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Emerging markets theme · 17 dossiers

Dossiers in the Emerging markets theme cluster — 17 names moving on shared catalysts.

DormantLast produced 4 August 2026, 37 days ago — outside the 14-day window the model counts as current work.

All 17 are dated research with a published kill line — the level named in advance that would prove the call wrong.

All dossiers
KARO Karooooo Ltd. MEDIUM Record-subscriber-adds story cleared its ceiling: KARO closed $65.48 on 2026-09-04, 2.6% under a new $67.20 high, after breaking the $65.91 shelf founder-CEO Calisto had been selling into — Nothing estimate-moving until the ~2026-10-13 Q2… Compounder · Emerging markets · AI enterprise software catalyst · BIDU Baidu, Inc. ADS LOW The last dated event in a flow-mechanical leg lands 2026-09-07: southbound Stock Connect eligibility for the Hong Kong counters that turned dual-primary on 2026-09-01. The ADR closed $95.58 on 2026-09-03, -41.2% from the $162.52 high, with… Special situation · EV & autonomous mobility · Mega-cap AI platforms catalyst · TBI Trueblue, Inc. LOW Deep-cyclical industrial staffer re-rated +140% off the $3.18 low on a staffing-demand recovery and a data-center/energy labor boom lifting PeopleReady +19% YoY. Still loss-making (Q1 net -$19.8M), margins compressed, and the… Special situation · Cyclical industrials · Emerging markets catalyst · BBAR Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. MEDIUM Argentina country trade re-accelerated: June CPI printed 1.9% MoM on 2026-07-14 (first sub-2% of the cycle) and country risk broke to 402bp, tightest since April 2018, carrying BBAR to a fresh 52-week high of $22.47. Price now sits above… Compounder · Emerging markets catalyst · LILA Liberty Latin America Ltd. MEDIUM Break-up leg holds: the adjusted series set a 52-week high of $8.77 after Morgan Stanley's 2026-08-20 cut to Underweight $7.00, and price closed $8.52 on 2026-09-04. But the flow behind the story has thinned — no company-dated headline… Defensive · M&A & special situations · Emerging markets catalyst · SE Sea Limited MEDIUM Three-engine re-acceleration — Shopee GMV +30%, Monee loan book +71%, Garena's best quarter in 5 years — drove a Q1 beat (2026-05-12) and a +19% one-month recovery off the $77 low. Fundamentally accelerating, but the stock is short-term… Compounder · Emerging markets · Fintech & consumer credit catalyst · SKM SK Telecom Co., Ltd. MEDIUM The funding overhang that framed this name closed on 2026-08-27: KKR and the IMM–Stonebridge consortium signed for ₩3.08T of equity into SK Horizon, the AIDC entity being carved out of SK Broadband, with SKT keeping 51% — asset-level… Special situation · AI datacenter infrastructure · Emerging markets catalyst · ATHM Autohome Inc. LOW No company disclosure since the 2026-08-20 print; what moved is the research around it — Citi lifted its target from $17 to $22 on 2026-08-24, Goldman from $19 to $21, and consensus now reads $21.44, below the 2026-09-04 close of $22.03.… Special situation · Emerging markets · Crypto exchanges & financials catalyst · BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited LOW The cloud re-rating leg has become a funding-and-litigation question: the high-$118s shelf broke and the week ended 2026-09-04 closed $113.24, $1.24 above the $112 line, while September delivered a securities-fraud complaint (S.D.N.Y.,… Compounder · AI enterprise software · AI datacenter infrastructure catalyst · BAK Braskem S.A. LOW The subsidiary perimeter resolved first: Braskem Idesa's prepackaged Chapter 11, filed 2026-08-17 in SD Texas, cuts over US$920M of debt and leaves existing shareholders one-third of reorganized equity, with a combined disclosure-statement… Earnings inflection · Emerging markets · M&A & special situations catalyst · BMA Banco Macro S.A. LOW The company story is still broken — Q2 NPLs 6.25%, coverage 95.39%, FY cost of risk guided to 6.5–7% on 2026-08-20 — but the ADR recovered to $78.57 on 2026-09-04 from $72.84 on 2026-08-21 as country risk fell from 517bp to below 500 on… Compounder · Emerging markets catalyst · GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. LOW Argentina disinflation is still working — June CPI printed 1.9% MoM on Jul 14, an improvement on May's 2.1% — but the ADR faded the good print, dropping ~7% on the week to ~$50 and losing both the $51.07 50-day and the $52.86 200-day.… Compounder · Emerging markets catalyst · IQ iQIYI, Inc. LOW Long-form streaming growth is broken in the reported numbers (Q1 2026 revenue -13% YoY, operating income to a RMB228.4m loss), so what is left is the micro-drama/overseas pivot — newly branded as Undercurrent Theater in early August 2026 —… Special situation · Semi foundry & equipment · Squeeze & momentum setups analysed · KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited LOW China AI-compute capacity story is intact on fundamentals — AI gross billing +90% YoY and past half of public-cloud revenue in Q1 (reported 2026-05-27) — but the price leg broke: -32.3% from the $18.21 high with RSI(14) back at 70.0. The… Cyclical recovery · AI datacenter infrastructure · Emerging markets catalyst · LILAK Liberty Latin America Ltd. LOW Post-catalyst drift: the $500M preferred special dividend and the June Malone/Nair insider cluster already drove a ~70% run off $4.76 to ~$8.30, and the tape has stalled at $7.33. Citi cut to Neutral 2026-07-10 with a $8 target already… Defensive · M&A & special situations · Emerging markets catalyst · NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. LOW Cyclical zinc-recovery confirmed and fully priced: Q1 EBITDA +126% YoY and Aripuanã's record 13kt ramp drove a run to the $16.89 high, but the equity now chops $12–13 while LME zinc printed a fresh 2026 high near US$3,622 — a bearish… Special situation · M&A & special situations · Critical materials & rare earths analysed · SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. LOW Q2 beat, tape ignored it: adjusted EPS $0.29 vs $0.13 consensus on 2026-08-10, NIM +253bps to 20.3% — yet SUPV closed $8.05 on 2026-08-14 at RSI 24, with bank ADRs leading the Merval lower and country risk back to 479bps. The company… Compounder · Emerging markets catalyst ·
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