M/yr) and 2026-08-01 (Rivers, 1,320 beds, ~$80M/yr), with FY26 GAAP EPS guided up to $1.27–$1.32… IAG IAMGold Corporation HIGH The margin leg's revenue side firmed: spot gold was quoted $4,489.80/oz on 2026-09-03, above the $4,384/oz IAMGOLD realized in Q2, so the spread no longer needs new metal highs — only the Côté ramp pulling AISC back from $2,271/oz toward… IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. HIGH Amtagvi's commercial ramp inflected on the 2026-08-06 print — approximately $99.3M revenue, 56% gross margin, and FY2026 guidance of $350–370M pulled under review for an upward revision management said lands in Q3. The narrative is… LPG Dorian Lpg Ltd fresh HIGH Dorian has pre-fixed 99% of September-quarter calendar days above $88,000/day (2026-09-04 release) against a record $75,926 June-quarter TCE, with the Strait of Hormuz at day 188 and Brent near $96. The freight spike is the trade, not a… SSRM SSR Mining Inc. HIGH Post-Çöpler balance-sheet reset — $1,783.0M cash, no long-term debt, a $500M buyback — now trades as a rate-path derivative: the 2026-09-03 close of $38.89 sits 0.8% under the $39.21 52-week high after gold rebounded to ~$4,491/oz. The… AGCO AGCO Corporation MEDIUM AGCO Corporation's valuation reflects a 2027 farm-equipment recovery that remains unconfirmed by reported demand. A weekly close above the $139.71 market high recorded as of 2026-09-04 and Q3 results meeting July guidance would confirm the… ASST Strive, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Strive, Inc.'s bitcoin-treasury premium thesis depends on increasing bitcoin per diluted common share. A company-reported year-to-date Bitcoin Yield above the 40.8% reading dated 2026-08-28 would confirm the case before a weekly close… ATRC AtriCure, Inc. fresh MEDIUM The buyer changed: S&P DJI added ATRC to the SmallCap 600 on 2026-09-04, effective before the 2026-09-21 open, and Needham went to $64 from $45 on 2026-09-02 — while the last company number remains the 2026-07-23 Q2 print. The 2026-09-04… CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. MEDIUM Outbreak repair has done its work: the 2026-09-02 close of $38.52 has retraced the entire drawdown from the 2026-08-14 close of $33.50, and the CDC count has sat at 431 cases/32 states since its 2026-08-19 update. The marginal bid rotated… CNH CNH INDUSTRIAL N.V. MEDIUM CNH Industrial's farm-equipment recovery is being priced ahead of earnings after September's analyst upgrades. The next quarterly report tests margin recovery, while a weekly close below $12.50 invalidates the re-rating leg. COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. MEDIUM Two macro prints set the whole September range: a 10.1% surge to $192.70 on 2026-09-03 on Waller's hold signal and bitcoin above $81,000, then roughly 4% back on 09-04 as August payrolls printed +162,000 and hike odds moved to ~50%. The… CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Fal.Con (2026-08-31 to 09-03) delivered real product — Falcon Guardian, Falcon IQ, GPT-5.6 Cyber in Falcon, Anthropic marketplace distribution — and nine broker actions through 2026-09-04 including Truist $300, yet CRWD closed $213.10 on… CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. MEDIUM Post-print repricing is holding but fading: the 2026-08-12 gap to $107.73 is unfilled after closes of $106.29 and $105.26, RSI 71.1. Q2 printed $128M adjusted operating income against a $30–90M guide, and the $2.6B facility closed… CVI CVR ENERGY, INC. MEDIUM CVR Energy’s refining thesis is that Hormuz disruption lifts reported margins above second-quarter 2026’s $9.94 per throughput barrel. Third-quarter results test that inference; a weekly close below $39 invalidates the price structure. DINO HF Sinclair Corporation fresh MEDIUM Refining-crack plus break-up story now trades above nearly every published mark: the 2026-09-04 close of $105.41 sits 0.7% under the 52-week high with RSI(14) at 70.0 against a sixteen-analyst average target of $83.42. No company-dated… DK Delek US Holdings, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Record distillate cracks