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Journal ·

Wednesday, 20 May 2026

Regime Neutral

Market regime

Neutral — the model's authoritative close-of-day read. VIX 17.44 (calm, vol easing). Breadth 53.5% (524/979) of names above their 50-day EMA (mixed — about half of names in primary uptrends). SPY closed 741.31 — +10.8% vs its 200-EMA (669.23).

Key numbers

MetricLevelRead
RegimeNeutralClose-of-day read
VIX17.44Calm — vol easing
Breadth >50-day EMA53.5% (524/979)Mixed — about half of names in primary uptrends
SPY close741.31+10.8% vs 200-EMA (669.23)

Regime assessment

The model reads neutral: the signals are mixed, neither confirming a rally nor pointing to stress.

Status

Close-of-day regime for 20 May 2026: neutral.