still carry the leg: EIA reported a fourth straight distillate draw (−2.2M bbl, week ended 2026-08-21, released 2026-08-26) with refineries at 97.4%, and the 2026-08-28 close of $72.25 was a 52-week high. But the… EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation MEDIUM The macro leg has partially repaired — Waller's 2026-09-03 remarks cut September hike odds from ~63.3% to 50.3% and gold traded back to $4,488/oz — which leaves the company leg as the open question: Skouries first copper-gold concentrate… EXK Endeavour Silver Corp. MEDIUM Operating leverage is the leg: silver $66.25/oz on 2026-09-03 against a $36–38/oz planning deck, with Terronera ramping through Q3. No company disclosure since the 2026-08-24 restart, so the 43.4% three-month advance runs on the metal and… HL Hecla Mining Company MEDIUM Debt-free silver margin with the metal moving again: silver $65.83/oz and gold $4,439.03/oz on 2026-09-03 against Q2 AISC of $6.07/oz ex-Keno and $63.06/oz realized, with the shares closing $21.21 the same day. No company datapoint lands… HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. fresh MEDIUM Robinhood Markets' September repricing now includes prediction-market infrastructure alongside on-chain finance. Stronger August activity and a weekly close above $124.72 would confirm continuation; a weekly close below $107 would… KARO Karooooo Ltd. MEDIUM Record-subscriber-adds story cleared its ceiling: KARO closed $65.48 on 2026-09-04, 2.6% under a new $67.20 high, after breaking the $65.91 shelf founder-CEO Calisto had been selling into — Nothing estimate-moving until the ~2026-10-13 Q2… LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Premium-club compounder re-rating as the 2021-IPO sponsors clear out: comps +9.1% and FY2026 guidance raised on 2026-07-30, then Leonard Green placed 5.1M shares at $43.16 on 2026-08-10 and dropped below 5%. Price now sits on that… META Meta Platforms, Inc. MEDIUM Two dated numbers landed on 2026-09-02 that the capex-leverage story had been missing: Broadcom's Hock Tan put three MTIA generations and 3GW of Meta deployment on the record through end-2027, and Muse Spark 1.3 shipped as a paid API.… OMER Omeros Corporation MEDIUM Launch-ramp re-rating has stopped extending and started digesting: the 2026-09-02 close of $18.86 sits 2.4% under the $19.32 52-week high with RSI(14) back to 63.2 from 92.0 on 2026-08-21, and no Omeros disclosure is dated after the… PBF PBF ENERGY INC. MEDIUM Record diesel cracks ($108.02 intraday, 2026-09-01) met a stalled tape: the adjusted series closed 2026-09-04 at $74.34, 1.5% under its $75.48 high with RSI 48.7, while the >10% holder resumed selling on 2026-09-02 at $76.94–$77.09. A… PSX Phillips 66 fresh MEDIUM Hormuz-driven refining-margin blowout is the leg: Q2 2026 realized refining margin $24.08/bbl vs $10.11 in Q1, adjusted EPS $9.41 vs $7.44 consensus, plus a $10B buyback expansion (2026-08-05). The narrative is maturing — well known since… SPCX SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) MEDIUM Two target actions (Oppenheimer to $280 from $250, Bernstein SocGen reiterating $248) and a Musk compute headline all landed 2026-09-02, and the stock still closed $140.71, leaving the 2026-08-12 high close of $146.15 untaken for fifteen… TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. MEDIUM Tarsus Pharmaceuticals’ eye-care expansion depends on XDEMVY sustaining growth after the Alkeus acquisition. The case requires next-quarter sales above Q2 2026’s $173.9 million and retention or an increase of both boundaries of the… VLO Valero Energy Corporation fresh MEDIUM Refiner crack spreads at a record ~$70/bbl 3-2-1 as a Hormuz/Iran supply shock idles ~10% of global refining; VLO is the pure-play margin leverage and the fundamental leg is accelerating. But sell-side (6 PT raises in 11 days) and CNBC… AA Alcoa Corporation LOW The policy-proxy leg now carries an opposing vector: the September US Midwest premium — the benchmark roughly 1.35Mt of Alcoa shipments price against — fell 8.2% to 95 cents a pound on 2026-08-20 on signals Washington will cut Canadian… AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. LOW Alpha Metallurgical Resources’ coal-supply-shock thesis requires stronger third-quarter realized pricing before August support breaks. Realization above the second quarter’s $118.71 per short ton would confirm transmission; a weekly close… AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. LOW AWS reacceleration is a printed fact — +37% YoY to $42.2B on 2026-07-30 — but the tape has handed the whole move back: record close $284.02 on 2026-08-03, $254.98 on 2026-09-02, RSI(14) 39.9. The new variable is legal rather than… AU AngloGold Ashanti plc LOW The 2026-09-04 payroll beat resolved against the metal: gold fell to $4,420/oz, the miner group fell 1.9%, and AU closed $109.07 versus the 2026-08-21 high of $123.39. Gold-margin leverage still works against a $2,039/oz Q2 cost line, but… AUGO Aura Minerals Inc. LOW Gold/copper producer basing $53–$76 under a broken ~$72 shelf after a ~45% fall from the $110 high. Q2 output slipped 8% QoQ — first sequential drop after a record Q1 — as gold cools to the low-$4,000s and sell-side keeps trimming (JPM to… BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc. fresh LOW Premium-to-NAV funding engine is closed; the 2026-08-10 release shows capital flipping from coin to float — 7,391 ETH bought for $14.3M (smallest week of 2026) against 3.0M shares retired, with cash down to $104M from $173M. The narrative… BTCS BTCS Inc. LOW BTCS Inc.’s Ethereum recovery thesis requires stronger DeFi earnings without renewed borrowing. The next Q3 disclosure must show gross profit above Q2 2026’s $1.5 million and debt no higher than June’s $50.4 million before a weekly close… CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. LOW Coeur's repair leg has not started: the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index rose 33% in August (Bloomberg, 2026-09-01) while CDE closed 2026-09-04 at $21.24, where it sat on 2026-08-28. Record Q2 cash ($387.5M FCF, $347.0M net cash) is offset by… GOOG Alphabet Inc. LOW Cloud backlog conversion is still the leg — $514B and Cloud +82% at the 2026-07-22 print — but the 2026-09-02 clean sweep (AdX divestiture denied, Gemini 3.8 Flash shipped, Berkshire's $36.6B stake on CNBC) bought only a 1.6%… HTFL Heartflow, Inc. LOW The post-Q2 re-rating is intact but the marginal bid now pays above the whole published target band: the 2026-09-02 close of $50.00 sits above the $45 top target set on 2026-08-14, RSI(14) is 88.0, and four insider sale filings landed… MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation LOW Record refining cracks are already in the tape: Q2 R&M margin $36.33/bbl vs $17.58 YoY and a 29% EPS beat on 2026-08-04, yet the stock closed 2026-08-07 at $298.20 — RSI 37.3, 6.7% under the $319.76 high — while six desks raised targets… MRNA Moderna, Inc. LOW The INTerpath-001 platform-validation leg is intact, but the company monetised it first: $2.6B of upsized 0.00% converts priced 2026-08-28 at a $210.58 conversion price, six sessions after the 177.0% print, with the shares at $137.99 and… MSFT Microsoft Corporation LOW AI-capex derating still in control and now colliding with a hostile print tape: Alphabet lost ~$294B on 2026-07-24 punished purely for AI spend, Tesla/Intel/Google all sold post-earnings, and MSFT reports Q4 FY26 on 2026-07-29 AMC below… MSTR Strategy Inc fresh LOW Strategy Inc.'s bitcoin accumulation thesis needs successive purchase disclosures and STRC recovering its $100 stated amount. Those milestones must arrive before a weekly close below $123 invalidates the price structure. MTRN Materion Corporation LOW Beryllium critical-materials scarcity narrative still building, but the parabola cracked: a new ATH of $298.76 in early July gave way to a 5.6% reversal on 2026-07-07 to $247.20, now ~$258 and still ~9% above KeyBanc's $237 top target. The… NNE Nano Nuclear Energy Inc. LOW Nuclear-microreactor narrative has stopped converting news into demand: a Truist Hold/$22 initiation (7/14) and a Virginia consortium announcement (7/17) landed inside four sessions and NNE still printed a fresh 52-week low at $15.78… OMDA Omada Health, Inc. LOW The post-print leg is fully retraced — $22.77 on 2026-09-04 versus $23.89 on 2026-08-21 and the $26.78 52-week high — leaving price under the mid-July pre-beat shelf despite eight sell-side target actions between 2026-08-03 and 2026-08-31.… PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. LOW The narrative on offer is government-AI production revenue compounding — the 2026-09-01 TITAN award put $127M into Palantir USG — The tape answered with closes of $179.92 (-3.47%) and $169.46 (-5.81%), losing the $179–$180.18 shelf and the… TITN Titan Machinery Inc. LOW Titan Machinery’s farm-equipment recovery re-rating requires falling total inventory and preserved earnings guidance at its next quarterly report. A weekly close below $23 would invalidate the market thesis before confirmation. TSLA Tesla, Inc. LOW The 2026-09-03 Cybercab launch landed after the bell and delivered a website update rather than a disclosure: rides live in limited Austin areas via the Robotaxi app, no ride price, no operating fleet count, no livestream, guests under… UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. LOW Two sell-side target raises in consecutive sessions — HC Wainwright's $29.25 on 2026-09-01 and Cantor Fitzgerald's $33 reiteration on 2026-09-02 — moved the shares less than 1%, to a $14.29 close 48.4% under the 52-week high. With rare… XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. LOW The one re-rate catalyst just died: Tether's Strike–Elektron three-way merger was scrapped on 2026-07-21 and CEO Jack Mallers quit, dropping XXI to a fresh all-time low near $4.46. A leveraged-Bitcoin-treasury proxy stuck below 1.0x float… PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. fresh HIGH AI-security spend narrative accelerating with third-party confirmation: IBM missed Q2 ($17.2B vs $17.86B) on 2026-07-14 and blamed budget migration into Cybersecurity — PANW +6.4%, CRWD +10%, BUG +6% same session. New ATH close $357.53… NBIS Nebius Group N.V. fresh MEDIUM GPU-neocloud narrative re-accelerated after NVIDIA disclosed a 9.3% stake (7/20) and PT raises followed (Northland $410, Baird initiates Outperform $250); Alphabet's 7/22 "demand outpaces capacity" answers the Meta-Compute bear case. The… WTI W&T Offshore, Inc. fresh MEDIUM W&T Offshore’s oil-to-cash recovery case now tests a daily close at or above the market’s $4.89 trailing-year high before a daily close below $3.55 invalidates it. The 2026-09-09 close of $4.06 satisfies the prior $4.01 recovery hurdle;… MP MP Materials Corp. fresh LOW MP Materials' contracted rare-earth recovery needs Q4 2026 commercial magnet shipments to General Motors and a weekly close above $60.17. A weekly close below $50 or shipments delayed beyond that quarter invalidates the case. RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation fresh LOW Rocket Lab's stabilisation case rests on operating growth overcoming acquisition-financing uncertainty. Iridium approval on 2026-09-24 followed by a weekly close above the September 4 reference of $64.26 confirms the narrow case only if a… AKTS Aktis Oncology, Inc. HIGH Post-initiation follow-through arrived late: after Wedbush ($35) and BMO ($37) took the covering cohort to five on 2026-08-19, the tape moved from $24.07 on 2026-08-21 to $25.78 on 2026-08-28, clearing the three-week $24 shelf. Five… ARIS Aris Mining Corporation HIGH Two-asset Colombian gold producer earning $1,767/oz Segovia AISC against a $4,450/oz realized price (Q2, reported 2026-07-29); the leg being bought is the volume step toward ~500 koz/yr, gated on the 5,000 tpd Marmato CIP plant delivering… GH Guardant Health, Inc. HIGH Carelon's 2026-09-01 decision to cover Shield from 2026-11-15 lifts stated reach to ~90M lives (~75% of eligible) — the payer datapoint the story needed — yet the close was $161.41 on 2026-09-04 versus $161.50 on 2026-08-28. FY26 guidance… ONC BeOne Medicines Ltd. HIGH Two 2026-08-31 catalysts — a statistically significant OS win in HERIZON-GEA-01 and a US agreement exempting BeOne from Section 232 pharma tariffs — landed without producing a new high: the 2026-09-04 close of $358.26 is 5.1% under the… RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. HIGH Regulatory-clock narrative re-accelerating: the rolling NDA under the FDA National Priority Voucher is "nearing completion" (2026-07-07) and the EMA opened a phased CHMP review the same day, while the Street ceiling walked from ~$186 to… SCZM Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. HIGH No company disclosure since the 2026-08-17 Q2 print, so the marginal driver is the metal: silver December futures opened $67.63/oz on 2026-09-04, +16.4% in a month, against Q2 cash cost of $15.54/oz and AISC $21.87/oz. Price closed $9.94… SHIP Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. HIGH Capesize spot printed $46,601/day on 2026-08-27, a new high for this run and well above the ~$30,998/day the company guided for Q3 on 2026-07-30, yet the stock closed $17.79 on 2026-08-28, still 2.1% under its $18.17 high. No company print… ALM Almonty Industries Inc. MEDIUM Non-China tungsten narrative now trades on one venue: the TSX exit took effect 2026-07-31 and the ASX removal 2026-09-01, leaving Nasdaq and Frankfurt. The operating case is unchanged — Sangdong throughput since 2026-07-01, Q2 revenue… AYA Aya Gold & Silver Inc. MEDIUM Silver at $66.94/oz on 2026-09-06 still clears the $64.22/oz AgEq Q2 realized price against a $16.82/oz AgEq cash cost, while the US line closed $28.91 on 2026-09-04 with RSI(14) cooling to 57.7 from 70.7 on 2026-08-21. The ~2026-10-07 Q3… BBAR Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. MEDIUM Argentina country trade re-accelerated: June CPI printed 1.9% MoM on 2026-07-14 (first sub-2% of the cycle) and country risk broke to 402bp, tightest since April 2018, carrying BBAR to a fresh 52-week high of $22.47. Price now sits above… BETA Beta Technologies, Inc. MEDIUM The $18.50 level published in August was never printed: BETA floored in the $19.19–$19.58 band where a director bought two ~$251k tranches on 2026-09-01/02, then closed $22.20 on 2026-09-04, back above the $21.00 weekly level lost on… BWLP BW LPG Limited MEDIUM Financing leg resolved: $300M of 2.25% convertibles placed 2026-09-02, conversion price $30.4870 at a 40% premium, part-funding the $940M eight-ship HD Hyundai order without issuing shares at spot — and the stock still closed at a 52-week… CCS Century Communities, Inc. MEDIUM Post-Q2 re-rate is holding but no longer extending: the 2026-08-28 close of $69.16 is 6.2% under the $73.71 high with RSI 52.2. The 2026-08-25 new home sales print — 607k annual rate, -10.5% MoM, 9.6 months' supply — removed the demand… EDRY EuroDry Ltd. MEDIUM The August divergence closed the other way: BDI 3,488 on 2026-09-03 (from 2,841 on 08-21), with Panamax spot $22,113/day and Supramax $21,090/day now both above the $20,398/day Q2 TCE. EDRY closed $57.43 on 2026-09-04 at a 52-week high… HPK HighPeak Energy, Inc. MEDIUM The post-print harvest-half story is intact but the flow behind it has thinned: HPK closed 2026-08-28 at $8.10, 2.6% under the 2026-08-21 high of $8.32, with RSI(14) back to 52.5 from 65.4, while WTI quoted $83.44. No company-dated event… IMAX Imax Corp MEDIUM Premium-large-format royalty narrative is maturing: a second target above spot arrived (B. Riley $61, 2026-08-24) and shares set a $54.79 high, then gave back 8.0% to close $50.38 on 2026-08-28 as The Dog Stars opened to roughly $8M… IPAR Interparfums, Inc. MEDIUM Nothing company-dated has landed since the 2026-08-04 print: the last covering-firm action was BWS Financial's Sell/$85 on 2026-08-17, and the 2026-09-04 close of $116.69 sits 6.1% above the $110 shelf. The 09-15 annual meeting and… MCS The Marcus Corporation MEDIUM Theatrical-recovery re-rating is drifting sideways with no company input: no release and no target revision since 2026-08-04, leaving consensus at $32.25 while the 2026-08-28 close of $29.02 sits 6.5% under the $31.03 52-week high.… NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. MEDIUM Geopolitical crude leg — WTI $92.09 on 2026-09-03 after Hormuz tanker strikes — is repricing a levered non-op E&P that still trades 12.7% below its $29.64 52-week high. Q2 delivered $159M free cash flow and a buyback at a $20.37 average,… OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. MEDIUM Private-credit-stress bottom trade picked up a second strand: Blue Owl managed funds led a $2.4B GPU-equipment financing for IREN on 2026-08-28, days after Oppenheimer took its target to $17. Price closed $12.02 on 2026-08-28, 5% below the… PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM Distillate scarcity is still deepening — inventories 107.1 Mbbl for the week ended 2026-08-07, reported as the lowest for the date since 1996 — and the 2026-08-25 Laramie agreement adds a non-crack cash lever, roughly $146M expected to… PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. MEDIUM A cat-light Atlantic season and three FY26 guidance raises carried the reference close to $136.58 on 2026-09-04, 5.7% under the $144.79 high, with RSI(14) at 74.9 and no company-dated catalyst until the ~2026-11-03 Q3 print. The 2026-09-10… PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. MEDIUM Funded domestic-antimony developer whose news flow stopped paying: the 2026-08-18 Idaho district court ruling largely upheld federal approvals and the 2026-08-31 update reported 5,800m drilled plus 6.4m of 16.2 g/t gold, yet the close was… RELY Remitly Global, Inc. MEDIUM Operating-leverage leg intact but stalling: since the 2026-08-05 Q2 raise to $1.978–1.988B / $410–415M, the only new information has been supply — a Form 4 dated 2026-08-26 shows CFO Mehta selling 25,000 shares at $26.15, one dated… SBSW Sibanye-Stillwater MEDIUM Record H1 (EBITDA R31.8bn +111%, net debt/EBITDA 0.18x) and an interim dividend at the top of policy re-rated a de-geared PGM producer; then the 2026-09-03 USW walkout at Stillwater — the only US primary palladium mine — put palladium… SE Sea Limited MEDIUM Three-engine re-acceleration — Shopee GMV +30%, Monee loan book +71%, Garena's best quarter in 5 years — drove a Q1 beat (2026-05-12) and a +19% one-month recovery off the $77 low. Fundamentally accelerating, but the stock is short-term… STTK Shattuck Labs, Inc. MEDIUM Receptor-side TL1A: SL-325 delivered the first human data for a DR3-blocking antibody on 2026-06-08 — complete receptor occupancy at 0.1 mg/kg, anti-drug antibodies in 3.7% of dosed subjects — and the shares are up 74.1% over three months.… VET Vermilion Energy Inc. MEDIUM European gas made new highs without the equity: TTF printed a three-year high above €68/MWh on 2026-08-25 while the shares closed 2026-08-28 at $12.46, below their 2026-08-21 close and 13.0% under the $14.32 high. With 58% of European gas… VG Venture Global, Inc. MEDIUM LNG-export narrative re-accelerating on Europe's winter gas scramble plus a Middle East risk premium; VG ran +23% off the $12 mid-July shelf to $14.31 as Plaquemines ramps and CP2 advances. The 2026-08-11 pre-market Q2 print is the binary… ABNB Airbnb, Inc. LOW The post-Q2 re-acceleration re-rating has reached its loudest phase — two $220 targets (DA Davidson 08-31, Rosenblatt initiation 09-01) and a dedicated CNBC spotlight on 08-27 — while the 2026-09-04 close of $181.94 sits 4.5% under the… ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. LOW The 2026-08-10 Boeing re-rating has failed outright: the 2026-09-04 close of $5.71 sits below the $6.26 pre-announcement reference the deal leg was measured against, and neither the 2026-08-24 AEG vertiport agreement nor the 2026-09-03 "No… AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. LOW Gold-equity operating leverage intact, but the macro sponsorship broke on 2026-08-28: Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole "we have work to do" line took over 3% out of gold and reset the shares from $216.06 to $206.25, RSI(14) 91.9 to 66.6. The… AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. LOW The +80%-off-March recovery re-rate has matured and rolled over: Morgan Stanley pulled its Overweight ('valuation call') on 2026-06-25, and price faded ~30% from the $100 high back onto the reclaimed 200-day near $70 while targets stayed… ARES Ares Management Corporation LOW Private-credit compounder still saturated rather than broken: FRE compounding near 20% YoY on $671B AUM while the 2026-09-04 close of $140.15 sits 21.3% under the $178.13 trailing high. Nothing resolved since 2026-08-23 — Leonard Green… BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited LOW The cloud re-rating leg has become a funding-and-litigation question: the high-$118s shelf broke and the week ended 2026-09-04 closed $113.24, $1.24 above the $112 line, while September delivered a securities-fraud complaint (S.D.N.Y.,… BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. LOW The published $200 weekly level failed — the 2026-09-04 close was $193.29, giving back the whole post-Q2 advance while the covering board widened to 37 analysts at an average $236.70 target. What remains is a saturated capital-return… BMA Banco Macro S.A. LOW The company story is still broken — Q2 NPLs 6.25%, coverage 95.39%, FY cost of risk guided to 6.5–7% on 2026-08-20 — but the ADR recovered to $78.57 on 2026-09-04 from $72.84 on 2026-08-21 as country risk fell from 517bp to below 500 on… BTE Baytex Energy Corp. LOW July's Hormuz flare re-armed the oil-geopolitical premium, but it has since drained — WTI slipped to the low $70s and the 2026-07-17 sanctions wind-down passed with no barrel shortage, a contained-conflict bid rather than a supply shock.… COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc. LOW Q2 FY26 (2026-07-23) beat on every line — net sales $216.2M +28.1%, EPS $0.82 vs ~$0.55, FY guide raised to $790–805M — and the stock still closed $62.25 on 2026-08-07, -25.9% from the post-print high. Beat-and-raise absorbed by sellers;… DFDV DeFi Development Corp. LOW Levered Solana proxy still trading below the SOL it holds — 0.66× on The Block's 2026-09-06 page — but the funding mix flipped: the 2026-09-04 pricing of 1,375,000 perpetual preferred shares at $8.00 against a $10.00 stated amount, at a… DRD DRDGOLD Ltd. LOW The RSI(14) 91.0 spike that followed the 2026-08-19 FY2026 beat has drained to 64.4, with the ADR at $28.58 on 2026-09-04 against the $30.70 post-print close of 2026-08-21 — a give-back that tracked dollar gold ($4,633.90 quoted… ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited LOW The August leg failed at the print: the ADR closed $59.09 on 2026-08-28 versus $67.76 on 2026-08-21, even as the FY26 report guided FY27 production to 198,000–210,000 dmt against FY26's 197,967 dmt and GFEX carbonate settled CNY 158,700/t… ENVA Enova International, Inc. LOW Credit normalisation plus 20%+ origination growth is intact, but the re-rating has rolled over: $232.72 on 2026-08-28 is 12.3% under the $265.45 high with RSI 35.3, and the late-August slide was sector-wide (OneMain -4.9%, Credit… GFI Gold Fields Ltd ADR LOW Margin-to-cash story intact from H1 (2026-08-25: $2.225bn adjusted FCF, dividend +132%, realised $4,678/oz), but the macro leg inverted on 2026-09-04 when 162k August payrolls against ~53k expected pushed September hike odds to roughly 65%… GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. LOW Argentina disinflation is still working — June CPI printed 1.9% MoM on Jul 14, an improvement on May's 2.1% — but the ADR faded the good print, dropping ~7% on the week to ~$50 and losing both the $51.07 50-day and the $52.86 200-day.… GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. LOW Premium-golf consumable franchise (Titleist Pro V1) that ran to a $119.65 all-time high on a defensive-quality rotation, then bled ~11% of the mania premium back to the ~$104–105 June breakout shelf ($104.66 on 2026-07-24). The 2026-08-06… HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited LOW The August momentum leg has round-tripped: 2026-08-27 results paired a record 1,280c FY26 dividend (R8.15bn) with FY27 guidance of 1.30–1.40 Moz at R1.30–1.395m/kg, both softer than FY26's 1,429,551 oz at R1,191,698/kg. What is left is a… INFQ Infleqtion, Inc. LOW Funded-quantum leg keeps extending while the tape does not: B. Riley initiated Buy with a $23 target on 2026-09-04, the third published target above $20, yet the 2026-09-04 close of $12.85 sits within a penny of the 2026-08-14 close of… IPX IperionX Limited LOW US critical-minerals sovereignty name whose funding overhang cleared the ugly way: a 2026-07-08 US$50M ADS raise priced at $21.98, ~22% below the ~$28 pre-deal level, resetting the stock to $22.94 near its $21.66 52-week low. Pre-revenue,… KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. LOW Beat-and-raise is filed (Q2 adj EPS $0.63; Q3 guided $0.71–$0.77) but the equity is flat since 2026-08-21 at $71.99 while the driver stalled rather than reaccelerated — all-mode tender rejections 13.57% on 2026-08-25 versus a July 4 peak… KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. LOW Jubilee ramping toward ~90,000 bopd gross (J76 online, J77/J50 imminent) with GTA LNG volumes climbing. Highest-beta E&P expression bounced ~15% off the $2.00 June low; re-accelerating but still a ~$2.30, 'CCC'-rated, most-levered… LAC Lithium Americas Corp. LOW The $3.00 shelf held to the tick — the 2026-09-04 weekly close printed exactly $3.00 while the lithium carbonate benchmark sat at 152,000 CNY/t, +8.38% on the month and +102.7% year-on-year (Trading Economics). With roughly 67.3M Yorkville… LAR Lithium Argentina AG LOW Commodity transmission is now broken in both directions: the GFEX front carbonate quote came off to ~CNY 152,000/t on 2026-09-04 from CNY 156,140/t on 2026-08-22 while the shares went $6.83 to $6.79. The saturated lithium-recovery story… LEGN Legend Biotech Corporation LOW In-vivo CAR-T re-rate has matured into digestion: EHA (6/13) confirmed LB2501's 100% ORR and clean durability, but the 6/17 $226M raise at $29.35 capped the leg and JPM's 7/13 Neutral $35 reinstatement caps the Street. No fresh catalyst… LGIH LGI Homes, Inc. LOW The 2026-06-24 legislative gap is filled: LGIH closed $55.00 on 2026-09-04, under the $56.06 gap origin, after the 2026-08-04 beat-and-raise bought only five weeks of range. Freddie Mac's 30-year survey reversed to 6.71% on 2026-09-03, a… MTH Meritage Homes Corporation LOW Housing-rebound-on-rate-cuts trade that carried MTH to a $85.38 52-week high has reversed: it lost the $75 June breakout shelf to $74.17 (-4.2% on 7/17) as mortgages held at 6.49% and Zelman capitulated to Neutral (7/7). Fundamentals still… MTUM LOW The AI-memory leg MTUM rotated into at the May reconstitution has rolled over: SOX -20%+ from its June peak, memory names in a bear market, and the fund closed $302.09 on 2026-07-17, below the $310 shelf that defined the… NBR Nabors Industries Ltd. LOW Leveraged ~2x oil-beta proxy on the Hormuz war premium, +90% YTD near $100 but now rolling over: Susquehanna cut its target to $85 (2026-07-08) as the sell-side stops chasing, and the ~2026-07-23 Q2 print — the first to lap the premium —… SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. LOW Q2 beat, tape ignored it: adjusted EPS $0.29 vs $0.13 consensus on 2026-08-10, NIM +253bps to 20.3% — yet SUPV closed $8.05 on 2026-08-14 at RSI 24, with bank ADRs leading the Merval lower and country risk back to 479bps. The company… TGTX TG Therapeutics, Inc. LOW The catalyst leg is spent; what is left is whether the $46–48 shelf holds through a two-month news vacuum into year-end subcutaneous Phase 3 topline. URGN UroGen Pharma Ltd. LOW The 2026-08-17 UGN-103 NDA submission landed six weeks ahead of the Q3 target and emptied the calendar — nothing company-dated until the ~2026-11-04 Q3 print. Price set a $50.29 52-week high after 2026-08-14, then gave back 13.3% into the… VOYG Voyager Technologies, Inc. LOW The order-flow re-rating leg has stalled: the entire post-Q2 advance was handed back between 2026-08-21 ($38.40) and the 2026-08-28 close of $34.29 with no company release in that window, RSI(14) at 20.7. Backlog of $335.5M and the… ZS Zscaler, Inc. LOW The binary resolved against the recovery frame: Q4 FY26 beat every guided line on 2026-09-03 (ARR $3,771M above the $3.749B top end, net new ARR $246M vs $166M), but the first formal FY27 guide of 16.6–17.5% growth ratified the May reset,…